Well, for more on how all of this could impact the markets going forward, let's bring in Wilmington Trust investment advisors Tony Roth and innovator ETS chief investment strategist Tim Urbanowitz. Guys, good afternoon. Uh Tim, major averages have been holding steady despite uh this geopolitical conflict.S&P around 6,000. I know folks don't want to panic sell, but should they keep buying here. Well, John, you definitely don't want to panic sell.And really the the move higher that we saw today is really text ...

I want to start with the worst case scenario, something that most analysts are saying isn't really likely. Let's say there is a complete disruption to Iranian oil supply and a closure of the Strait of Hormuz. How high does the oil price rise.Morning. Yeah, I think fair to say that's not a base case, but if you're talking about really extreme scenarios, we've considered a case where even if only very temporary, oil prices could get, for example, above $200 a barrel. And if you're just looking at historic rel ...

Geopolitical Impact on Markets - Israel launched a targeted military operation against Iran, escalating tensions in the Middle East [1][5] - Iran retaliated with drones, leading to fears of a wider regional conflict [1][6] - The U S stated it was not involved in the strikes, while Iran holds Washington responsible [2][51] - Global leaders are urging de-escalation and diplomatic solutions [49] Oil Market Fluctuations - Oil prices surged, with Brent crude spiking 13% initially and settling at approximately 7% higher [3][51][66] - The Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for nearly 1/5 of seaborne crude, faces potential disruption risks [24] - Iran's oil exports, around 17 million barrels per day, are now in question [22] - The market has not priced in the risk of disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, and an attack on a single oil tanker could drastically change industry flows [25] Financial Market Reactions - NASDAQ was down 15% [3] - 10-year Treasury yields decreased by one basis point [4] - Gold rose by 11% as investors sought safe-haven assets [4] - The Euro weakened by 05% compared to the dollar [4] Potential Trade Implications - A wider conflict could strain the global trading system, affecting shipping lanes through the Persian Gulf, Red Sea, and Suez Canal [45] - Increased bottlenecks in the shipping system could lead to higher costs and inflation [46] - The conflict could impact negotiations between the U S and China, particularly regarding energy exports like LNG and LPG [32][33] Airline and Defense Industry Impact - Airlines are expected to underperform due to higher oil prices and potential airspace closures in the Middle East [38][107] - Defense stocks, such as RTX and Lockheed, are gaining due to increased geopolitical tensions [39][108]

that Israel's attacks on Iran are ongoing, hitting an airport in one of the country's most northern major cities. Thank you for joining us. Uh just for edification of the audience, you're the head of political analysis at Pangia Policy Advisory.Really great to have you on a morning like this. What do you make of the fact that Israel's attacks, they are still ongoing. We did hear from Benjamin Netanyahu saying that basically it could take days or weeks and that Israel would continue, but what do you make of ...

Geopolitical Risks & Market Impact - Conflict erupts in the Middle East as Israel retaliates against Iran, launching over 100 drones [1][28] - Oil prices surge due to fears of a wider war, with Brent crude rising significantly [2][3] - Global equity markets react negatively, with Euro Stoxx 50 futures and S&P futures down by 15% [3] - Market anticipates potential for further escalation and broader damage beyond Israel and Iran [14] - A worst-case scenario could see oil prices rise by $30 per barrel due to escalations [12] - Market considers the potential for terrorist attacks and attacks by proxies in other parts of the world [14] - Market participants are closely monitoring the Strait of Hormuz, as a blockade could cause a squeeze in oil prices [11] - Israel intercepts drones in Jordanian and Syrian airspace, highlighting control of airspace [87] Aviation Industry - Air India Boeing 787 Dreamliner crashes shortly after takeoff, killing all but one of the 242 people on board [2][21] - The crash marks the deadliest aviation accident in over a decade [3] - Investigators recover one of the black boxes from the crash site [20][22] - Boeing CEO cancels appearance at the Paris Air Show amid the crisis [24] - Airlines prepare to reroute flights due to airspace closures in the Middle East [148] Currency & Bond Market - The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index reacts positively [3] - The U S dollar is reacting like a safe haven rising alongside the equity market [19] - The Israeli Shekel is trading 2% weaker versus the U S dollar [34] - Gold approaches a record high as another safe haven bid [34] - German 10-year yield down around five basis points, so outperforming the bid into fixed income [60]

Geopolitical Risk & Market Impact - Israel launched Operation Rising Line, targeting Iranian nuclear sites, escalating Middle East tensions [1][62] - Oil prices surged as much as 13% due to fears of a wider war impacting a third of global crude production [2][63] - Brent crude rose nearly 9%, trading around $75.47-$75.48 per barrel [3] - S&P futures fell over 1.5%, reflecting a risk-off mood in the markets [4][120] - Gold prices increased over 1%, nearing record highs as investors sought safe-haven assets [5][47] Potential Economic Consequences - A sustained rise in energy prices could lead to higher transport costs in Asia, limiting central banks' ability to cut rates and support domestic demand [51] - The Strait of Hormuz, through which a quarter of global oil output passes, is a potential target, threatening to cause oil prices to skyrocket [30][44] - The US dollar experienced a knee-jerk jump due to risk aversion, but its strength is unlikely to last due to underlying macro weaknesses and anticipated Federal Reserve interest rate cuts [67][69] Strategic Analysis & Regional Response - Israel believes Iran was rapidly moving towards weaponization, potentially building nine atom bombs in the coming months, justifying the operation [13][14] - The US administration signaled a "proceed with caution" approach, allowing Israel to take the risk in hopes of breaking the diplomatic stalemate [24][25] - Oman condemned Israel's actions, and Gulf states are likely to distance themselves, emphasizing neutrality and signaling to Iran they have no interest in escalation [32][33][34] - Iran's armed forces chief of staff was reportedly killed in the strikes [37] - Saudi Arabia condemned Israel's attack on Iran, describing the incident as blatant [74]

After a lackluster start to the year, are we approaching a bigger breakout for the energy trade. Guy, I'm going to start with you. When you look at those charts, does it make you feel like it's only higher from here.First of all, welcome Courtney. It's always great having you. Number one.Number two, there have been many times that I've personally been faked out to the upside on these crude moves specifically on whatever this is, geopolitical risk or concern. But in terms of the stocks you just mentioned, ye ...

Group 1: Major Currency Pairs - EUR/USD is influenced by the policy divergence between the Fed and ECB, with the Fed's aggressive rate hikes in 2022 boosting the dollar [1]. - Economic data comparisons such as GDP, CPI, and various economic indices are critical for EUR/USD analysis [1]. - Geopolitical risks, particularly the impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict on European energy supply, affect the euro's performance [2]. - The USD/JPY pair is driven by the interest rate differential and the Bank of Japan's yield curve control policy, with adjustments in policy leading to significant currency movements [4][5]. - The USD/JPY is also affected by global risk sentiment, with a negative correlation to the VIX index [6]. - GBP/USD is shaped by the Bank of England's policy challenges, particularly balancing persistent inflation above 10% with recession risks [9]. - Post-Brexit trade issues and high energy prices further complicate the GBP/USD outlook [10][11]. Group 2: Commodity Currency Pairs - AUD/USD is primarily driven by commodity prices, especially iron ore, which constitutes 40% of Australia's exports [13]. - Changes in Chinese demand, particularly in real estate, significantly impact AUD/USD [14]. - The USD/CAD pair is influenced by oil prices, with Canada being the fourth-largest oil exporter globally [18]. - The Canadian economy's reliance on U.S. trade, with over 75% of exports going to the U.S., also plays a crucial role in USD/CAD dynamics [20]. Group 3: Safe-Haven Currency Pairs - USD/CHF is affected by European political risks, with the Swiss franc acting as a safe haven during crises [22]. - The Swiss economy's low inflation and high current account surplus support the long-term appreciation of the franc [23]. - Gold (XAU/USD) is influenced by geopolitical tensions and central bank gold purchases, with significant demand seen in 2022 [27]. Group 4: Emerging Market Currency Pairs - The USD/TRY pair is impacted by extreme inflation in Turkey, which exceeded 80% in 2023, alongside irrational monetary policy decisions [32]. - The Turkish lira's depreciation is exacerbated by insufficient foreign reserves covering less than three months of imports [33]. - Geopolitical risks related to Turkey's relations with the U.S. and Europe also affect investor confidence [34]. Group 5: Fundamental Analysis Tools - Economic indicators are prioritized differently for various currency pairs, with CPI differences and central bank decisions being top indicators for EUR/USD [36]. - Data release timings, such as U.S. non-farm payrolls and CPI, are critical for market volatility [37]. - A comprehensive analysis framework is essential for understanding the dynamics of currency pairs, focusing on both long-term structural factors and short-term events [46].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company ended the quarter with record AUM of $115.8 billion, up 5.5% from the prior quarter [5] - Net inflows totaled $3 billion, reflecting an annualized organic growth rate of 11% [5] - Revenue for the quarter was $108 million, down slightly from the previous quarter due to two fewer trading days, but up 11.6% year-over-year [7][8] - Adjusted net income for the quarter was $23 million, or $0.16 per share, impacted by seasonal compensation [8] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Inflows in the U.S. exceeded $1.8 billion, with significant contributions from fixed income and U.S. equity products [6] - The digital money market fund attracted $100 million in AUM during the quarter [6] - In Europe, inflows were over $1.1 billion, primarily into the USITS ETF suite, including $770 million into the European defense fund launched in March [6] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company experienced positive market movement, particularly in commodities, which helped offset headwinds in the U.S. market [6] - The European Defense Fund has been a standout, bringing in $770 million in Q1 and over $700 million in April [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on adapting to evolving market dynamics and has introduced unique investment ideas, such as the geopolitical risk-aware model portfolios [12] - There is a strong emphasis on deepening client relationships, with a target to grow the total number of clients using WisdomTree products by 4% this year [13] - The model portfolios business reached $4 billion in AUA, reflecting a nearly 20% annualized organic growth rate [13] - The company is expanding its digital assets offerings, with plans to enable on-chain transfers and broaden functionality in the coming months [15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to navigate a more volatile market, highlighting the balanced AUM and diversification as strengths [10] - The company anticipates continued growth in client relationships and product usage, with a focus on leveraging AI to enhance performance across various functions [22][32] - The future outlook is described as bright, with a strong platform and execution strategy to drive value creation for shareholders [23] Other Important Information - The WisdomTree European Defense Fund has become one of the most successful launches in the company's history, reflecting a timely response to geopolitical themes [11][19] - The company has positioned itself as a leader in tokenized products, with over $100 million in inflows year-to-date [20][42] Q&A Session Summary Question: Opportunity for WisdomTree Prime - Management discussed the importance of on and off ramps for interacting with stable coins and crypto assets, with a measured rollout planned for the summer and expanded marketing in September [25][27] Question: Update on AI Deployment - Management highlighted the integration of AI across the company to enhance customer experience, growth, and decision-making, with positive results seen in various departments [30][32] Question: Update on Crypto Funds and New ETFs - The company has seen good early capital in its crypto offerings in Europe, with a focus on expanding offerings in the U.S. as regulatory conditions improve [37][40]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company ended the quarter with record AUM of $115.8 billion, up 5.5% from the prior quarter [4] - Net inflows totaled $3 billion, reflecting an annualized organic growth rate of 11% [4] - Revenue for the quarter was $108 million, down slightly from the previous quarter due to two fewer trading days and lower average fee capture, but up 11.6% year-over-year [6][7] - Adjusted net income for the quarter was $23 million, or $0.16 per share, impacted by seasonal compensation [7] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the U.S., the company generated over $1.8 billion of inflows, including into fixed income and U.S. equity products [5] - In Europe, over $1.1 billion of inflows were generated, primarily into the USITS ETF suite, with $770 million into the European Defense Fund launched in March [5] - The model portfolios business reached AUA of $4 billion, up 4% year-to-date, reflecting a nearly 20% annualized organic growth rate [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company experienced positive market movement in commodities, which helped offset headwinds in the U.S. market [6] - The European Defense Fund has been a standout, bringing in $770 million in Q1 alone and over $700 million in April [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on adapting to evolving market dynamics and has introduced unique investment ideas, such as the geopolitical risk-aware model portfolios [11] - There is a strategic emphasis on deepening client relationships, with a target to grow the total number of clients using WisdomTree products by 4% this year [12] - The company is also expanding its digital assets offerings, with plans to enable on-chain transfers and broaden functionality in the coming months [14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the company is well-positioned in a more volatile market, with a balanced AUM and strong client momentum [9] - The CEO expressed confidence in the company's ability to drive long-term value creation for shareholders, highlighting the efficiency of the business model [21][22] Other Important Information - The company has seen significant growth in its tokenized products, with over $100 million in inflows year-to-date [19] - The company is actively working on AI deployment across various functions to enhance performance and decision-making [30][31] Q&A Session Summary Question: Opportunity for WisdomTree Prime - Management discussed the importance of on and off ramps for interacting with stable coins and other crypto assets, with a measured rollout planned for the summer and expanded marketing in September [24][26] Question: Update on Crypto Funds and New ETFs - The company highlighted its focus on Bitcoin in the U.S. and a broader 20-coin basket product in Europe, with over $100 million in inflows for the crypto offering in Europe this year [36][37]