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Top Stock Picks for Week of June 16, 2025
Stock Picks Overview - The report highlights two Zacks Rank number one strong buy stocks poised for positive returns [1] - The featured stocks are selected by strategists Dave Bartoziaak and Tracy Ryneck [1] - Zacks covers thousands of companies, but only about 240 to 250 receive a Zacks Rank number one [2] Dave's Pick: Fintech "Dave" - Dave operates in the technology services industry, specifically fintech, focusing on banking the underserved [1] - Dave's EPS estimates are north of $10 per share, driving the stock up over 200% [1] - The stock trades at 2384% times earnings, higher than the industry average of 94% but in line with the S&P 500 at 2242% [1] - Current year revenue growth is 36%, with next year projected at 24% [1] - Current year EPS growth is estimated at 66%, slowing to 32% next year, reaching $1156 [1] - The company has consistently beaten earnings estimates by nearly a dollar each quarter [1] Tracy's Pick: CyberArk Software (CYBR) - CyberArk Software (CYBR) is in the cyber security sector, focusing on identity security [1] - Subscription revenue grew 60% in the first quarter [1] - The company gave free cash flow guidance of $300 million to $310 million for the full year, with 30% free cash flow margins in the first quarter [1] - Earnings estimates have been revised upwards, with 12 up in the last 60 days and three even in the last 30 days [2] - Double-digit earnings growth is expected: 257% for this year and 257% for next year [2] - Sales are projected to grow 319% this year and almost 19% next year [2] - The stock's PE is 101 times, with a PEG of 41%, reflecting a willingness to pay for growth [2] - Year-to-date, the stock is up 19% versus 33% for the S&P 500; over the last year, it's up 57% compared to the S&P's 104% [2]
Should You Buy CyberArk Stock After a 10.7% Rise in a Month?
ZACKS· 2025-06-16 15:40
Core Insights - CyberArk Software (CYBR) shares have increased by 10.7% in the past month, outperforming the Zacks Security industry and peers like Palo Alto Networks, Fortinet, and SentinelOne [1][6] - The Zacks Security industry has returned 2.6% in the same period, with Palo Alto Networks gaining 1%, while Fortinet and SentinelOne lost 3.7% and 13.7%, respectively [1] Company Performance - CyberArk's subscription ARR grew by 65% year-over-year in Q1 2025, indicating strong demand and continued innovation [5] - Projected revenues for 2025 are between $1.313 billion and $1.323 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 31.89% [6][8] Strategic Developments - CyberArk has made significant acquisitions, including Venafi for $1.54 billion and Zilla Security for $165 million, enhancing its capabilities in machine identity management and broadening its security offerings [6][7] - The integration of AI solutions like CORA AI and Secure AI Agents into its identity security platform allows CyberArk to secure a wide range of identities, including human, AI, and machine [3][4] Market Position - CyberArk serves over 5,400 global businesses, including more than 50% of the Fortune 500 and 35% of the Global 2000 companies, bolstered by partnerships with tech giants like Microsoft, AWS, and Google Cloud [9][10] - The identity security and access management market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 8.4% from 2024 to 2029, providing ample growth opportunities for CyberArk and its competitors [11] Valuation Metrics - CyberArk trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 13.76X, which is below the industry average of 14.77X and competitive with peers like Palo Alto Networks, Fortinet, and SentinelOne [12] - The stock is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a bullish trend [15]
SailPoint Analysts Increase Their Forecasts After Better-Than-Expected Q1 Earnings
Benzinga· 2025-06-12 13:22
Core Insights - SailPoint, Inc. reported better-than-expected first-quarter adjusted EPS results and raised its FY26 guidance above estimates [1] - The company experienced a quarterly revenue growth of 23% year-on-year to $230.47 million, with subscription revenue increasing by 27% to $215.32 million [1] - For fiscal year 2026, SailPoint expects an ARR of $1.095 billion to $1.105 billion, representing 25%-26% growth [3] Financial Performance - First-quarter adjusted EPS was reported at 1 cent, surpassing the consensus estimate of a 1-cent loss [1] - The company anticipates second-quarter revenue of $242 million to $244 million, indicating a growth of 22%-23% compared to the consensus estimate of $231.96 million [2] - For fiscal 2026, revenue is projected to be between $1.034 billion and $1.044 billion, which is an increase from the previous guidance [3] Market Reaction - Following the earnings announcement, SailPoint shares increased by 14.7%, closing at $22.53 [4] - Analysts have adjusted their price targets for SailPoint, with Barclays raising it from $23 to $25 and Wells Fargo from $16 to $20 [7] Strategic Outlook - The CEO highlighted strong adoption among Fortune 500 and Forbes Global 2000 companies, indicating a robust customer base [3] - The company is focusing on identity security solutions that are AI and data-driven, which is expected to drive future growth [3]
SailPoint Inc(SAIL) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-06-11 13:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported an annual recurring revenue (ARR) of $925 million, representing a 30% year-over-year increase, with fast ARR growing 39% year-over-year [5][23] - Total revenue for Q1 2026 was $230 million, up 23% year-over-year, with subscription revenue of $215 million, increasing 27% year-over-year [26] - Adjusted gross profit margin was 76.3%, and adjusted operating margin was 10.2%, exceeding expectations [26] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The contribution from non-employee risk management, machine identity security, and data access security modules more than doubled compared to the same period last year [25] - The average ARR per customer is nearly three times higher than that of other identity security vendors, indicating a comprehensive enterprise-wide role [18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company holds nearly 21% market share in the identity governance and administration (IGA) market, significantly outpacing its nearest competitor [8] - Customer retention rates remain strong, with net revenue retention (NRR) at 115% [25][17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company emphasizes a strategy focused on identity security as a critical investment priority for enterprises, aiming to address the complexities of modern digital environments [5][24] - The innovation strategy includes the introduction of new offerings like agent identity security and Harbor Pilot, which leverage AI to enhance identity governance [12][13] - Partnerships with cloud providers and systems integrators are being strengthened to enhance market reach and customer solutions [15][16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that there has not been a fundamental change in demand due to the macro environment, with identity security remaining a top spending priority for enterprises [24] - The company is confident in its pipeline and sales velocity, expecting continued growth driven by both new customer acquisitions and existing customer expansions [25][20] Other Important Information - The company ended the quarter with $228 million in cash and equivalents and no debt [27] - Guidance for Q2 2026 includes an expected ARR of $965 million, up approximately 26% year-over-year, and revenue of $243 million, an increase of 22% year-over-year [28][29] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on machine identity market dynamics and pricing - Management indicated that machine identity is a top concern for customers, with pricing expected to be value-based and a significant opportunity for the company [31][33] Question: Observations on macroeconomic pressures - Management reported that business remains stable, with no significant impact from macroeconomic factors observed thus far [39][40] Question: Details on ARR strength and customer acquisition - Management noted that half of the ARR growth came from new customers, with strong demand for identity security solutions amid competitive displacements [44][46] Question: AI's role in identity governance - Management explained that governance tools are well-positioned to address questions related to AI access and performance, differentiating from access and authentication tools [52][54] Question: Customer migration from legacy systems - Management observed an acceleration in migration from legacy IGA solutions, driven by the flaws in those systems and the need for modern solutions [58][60] Question: Contribution of migrations to NRR - Management confirmed that migrations contributed low single digits to the NRR, indicating ongoing customer transitions to newer solutions [104] Question: Growth in non-SaaS ARR - Management highlighted a strong term business for Q1, with some sizable customers opting for on-prem solutions, although SaaS remains the primary focus [111]
SailPoint Inc(SAIL) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-06-11 13:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported an annual recurring revenue (ARR) of $925 million, representing a 30% year-over-year increase, with fast ARR growing 39% year-over-year [4][22] - Total revenue for Q1 was $230 million, up 23% year-over-year, with subscription revenue of $215 million, increasing 27% year-over-year [25] - Adjusted gross profit margin was 76.3%, and adjusted operating margin was 10.2%, exceeding expectations [25][26] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company saw a 62% year-over-year increase in customers with ARR greater than $1 million, indicating strong demand for its solutions [5] - ARR contribution from non-employee risk management, machine identity security, and data access security modules more than doubled compared to the same period last year [24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company holds nearly 21% market share in the identity governance and administration (IGA) market, significantly outpacing its nearest competitor [6] - The company reported that half of its new bookings in Q1 came from existing customers, reflecting strong customer retention and expansion [15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company emphasizes a strategy focused on innovation in identity security, particularly in governance for emerging identity types, including machine identities and AI agents [10][12] - The company is expanding its ecosystem through partnerships with cloud providers and systems integrators, enhancing its market reach and customer solutions [14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that identity security remains a top priority for enterprises, with no significant changes in demand due to the macro environment [23] - The company is confident in its growth trajectory, with a robust pipeline and strong sales velocity, indicating resilience in identity and cybersecurity budgets [19][24] Other Important Information - The company ended the quarter with $228 million in cash and equivalents and no debt, having paid off its outstanding balance [27] - Guidance for Q2 includes an expected ARR of $965 million, up approximately 26% year-over-year, and revenue of $243 million, an increase of 22% year-over-year [28][29] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on machine identity market dynamics and pricing - Management indicated that machine identity is a top concern for customers, with pricing expected to be value-based and competitive dynamics focused on authorization capabilities rather than just authentication [31][35] Question: Impact of macroeconomic factors on business - Management stated that they have not seen significant macroeconomic pressures affecting their business, maintaining a strong demand for identity security solutions [39][40] Question: Details on ARR strength and customer acquisition - Management highlighted that new customer acquisition is strong, with half of ARR growth coming from new customers and half from existing customer expansions, including migrations and upsells [43][46] Question: AI's role in IGA and competitive positioning - Management explained that IGA is well-positioned to address the governance needs of AI, focusing on access and authorization questions that are critical for managing AI agents [51][54] Question: Customer migration from legacy systems - Management noted an acceleration in migration from legacy IGA solutions, driven by the flaws in those systems and the need for modern solutions [58][60] Question: Contributions to net revenue retention rate - Management confirmed that migrations contributed low single digits to the net revenue retention rate, with a balanced mix of upsells and cross-sells driving growth [101][103]
Is CyberArk's AI Focus Enough to Sustain Its ARR Growth Momentum?
ZACKS· 2025-06-10 14:50
Core Insights - CyberArk Software (CYBR) reported strong first-quarter fiscal 2025 results with Annual Recurring Revenues (ARR) of $1.22 billion, an increase from $1.17 billion in the previous quarter, and a net new ARR of $46 million driven by subscription growth and identity security platform adoption [1][10] Group 1: Financial Performance - Subscription ARR surpassed $1.03 billion, accounting for nearly 85% of total ARR, with an addition of $51 million in net new subscription ARR, indicating enhanced financial stability and predictability [2][10] - CyberArk aims for full-year fiscal 2025 ARR to reach between $1.41 billion and $1.42 billion, reflecting approximately 21% year-over-year growth, supported by a robust subscription base and new customer additions [5] Group 2: Product Development and Strategy - CyberArk is expanding into artificial intelligence (AI) with its new "Secure AI Agent" product, designed to protect both autonomous and human-controlled AI systems, addressing the growing need for security in AI tools [2][3] - The company reported that machine identity products were featured in nine of the ten largest deals in the quarter, showcasing its capability to protect non-human identities [3] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Competitors like Zscaler and SentinelOne are also experiencing growth, with Zscaler achieving $2.9 billion in ARR (23% year-over-year growth) and SentinelOne reaching $948 million in ARR (24% year-over-year growth) [6][7] - CyberArk's shares have gained 19.5% year-to-date, compared to the Zacks Security industry's growth of 22% [8] Group 4: Valuation Metrics - CyberArk trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 13.76, which is below the industry's average of 14.77, indicating potential valuation attractiveness [12]
CyberArk Software (CYBR) 2025 Conference Transcript
2025-06-03 18:40
CyberArk Software (CYBR) 2025 Conference Summary Industry Overview - **Industry**: Cybersecurity, specifically focusing on Identity Security and Privileged Access Management (PAM) [3][6] - **Market Trends**: Increasing attacks on both human and machine identities, with identity being recognized as the primary defense factor against adversaries [3][4][5] Core Company Insights - **Company Positioning**: CyberArk has evolved from traditional PAM to a broader identity security market, capturing significant demand due to the urgency of identity protection [3][5] - **Growth in PAM**: The core PAM market remains vibrant with substantial growth opportunities, particularly in modern use cases and among highly privileged users who are not fully secured [6][7][12] Customer Dynamics - **Customer Demand**: There is robust demand for identity security solutions, with customers increasingly seeking multi-product solutions that address high-priority areas [9][10] - **Expansion Opportunities**: CyberArk has established multi-year roadmaps with strategic customers, allowing for ongoing expansion within existing accounts [11][12] Competitive Landscape - **Emerging Competitors**: Non-traditional identity security players, such as CrowdStrike, are entering the identity space, but CyberArk differentiates itself through a preventative and deterministic approach to identity security [14][15][23] - **Consolidation of Trust**: Customers are looking for trusted vendors to reduce the number of cybersecurity vendors they engage with, emphasizing the importance of a unified identity security platform [20][21] Product Development and Innovation - **Identity Security Platform**: CyberArk is focused on creating a unified user experience across its identity security offerings, which is essential for effective deployment and management [22][19] - **Acquisition of Zillow**: The acquisition aims to enhance CyberArk's Identity Governance and Administration (IGA) capabilities, addressing the need for modern, efficient IGA solutions that integrate with existing identity security frameworks [40][41][44] Machine Identity and AI - **Machine Identity Security**: There is a growing recognition of the security importance of machine identities, with CyberArk positioned to address this need through its solutions [28][29][32] - **AI Integration**: CyberArk is actively working on incorporating AI into its solutions to enhance productivity and security, particularly in managing access to AI systems [34][36][38] Future Opportunities - **Market Potential**: There remains a significant opportunity for CyberArk to secure a large number of unsecured identities, both human and machine, as well as to expand its offerings in the evolving landscape of identity security [54][55] - **Long-term Vision**: The company is optimistic about its growth trajectory, with plans to deepen and broaden its solutions to meet the increasing demands of the market [55][56]
Okta(OKTA) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-27 22:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported solid Q1 results with exceptional cash flow and record operating profitability and profit margin [16] - For Q2 FY '26, total revenue growth is expected to be 10%, with current RPO growth of 10% to 11%, and a non-GAAP operating margin of 26% [20] - For the full year FY '26, total revenue growth is projected at 9% to 10%, with a non-GAAP operating margin of 25% and a free cash flow margin of approximately 27% [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The governance portfolio, including Okta Identity Governance, lifecycle management, and workflows, has seen substantial growth, with workflow executions increasing nearly 400% over the past three years [8] - The Auth0 platform performed well, contributing positively to the overall results, particularly following a record Q4 [16][17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The US public sector vertical has shown strength, with significant deals contributing to Q1 results, including federal contracts [18] - International markets experienced a deceleration compared to the US, but specific details on the impact were not disclosed [34] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on product innovation, with new offerings such as Okta Identity Governance and Auth for GenAI, aimed at addressing evolving cyber threats and enhancing security [7][12] - Okta is positioning itself as a leader in identity security, emphasizing the importance of consolidating disparate identity systems for customers [14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the future, citing strong customer conversations and the importance of identity solutions in the context of AI projects [26][30] - There is a cautious approach to guidance due to potential macroeconomic uncertainties, although no immediate impacts were observed in Q1 [28][30] Other Important Information - The company is committed to maintaining its investment levels despite a cautious macro outlook, indicating confidence in long-term growth opportunities [110] - The introduction of suite-based pricing for the Okta platform has shown positive results, with customers interested in purchasing multiple products [62] Q&A Session Summary Question: What factors influenced the additional conservatism in guidance? - Management noted that while Q1 results were strong, there is a cautious tone in the environment, prompting a conservative approach in guidance [28][30] Question: Was there any softness in April? - Management confirmed that there was no softness in April, and performance remained solid throughout the quarter [35] Question: How is the go-to-market specialization progressing? - Management reported a solid start to the specialization process, with strong performance in the Auth0 side and pipeline building [41][42] Question: What is the outlook for new logo pipeline in the workforce business? - Management expressed optimism about the new logo pipeline, highlighting the potential of new products to attract new customers [91][92] Question: How should investors interpret the guidance for CRPO? - Management explained that the guidance reflects a cautious approach due to macroeconomic factors, but emphasized that the underlying business remains strong [55][107]
Okta(OKTA) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-05-27 20:30
Financial Performance - Total revenue for Q1 FY26 reached $688 million, a 12% increase year-over-year[65] - Subscription revenue for Q1 FY26 was $673 million, also up by 12% year-over-year[65] - Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) totaled $4084 million, representing a 21% year-over-year increase[64, 65] - Current Remaining Performance Obligations (cRPO) amounted to $2227 million, a 14% increase year-over-year[64, 65] - The company has 4870 customers with Annual Contract Value (ACV) exceeding $100K, a 7% increase year-over-year[65, 87] Profitability and Efficiency - Non-GAAP gross margin was 819%, a 04 percentage point increase[65] - Non-GAAP subscription gross margin was 839%, a 04 percentage point increase[65] - Non-GAAP operating margin was 267%, a 51 percentage point increase[65] - Free cash flow margin was 347%, a 01 percentage point increase[65] Future Outlook - The company estimates total revenue between $2850 million and $2860 million for FY26, representing a 15% Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) from FY23[19]
Top Wall Street analysts favor these stocks for the long haul
CNBC· 2025-05-25 10:38
Core Viewpoint - The rising U.S. budget deficit is impacting investor sentiment, leading to stock sell-offs, which may present buying opportunities for informed investors [1] Group 1: Uber Technologies (UBER) - Uber Technologies is highlighted as a stock pick following its Go-Get 2025 event, where it introduced new products aimed at user attraction [3][4] - Evercore analyst Mark Mahaney reiterated a buy rating on UBER with a price target of $115, noting the launch of Price Lock and Prepaid Pass as significant new offerings [4][5] - Mahaney believes Uber can sustain approximately 30% earnings growth, maintaining its position as one of Evercore's top "Longs" despite a solid year-to-date rally [7] Group 2: CyberArk Software (CYBR) - CyberArk Software reported better-than-expected Q1 2025 results, with subscription annual recurring revenue reaching $1.028 billion [8] - Baird analyst Shrenik Kothari reaffirmed a buy rating on CYBR, raising the price target to $460, citing strong performance across key metrics [9][10] - Kothari noted that CyberArk's identity security platform continues to attract customers, with no impact from macro pressures on deal flow [12] Group 3: Palo Alto Networks (PANW) - Palo Alto Networks delivered market-beating earnings and revenue for Q3 FY25, although its adjusted gross margin fell short of expectations [14] - TD Cowen analyst Shaul Eyal reiterated a buy rating on PANW with a price target of $230, highlighting strong results and significant product revenue growth [15][16] - Eyal expects Palo Alto to remain a market leader in next-gen firewalls and to expand into adjacent security markets, leveraging its large customer base for cross-selling opportunities [18]