ETF Market Trends - ETF flows have exceeded $1 trillion year-to-date [1] - S&P 500 experienced negative outflows year-to-date [2] - Volume above average all week, but that doesn't always mean buying [1] Top ETF Performers & Flows - JP Morgan Beta Builders Europe ETF (BBEU) saw top inflows this week, similar to European Stock 600 [2] - GLD Gold ETF and BNDX Vanguard Total Bond ETF also among top three inflows this week [2] Actively Managed ETF - Horizon launched actively managed ETF (ticker: WHY NOT) focused on tech and digital assets [3] - The ETF, Digital Frontier ETF, includes technology, AI, quantum, and crypto with dynamic weights [3] - The WHY NOT ETF has almost doubled the market since its launch in July [4]

ETF Market Trends - ETF flows are experiencing a global surge, with record-breaking performance in the first half and Q3 of the year [1][2] - The growth is broad-based, spanning across various asset classes, including digital assets, active strategies, and index funds [2] - Actively managed ETFs are gaining traction, accounting for approximately 37% of inflows this year, compared to just over 25% last year [3] Investor Preferences - Investors seek alpha, tax efficiency, and liquidity in actively managed ETFs [5][6][7] - Investors are looking for yield and moving into short-term government bond ETFs to capture higher returns compared to holding cash [12] - Investors are showing interest in growth and income strategies, including outcome ETFs that offer upside potential with income [9][10] Specific ETF Flows - Digital asset ETFs are experiencing significant momentum and increased accessibility [9] - Short-term treasury ETFs are attracting investors seeking yield [11][12] - Some investors are moving away from index funds, with the SPY S&P 500 ETF experiencing net outflows of over $6 billion this year [8] Future Outlook - The industry anticipates continued momentum in digital asset ETFs [9] - Expects growth in growth and income strategies [9] - A potential influx of funds from the $7 trillion sitting on the sidelines in money market funds into the ETF industry is anticipated [12][13]

Core Insights - Bitcoin's price performance in September has led to increased bearish sentiment among institutional investors, with the potential for the cryptocurrency to close the month in negative territory [1] - A significant capital exit from spot Bitcoin ETFs, totaling $903 million between September 22 and 26, indicates a decline in institutional interest [2] - The historical correlation between ETF flows and Bitcoin's price suggests that the recent outflows could lead to further price declines if institutional investors continue to withdraw capital [3] ETF and Market Dynamics - The outflows from Bitcoin ETFs contrast sharply with the inflows seen earlier in the year, where monthly inflows exceeded $5 billion in July, contributing to a price surge above $120,000 [3] - Continued outflows from spot BTC ETFs, combined with miner selling, could push Bitcoin's price down towards $107,557 [6] Miner Behavior and Market Impact - On-chain data indicates a decline in miner reserves, with miners currently selling rather than accumulating Bitcoin, which adds to the bearish outlook for the cryptocurrency [4][5] - The total miner reserve has decreased by 0.24% since September 9, currently holding 1.8 million BTC, suggesting that miners are liquidating holdings to realize profits or cover costs [4][5] Price Predictions - If market sentiment improves and demand increases, Bitcoin's price could potentially rise above $110,034 and rally towards $111,961 [7]

We're tracking ETF flows that are now over $855 billion year to date. We're also tracking the moves above and below the 30-day moving averages for the popular index funds, the SPY and the triple Q's buying, we're going to show you in a second, surged at the end of the week. This week, the Vanguard Growth Index Fund ETF ticker Bug that focuses on large cap stocks, saw the top inflows, followed by the Vanguard Small Cap Fund, ticker VB, and the the VBR, Vanguard Small Cap Value ETF.Of course, small caps hit a ...

👀 ALTCOIN SPOTLIGHTAnalysts say new investors should own $LTC, $XRP & $SOL ahead of ETF flows.#Altseason starter pack? 🚀 ...

Seeing a lot of exhaustion signals lately.→ DAT mNAV compression→ Gold and S&P hitting ATH while majors just rangeETF flows look decent, but have definitely shifted back towards BTC.Also can't help but think that it's been awhile since we've had a blow up/scare. https://t.co/HxhIWSKcEoIgnas | DeFi (@DefiIgnas):DATs running out of buying power as mNAVs collapse close to 1They should tokenize their stock so even crypto degens could buy DATs.It would create more arbitrage opportunities, thus volume, and more s ...

ETF Flows Analysis - BTC ETFs 自推出以来已吸引约 568 亿美元的资金流入 [1] - ETH ETFs 虽然推出时间较晚，但已吸引约 268 亿美元的资金流入 [1] - BTC 的资金流入量相当于其市值的 26% [1] - ETH 的资金流入量相当于其市值的 53% [1] - 每投入 ETH ETFs 的 1 美元的影响几乎是投入 BTC ETFs 的 2 倍 [1] Market Strategy & Outlook - 华尔街正悄悄地加大对 ETH 的投资，不仅因为价格，还因为其在 staking、yield 和 real world tokenization 中的作用 [2] - ETH 跑赢 BTC 时，历史上会引发推动 Altseason 的资本轮动 [2] - 本轮周期中最大的收益可能来自 ETH 和 alts，而不是 BTC [2]

ETF Flows & Market Trends - Year-to-date ETF flows exceed $820 billion [1] - SPY saw a double-digit spike after Oracle earnings, while QQQ did not experience the same due to Oracle's absence in the index [1] - ARK Innovation Fund experienced the top inflows this week [1] - GLDM (Spider Gold Mini Shares) is seeing the second most inflows of all ETFs in September [3] - PPLT (Aberdeen Physical Platinum ETF) is seeing strong inflows in recent weeks [3] Investment Strategies & Recommendations - Investors should diversify away from equities by playing the gold rally [2] - LDM (gold exposure) offers diversification outside of equities and fixed income at 10 basis points [2] - Investors are embracing gold due to global uncertainty and potential shifts in Federal Reserve monetary policy in 2026 [3] - VTI (Vanguard Total Market ETF) and BND (Vanguard Total Bond ETF) followed ARK in terms of inflows this week [2]

Core Viewpoint - Bitcoin and Ethereum are poised for a significant fourth quarter influenced by Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and increased demand for ETFs, with market expectations leaning towards a September policy adjustment following weak job growth data [1][2]. Group 1: Federal Reserve and Economic Indicators - August nonfarm payrolls increased by only 22,000, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.3% [2]. - Futures markets indicate a high probability of a rate cut in September, as reflected in the CME's FedWatch tool, with the dollar trading near recent lows and gold reaching new highs [2][3]. - Historical data shows that during previous easing periods, Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs experienced significant inflows, suggesting a potential pattern for future cuts [4][5]. Group 2: ETF Flows and Market Reactions - In the week of the September 2024 cut, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw inflows of approximately $2.4 billion, while Ethereum ETFs added around $600 million [4]. - During the December 2024 cut week, Bitcoin ETFs recorded inflows of about $1.6 billion, indicating a trend of net-positive flows around policy decisions [5]. - Recent data indicates that Bitcoin ETFs had three daily inflows exceeding $800 million in August, contributing to a cumulative net intake of around $50 billion, while Ethereum's cumulative net flows are in the low double-digit billions [6]. Group 3: Future Projections for Q4 - If the Federal Reserve implements a total easing of 75 basis points by December, Bitcoin ETF net flows during decision weeks could range from $1.2 billion to $2.0 billion, with Ethereum's flows estimated between $300 million and $700 million [8].

Market Trends - Industry should watch ETH supply squeeze and whale accumulation [1] - Industry should track RWA adoption, especially Private Credit/Treasuries [1] - Altcoin season is expected to begin with capital rotation into leading Alts [1] - Industry should follow ETF flows as cycle tripwires [1] - Industry should evaluate institutional vs retail flow balance [1]