>> THIS IS "BALANCE OF POWER," LIVE FROM WASHINGTON, D. C. JOE: FROM BLOOMBERG'S WASHINGTON, D.C. , STUDIOS TO OUR TV AND RADIO AUDIENCES WORLDWIDE, WELCOME TO "BALANCE OF POWER." I AM JOE MATHIEU. TONIGHT, FULL ACCESS. --FULL ACCESS.TWO MEMBERS OF CONGRESS, TOM MASSIE AND RO KHANNA, ARE SUCH A BRIEF THE REPUBLICAN WHAT THEY SAW FROM THE UNREDACTED EPSTEIN FILES. ACROSS THE POND, THE EPSTEIN SCANDAL HAVING A RIPPLE EFFECT ON BRITISH POLITICS. PRIME MINISTER KEIR STARMER, WHO NEVER MET EPSTEIN, IS FIGHTING F ...

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing talks between the U.S. and Iran regarding nuclear issues have significant implications for oil prices, with potential outcomes ranging from price increases to decreases depending on the success or failure of negotiations [1][2]. Group 1: Price Movement Scenarios - If the talks lead to a formal agreement, oil prices could retreat into support levels [1]. - A collapse of talks could trigger a military response from the U.S., leading to a potential $10 surge in oil prices if Iran retaliates and disrupts the Strait of Hormuz, which is crucial for global oil supply [3]. - Conversely, if an agreement is reached, oil prices could decline by $5.00 to $10.00 as U.S. military presence in the region diminishes [3]. Group 2: External Influences - The U.S. Dollar's strength will impact oil demand, with a weaker dollar likely increasing demand for dollar-denominated crude oil, while a stronger dollar may suppress it [4]. - U.S. inventory levels are being monitored closely, as a significant decline in inventory could provide unexpected support for prices [5]. - Developments regarding Russian oil supply may also introduce volatility in the market [5].

Market Trends - The main trend in the market remains upward, but momentum appears to be shifting, with a secondary lower top at $65.53 and trading below the uptrend line at $63.21 [1] - Resistance levels are identified at $65.53 and $66.49, while a break below the trend line could lead to a sharp decline towards support around the 200-day moving average at $60.70 and the 50% level at $60.66 [1] - WTI is projected to close the week down by 3.2% [1] Geopolitical Factors - Investors are closely monitoring U.S.-Iran talks, which are currently lacking consensus, as Iran focuses on nuclear issues while the U.S. includes ballistic missiles and Iran's regional support [2] - Any escalation in tensions between the U.S. and Iran could disrupt oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical passage for approximately 20% of the world's oil [3] Price Forecasts - If U.S.-Iran talks yield positive outcomes, oil prices may decline further, with Capital Economics predicting prices could drop to $50 per barrel by the end of 2026 due to weak fundamentals and increased production from Kazakhstan [4] Supply Dynamics - The recent price decline is attributed not only to geopolitical issues but also to broader market selloffs and expectations of an oversupplied market [5] - Saudi Arabia has reduced its official selling price for Arab Light crude to Asia to a five-year low, marking the fourth consecutive month of price cuts [5]

Group 1: Commodity Market Overview - The domestic commodity futures market experienced significant volatility this week, with multiple major products showing sharp fluctuations, driven by supply-demand expectations and geopolitical tensions [1] - Precious metals, particularly gold and silver, faced substantial corrections, while agricultural products like soybean meal and soybean oil continued to show weakness [1] - Coking coal strengthened due to expectations of production cuts in Indonesia, while lithium carbonate continued its downward trend under pressure from inventory changes and the end of pre-holiday stocking [1] Group 2: Precious Metals - The precious metals market was the most volatile sector this week, with gold futures dropping over 4% and silver plummeting more than 27%, marking the largest weekly decline of the year [2] - This correction was primarily due to a rapid retreat of risk aversion, as previous premiums driven by Middle Eastern tensions and global central bank gold purchases quickly dissipated following signs of easing in US-Iran relations [2] - Investors rushed to close their risk-hedging positions, pushing prices downward, while a strengthening US dollar further pressured dollar-denominated precious metals [2] Group 3: Aluminum Market - Aluminum prices fell as geopolitical risks eased, with Shanghai aluminum futures coming under downward pressure as concerns over regional supply diminished [3] - The Middle East accounts for nearly 10% of global electrolytic aluminum capacity, but the actual supply disruption risk is lower than market expectations due to differences in production structures and logistics [3] - As tensions cooled, the "risk premium" in aluminum prices was gradually erased, although domestic alumina maintenance led to short-term supply tightening [3] Group 4: Agricultural Products - The agricultural sector remained weak, with soybean meal and soybean oil experiencing significant declines, primarily due to reinforced expectations of a bumper soybean harvest in South America [4] - The USDA's January report raised Brazil's soybean production forecast to 178 million tons, a record high, with some institutions estimating it could reach 182 million tons [4] - As of January 31, Brazil's soybean harvest progress was at 11.4%, significantly ahead of last year's pace, leading to increased concerns about the influx of new season soybeans [4] Group 5: Lithium Market - Lithium carbonate futures continued their downward trend, with market logic returning to fundamentals [5] - Weekly data showed a decrease in social inventory by 1,414 tons, but a clear structural divergence was evident, with downstream inventory increasing by 3,007 tons while upstream decreased by 831 tons [5] - The market reflected that terminal demand had not effectively recovered, and with pre-holiday stocking largely completed, the market's pricing for first-quarter destocking expectations was nearly finalized [5]

RT THE HUNTER (@TrueGemHunter)Friday, 6 Feb 2026 could become a historical day this decade.Markets are showing clear weakness.Stocks, crypto and metals are all falling at the same time, without a major event.That is unusual and suggests large global stress.Moves like this typically point to extreme pressure in the financial system.With rising geopolitical risk and reports of a potential US conflict with Iran, markets could just crack and chain reaction will start. 💥This is not a confirmed collapse yet, but ...

I would say he should be very worried. Yeah, he should be. As you know, they're negotiating with us. I know they are.But the protesters have said, you know, where are the Americans. You promised them we would have their back. Do we still have their back. We've had their back.And look, that country is a mess right now because of us. We went in, we wiped out their nuclear arsenal. If we want, make peace in the Middle East.If I didn't take out their nuclear. Think of it. If we didn't take out that nuclear, we ...

Last year we saw almost ma all major international markets outperform the US and you know after 15 years of uh having outperformance now other markets I think will catch up on the US market because the in terms of valuations the US is a bit more expensive than other market. So David, share with our listeners and viewers why we're starting to diversify our personal investments a little bit away from the United States. >> Yeah.Well, international markets have outper outperformed US markets and since the begin ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the risks associated with buying stocks at new lows, particularly in the technology sector, and emphasizes that beaten-down shares may not be as attractive as they appear [1] Group 1: Market Trends - Recent sell-offs in technology stocks, including companies like Adobe, Salesforce, Intuit, and Workday, have led to many trading around 52-week lows [1] - Analysts warn against the common strategy of "buying the dip," suggesting that stocks making new lows often continue to decline [1] Group 2: Academic Insights - Research from Erasmus University and Northern Trust indicates that stocks with positive price momentum tend to yield better returns, while those with weak momentum continue to underperform [1] - The study analyzed long-short stock portfolios from 1990 to 2024, showing that winners keep winning and losers keep losing [1] Group 3: Market Recovery Patterns - Deutsche Bank's macro strategist notes that the year has seen sharp sell-offs that often recover quickly, with no lasting damage inflicted on the market [1] - Historical patterns suggest that significant market downturns are typically associated with negative macroeconomic reassessments, which have not been observed recently [1]

Group 1: International Investment Landscape - The current dollar weakness is a significant driver affecting international investments, with corporate governance changes leading to the breakup of large conglomerates into smaller, more shareholder-friendly entities [2] - International investors are facing challenges as the traditional hedge of dollar exposure is no longer guaranteed, prompting a reevaluation of investment strategies [3][4] - There is a growing interest in U.S. private markets among international investors, indicating a shift from traditional public equity investments [4] Group 2: Market Performance and Company Updates - Uber's shares have dropped significantly following disappointing fourth-quarter results, highlighting volatility in the ridesharing sector [6] - Eli Lilly forecasts a strong year for sales driven by demand for their weight loss drug, despite warning of a potential double-digit sales drop this year [7] - Netflix is defending its merger with Warner Bros. Discovery, arguing that it will enhance content availability for consumers, although the deal is under DOJ review [8]

Core Viewpoint - The content emphasizes the importance of conducting personal due diligence and consulting with competent advisors before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments in complex instruments like cryptocurrencies and CFDs [1]. Group 1 - The website provides general news, personal analysis, and third-party materials intended for educational and research purposes [1]. - It explicitly states that the information should not be interpreted as a recommendation or advice for investment actions [1]. - The accuracy and reliability of the information are not guaranteed, and users are cautioned against relying solely on the content provided [1]. Group 2 - The website discusses the high risks associated with cryptocurrencies and CFDs, highlighting that they are complex instruments with a significant potential for financial loss [1]. - It encourages users to conduct their own research and fully understand the workings and risks of any financial instruments before investing [1].