Company Performance - Cisco Systems (CSCO) stock fell over 7% at the open due to a gloomy profit outlook despite a rise in sales, as the company expects margins to be squeezed by memory costs linked to AI datacenter spending [3] - McDonald's (MCD) shares nudged higher after the burger giant's earnings beat expectations [6] - Upcoming earnings reports to watch include Coinbase (COIN), Applied Materials (AMAT), and Rivian (RIVN), all scheduled for release after the market close [6] Economic Indicators - The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) increased by approximately 0.5%, while the S&P 500 (^GSPC) and Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) both gained around 0.3% [2] - Jobless claims showed a smaller decline than expected, with nonfarm payrolls data indicating the US economy added twice as many jobs as anticipated in January, complicating expectations for Federal Reserve policy [5] - Attention is turning to the upcoming Consumer Price Index report, with hopes that a softer reading will indicate easing price pressures while maintaining economic growth [4]

Economic Data - Jobless claims data showed a revised increase from 231,000 to 232,000, with new claims at 227,000, down by 5,000 from the previous week [1][2][3] - Continuing claims rose to 1.8862 million, an increase of 21,000 from the revised number last week [2][3] Inflation and Federal Reserve - The unemployment rate stands at 4.3%, and upcoming CPI data is anticipated to provide further insights into inflation trends [3][4] - The Federal Reserve may shift focus from the labor market back to inflation, potentially delaying rate cuts [4] Tariff Developments - The House has sent a strong message regarding tariffs on Canada, with six Republicans voting against President Trump's stance [5][6] - The Senate's response remains uncertain, and any potential legislation may face a presidential veto due to insufficient support [6][7] - The Supreme Court is expected to address tariff-related issues on February 20, with speculation about the administration's response to a potential ruling against it [7][9]

By Mike Dolan Feb 12 - What matters in U.S. and global markets today By Mike Dolan, Editor-At-Large, Finance and Markets World stock markets have been pretty buoyant as they digest the robust U.S. January employment report and dampened Federal Reserve rate cut expectations. While the downward revisions to ‌2025 payrolls underscore last year’s subdued hiring, the 130,000 payroll gain last month was almost twice the 70,000 forecast. The unemployment rate also unexpectedly ‌fell to 4.3% - even as labor f ...

欧洲央行官员本月初在第五次会议上维持借贷成本不变，行长拉加德重申了央行一贯的论调，即他们认 为自身处境"良好"。投资者和经济学家预计利率将维持不变至2027年。 当被问及在 2026 年晚些时候任期结束后是否会再次担任爱尔兰中央银行行长时，Makhlouf表示他"很享 受我的工作"。他说："我接手这项工作已经七年了。我非常专注于接下来的几个月。有很多事情要做。 我有一个很棒的团队，我们致力于为爱尔兰人民服务。" Makhlouf称："通胀本身一度飙升至非常高的水平，但一直在回落，目前基本上已达到目标水平。欧洲 央行正按计划推进，力争在中期内实现2%的通胀目标。" 智通财经APP获悉，欧洲央行管理委员会成员、爱尔兰央行行长Gabriel Makhlouf表示，政策制定者的 下一步行动可能是提高或降低借贷成本。Makhlouf表示："我不排除进一步降息的可能性，实际上我也 不排除利率上调的可能性。我的意思是，目前看来，通胀正朝着我们的目标稳步前进，所以我们处境良 好。" 他表示，尽管存在"诸多不确定因素"，欧洲央行仍将继续采取逐次会议进行的方式。"我们会审视证 据，分析数据——很难准确预测未来会发生什么。但就目前 ...

Market Overview - U.S. stock futures are showing modest gains, with Dow Jones futures up approximately 0.3% to 0.4%, S&P 500 futures climbing around 0.3%, and Nasdaq Composite futures advancing by about 0.2% to 0.3% [2] - Major U.S. indexes ended largely flat or slightly lower, with the S&P 500 down less than 0.1%, Dow Jones dipping 0.1% to 50,121.40 points, and Nasdaq declining 0.2% to 23,066.47 points [3] Economic Data - A robust U.S. Labor Department report indicated that employers added 130,000 jobs in January, significantly exceeding forecasts, which tempered expectations for near-term Federal Reserve interest rate cuts [3] - Upcoming economic data includes initial jobless claims and existing home sales, which will provide insights into the U.S. labor market and housing sector [4] - The most anticipated economic event is Friday's Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation report for January, which could influence Federal Reserve policy decisions [5] Corporate News - Cisco Systems (CSCO) shares fell approximately 7% to 8% due to weak quarterly guidance and lower gross margins, impacting the broader technology sector [6] - McDonald's (MCD) shares slipped slightly despite beating earnings estimates, indicating investor concerns about other aspects of its report [7] - Robinhood Markets (HOOD) experienced an 8.8% drop after revenue fell short of forecasts and concerns about its 2026 expense outlook [7] - Moderna (MRNA) saw its stock fall 3.5% after the FDA refused to review its application for a new flu vaccine [8] - Kraft Heinz (KHC) shares rose 0.4% after announcing a pause in plans to split the company and revealing a $600 million investment [8] - Unity (U) plunged over 25% in premarket trading despite strong fourth-quarter results due to disappointing first-quarter revenue guidance [9] - Micron Technology (MU) stock soared nearly 10%, leading a rally in semiconductor stocks globally [10] - Other notable premarket movers include Equinix (EQIX) gaining 8.64% and Sandisk (SNDK) up 6.07%, while Rollins (ROL) dropped 12.50% and Paycom Software (PAYC) fell 8.22% [11] International Market Movements - Siemens AG (SIEGY) rallied over 6% after boosting its 2026 outlook, while EssilorLuxottica SA (ESLOY) surged 10% on strong demand for AI-powered glasses [12] - Schroders Plc (SDR.L) jumped 30% on news of its acquisition by U.S. peer Nuveen [12] Sector Performance - Among the "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks, Nvidia (NVDA) and Tesla (TSLA) posted modest gains, while Alphabet (GOOGL) declined 2.4% [13] - Energy sector stocks saw gains, with Exxon Mobil (XOM) rising 2.6% and Smurfit Westrock (SMFT) surging 9.9% [13] Market Sentiment - The market remains focused on the interplay between economic data, corporate performance, and the Federal Reserve's potential path for interest rates, with trading likely influenced by ongoing assessments of these factors [14]

Core Viewpoint - U.S. Treasury yields have decreased as investors adopt a cautious stance regarding the U.S. economic outlook, despite the release of strong labor data [1] Group 1: Treasury Yields and Economic Outlook - Treasury yields fell during European trading, indicating a preference for caution among investors [1] - The market is focused on the upcoming inflation data release, with expectations that an upside surprise could lead to higher yields and a stronger dollar [1] - If inflation data aligns with expectations, the dollar may remain stable, as investors are closely monitoring the Federal Reserve's leadership dynamics and their implications for policy in 2026 [1]

Company Overview - Micron Technology, Inc. is a leading American memory company, recognized as one of the top three memory manufacturers alongside Samsung and SK hynix [1] - The company has experienced significant growth, with its stock price increasing by 311% over the past year [1] Investment Strategy - The focus is on achieving strong, risk-adjusted returns through disciplined and analytical investment approaches [1] - The investment strategy has evolved to include both technical and fundamental analysis, with an emphasis on swing trading undervalued small companies [1]

Bitcoin and the broader crypto market are bracing for potential volatility as traders await the delayed January US inflation data, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report now scheduled for release this week. BTC hovers near $68K, struggling to establish a solid floor after a correction triggered by evolving macroeconomic expectations. EXPLORE: What is the Next Crypto to Explode in 2026? Market Eyes US Inflation Data and Fed Path The postponed BLS inflation print has gained outsized importance followi ...

Core Insights - India is set to release new inflation figures based on a revised consumer price index (CPI), which may indicate heightened price pressures in the economy, potentially leading the central bank to maintain current interest rates [1][4] CPI Overhaul - The new CPI, scheduled for release on Thursday, will reflect updated spending patterns and will include data for 2025, facilitating easier comparisons [2] - The weighting of volatile items like food has been reduced to approximately 36.8% from nearly 50%, while new categories such as rural housing rentals and online shopping have been introduced [3] - The base year for the CPI has been updated from 2012 to 2024, which may result in an inflation reading of about 2.77% for January, compared to 1.33% in December based on the previous series [3] Central Bank Implications - Although inflation remains below the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) target of 4%, the new figures could lead to a pause in rate cuts and an increase in bond yields [4] - The RBI's inflation forecasting model has faced scrutiny due to past overestimations, prompting discussions on whether to target an inflation measure that excludes food to reduce volatility [5] Market Reactions - The new CPI series is expected to enhance the effectiveness of the RBI's monetary policy and improve the speed of transmission [6] - Financial market participants are closely monitoring the CPI changes, as a higher inflation trajectory could keep borrowing costs elevated, affecting bond yields and equity valuations [6] Economic Context - The revised CPI aims to better reflect India's economic reality, considering the shift in consumer spending towards services and housing as incomes rise [7] - Core inflation, which excludes food and fuel, will see its weight increase to nearly 58% from 47.3%, making it more responsive to monetary policy [8] Future Data Releases - The government plans to publish GDP data on February 27 based on the new consumer spending patterns, which may show a significant upward revision in the economy's size, potentially positioning India to surpass Japan as the world's fourth-largest economy [9] Index Composition Changes - The CPI overhaul will replace outdated items with modern expenditures, including airfares and e-commerce sales, while also incorporating electricity prices and rural housing costs [10] - Free food items from government welfare programs will be excluded from the new CPI, which will also provide more detailed data potentially down to the item level [11] Market Expectations - The bond market is currently facing record debt supply, with benchmark 10-year bond yields reaching their highest level in over a year following the central bank's decision to hold rates [11] - Market expectations indicate a slight upward bias in the new CPI of around 30-50 basis points, with the RBI anticipated to maintain a long hold stance focused on proactive liquidity management [12]

Group 1 - Long-term bonds are entering a new era due to a new Federal Reserve Chair and uncertainty around interest rates, making reliance on predictions less viable [1] - TLT represents long-term U.S. Treasury bonds, which investors use for safety and diversification, with current price action being crucial [1][2] - In uncertain rate environments, monitoring price rather than guessing is emphasized as a strategy for investors [3][7] Group 2 - The monthly chart of TLT highlights the larger trend in long bonds and key levels to watch as markets deal with inflation, growth concerns, and Fed policy shifts [2][7] - The year 2026 is noted to bring new uncertainty regarding interest rates, impacting long bond attractiveness [7] - Various stock market ETFs are analyzed, with S&P 500 (SPY) returning to a bullish phase and the Dow (DIA) reaching new highs, indicating overall market strength [6][8]