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台风活动、全球变暖、水汽输送……全球气候系统变化导致华北雨季超长“待机”
Ke Ji Ri Bao· 2025-08-28 06:58
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the unusually long and wet rainy season in North China, highlighting its early onset and significant rainfall, which are attributed to various climatic factors and global warming effects [1][2][3]. Group 1: Rainy Season Characteristics - The rainy season in North China began on July 5, 2025, which is 13 days earlier than the average start date of July 18 [2]. - As of August 21, the average rainfall in the North China monitoring area reached 315.5 mm, which is 131% higher than the normal value of 136.6 mm [2]. Group 2: Contributing Factors - The increased rainfall is linked to several factors, including abnormal sea temperatures in the equatorial Pacific, a strong and shifted subtropical high-pressure system, typhoon activity, and geographical influences [3][4]. - The subtropical high-pressure system has been notably strong and positioned further north than usual, facilitating the transport of warm, moist air to northern China [3]. Group 3: Geographical Influence - The geographical features of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, including the Taihang and Yan mountains, enhance precipitation through orographic lift, which promotes condensation of moisture [4]. - The combination of topographical effects and weather systems significantly increases rainfall efficiency in the region [4].
今天东北华南等地将现较强降雨 大范围高温仍将持续
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-08-28 01:17
Group 1 - Heavy rainfall in northern China is moving towards the northeast, with significant rainfall recorded in various regions including Beijing, Tianjin, and Hebei [2][4] - The Central Meteorological Observatory predicts that today, areas such as eastern Jilin, central and eastern Liaoning, and parts of Sichuan will experience heavy rainfall, with localized areas facing severe downpours [2][4] - A tropical disturbance in the South China Sea is expected to strengthen and bring heavy rainfall to the southern coastal regions over the next two days [2][6] Group 2 - High temperatures will persist across a wide range of areas including the Yellow River basin, Jiangnan, and parts of Sichuan, with some regions like Chongqing and eastern Hunan potentially reaching temperatures around 40°C [7] - A temporary reduction in high temperatures is expected from August 30 to early September, with cities like Hefei, Wuhan, and Nanjing likely to see a break from the heat [7] - Despite the temporary relief, areas in Jiangnan and southern regions may continue to experience high temperatures, with Nanchang expected to remain hot for the next week [7]
北方再迎较强降雨 华北雨季为何还未停歇?
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-08-27 10:52
Core Viewpoint - The northern regions of China, particularly North China, are experiencing an unusually prolonged rainy season, with significant rainfall exceeding historical averages, attributed to various climatic factors [2][3][4]. Summary by Sections Rainfall Patterns - The rainy season in North China began on July 5, 2023, which is 13 days earlier than the average, marking the earliest start since 1961 [2]. - As of August 25, 2023, the cumulative rainfall in the monitoring area of North China was 131% higher than the average [2]. Climatic Influences - The excessive rainfall is linked to abnormal sea temperatures in the equatorial Pacific, a strong and shifted subtropical high-pressure system, typhoon activity, and geographical factors [3]. - The subtropical high-pressure system has been notably strong and has shifted northward, allowing for continuous moisture transport from the ocean to northern regions [3]. Weather Systems and Topography - The influence of Typhoon "Zhu Jie Cao" has contributed additional moisture to North China, enhancing rainfall [4]. - The topographical features, such as the Taihang and Yanshan mountains, have caused forced uplift of warm, moist air, leading to increased precipitation through condensation and convection [4]. Climate Change Context - The record-breaking rainy season is seen as a localized manifestation of climate change, highlighting the need for improved climate adaptation and response capabilities to handle extreme weather events [4].
杭州有望迎来“史上热得最久的8月”
Mei Ri Shang Bao· 2025-08-27 02:38
Group 1 - The city of Hangzhou is experiencing its 24th consecutive day of high temperatures, setting a historical record for August [1] - The total number of high-temperature days in August is expected to reach 29, potentially breaking the previous record of 28 days set in 2024 [1] - If the high temperatures persist until September 8, the consecutive high-temperature days could reach 36, surpassing the previous record of 35 days from 2022 [1] Group 2 - The weather pattern is dominated by the subtropical high-pressure system, which is expected to maintain high temperatures in the region [2] - The center of the subtropical high is located near the East China Sea, affecting a large portion of southern China [2] - Despite the potential for some rain on September 1-2, high temperatures are expected to return shortly after [1][2]
高温、雷电、大风、暴雨齐上阵 周一杭城上演“变脸”戏码
Mei Ri Shang Bao· 2025-08-26 02:49
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the extreme weather conditions in Hangzhou, with a record number of high-temperature days and sudden strong convective weather changes [1][2] - Hangzhou experienced its 23rd high-temperature day since August 3, tying the historical record for consecutive high-temperature days in August [1] - The sudden drop in temperature from 39.2°C to 34.1°C was attributed to the influence of cold air from North China and adjustments in the subtropical high-pressure system [1] Group 2 - The forecast for the upcoming week indicates maximum temperatures will remain between 37°C and 39°C, with some areas exceeding 40°C, leading to the continuation of high-temperature orange warning signals [2] - Strong convective weather is expected to occur on Tuesday afternoon, with thunderstorms likely across the province, bringing short-term heavy rain and strong winds [2] - Despite the arrival of "Chushu" (the end of summer), high temperatures are expected to persist, with the potential for an "autumn tiger" effect, indicating prolonged heat [2]
上海连续第5天发布高温橙色预警
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-08-24 06:25
Group 1 - Shanghai has issued a high-temperature orange warning for the fifth consecutive day, with expectations of temperatures exceeding 35°C until the end of the month [1][2] - On August 24, the highest temperature in Shanghai is forecasted to reach 37-38°C, with specific districts likely exceeding 37°C [1][2] - The weather is primarily influenced by a subtropical high-pressure system, leading to a continuation of high temperatures and potential afternoon thunderstorms [2] Group 2 - The 13th typhoon of 2025, named "Swordfish," is currently located off the coast of Sanya, Hainan, but is not expected to directly impact Shanghai due to the prevailing high-pressure system [2] - The combination of high temperatures and afternoon thunderstorms is anticipated to persist, with humidity levels ranging from 40% to 85% [2]
雨那么多,北方的气候“南方化”了吗?
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-08-23 23:25
Core Viewpoint - The northern regions of China are experiencing increased rainfall and extreme weather events, raising concerns about climate change and its impact on regional weather patterns [1][3]. Group 1: Weather Patterns and Climate Change - The northern regions have seen multiple rounds of heavy rainfall since July, with 13 instances of heavy rain reported, which is 5 more than the average for the same period [1]. - The abnormal atmospheric circulation, particularly the western Pacific subtropical high, is a significant factor contributing to the increased rainfall in northern China [2]. - The onset of the rainy season in North China occurred on July 5, nearly two weeks earlier than the average date, marking the earliest start since 1961 [2]. Group 2: Implications of Extreme Weather - The increase in extreme weather events is linked to global warming, with the World Meteorological Organization reporting a fivefold increase in weather-related disasters over the past 50 years [3][4]. - Northern China is particularly vulnerable to extreme weather due to its ecological sensitivity, facing risks such as increased frequency and intensity of extreme events [4]. - The climate risk index for China in 2024 is projected to be the highest since 1961, with significant risks from flooding and high temperatures [3]. Group 3: Response and Adaptation Strategies - There is an urgent need for a comprehensive disaster risk reduction mechanism that includes government leadership, early warning systems, and community participation [4]. - The focus should be on risk assessment, dynamic monitoring, and public education to minimize exposure to extreme weather risks [4][5]. - The United Nations has initiated a global early warning initiative aimed at ensuring that everyone is protected by early warning systems by 2027 [5][6].
暴雨、大暴雨,来了!
券商中国· 2025-08-23 08:00
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing high temperatures and rainfall patterns in various regions of China, particularly focusing on the impact of the subtropical high pressure and the upcoming weather changes during the transition into the autumn season [1][2][3]. Summary by Sections Weather Patterns - The subtropical high pressure remains strong, leading to persistent high temperatures in regions south of the Yellow River, especially along the Yangtze River, where high temperatures are expected to frequently occur over the next seven days [1][2]. - A new round of rainfall is forecasted for northern regions, including parts of the northwest, north China, and northeast, with some areas experiencing moderate to heavy rain, and localized heavy rain [1][2][3]. Temperature Forecast - The areas most affected by high temperatures over the next week include southern Huanghuai, Jianghuai, Jianghan, and northern Jiangnan, with some regions expected to reach maximum temperatures between 37°C and 39°C, and locally exceeding 40°C [3][4]. - Despite the high temperatures, rainfall will influence the temperature range, with northern Huanghuai expected to temporarily exit the high-temperature zone due to rain, while southern regions like Guangdong and Guangxi will also see a reduction in high temperatures following rainfall [4]. Public Advisory - The article advises the public to stay informed about weather warnings and forecasts, especially regarding potential secondary disasters such as flash floods and landslides due to continuous rainfall [2][4].
“七下八上”已过 为何降雨仍频繁?
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-08-23 03:48
Group 1 - The Central Meteorological Administration issued a blue rainstorm warning on August 23, predicting two rain belts across China, with the north experiencing rainfall concentrated in North China and Northeast regions, while the south will see significant rain in areas influenced by monsoon currents such as Yunnan, Guizhou, and Sichuan Basin [1] - In Yunnan, heavy rainfall since August 21 has led to the emergency relocation of 4,969 people, with the maximum hourly rainfall recorded at 57.5 mm in Zhaotong [2] - In Qujing, Yunnan, strong rainfall has caused 50 individuals to be trapped, necessitating emergency rescue operations to safely relocate them [3][5] Group 2 - In Shanxi's Yuncheng County, continuous heavy rainfall has resulted in rising river levels, obstructing local villagers' passage due to flooding [6][8] - The meteorological data indicates that during the "July down, August up" period, the national average precipitation has been above normal, with certain regions in North China, East China, and South China experiencing rainfall 50% to 200% higher than the historical average [10] - The persistent rainfall in North China is attributed to the positioning and strength of the subtropical high-pressure system, which has created a conducive environment for frequent rain events [10]
处暑意味着不再炎热吗?(把自然讲给你听)
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-08-21 22:13
Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the weather patterns associated with the "End of Heat" solar term, indicating that while temperatures may begin to decline in northern regions, southern areas are likely to continue experiencing high temperatures due to the influence of the subtropical high-pressure system [1]. Group 1: Weather Patterns - Most regions still experience high temperatures during the "End of Heat" solar term, particularly in southern areas such as Shanghai, Changsha, Guangzhou, and Hangzhou [1]. - The subtropical high-pressure system may retreat southward but can still maintain stability in southern regions, leading to clear skies and rapid ground warming [1]. - High humidity in southern areas exacerbates the feeling of heat, making it feel more oppressive [1]. Group 2: Regional Differences - In northern regions, the temperature difference between day and night increases, which can lead to the phenomenon of "one autumn rain brings a cool breeze" [1]. - Rainfall in northern areas during this period tends to have a "cool and moist" characteristic, while southern rainfall is influenced by warm and humid air currents from the subtropical high-pressure edge [1]. Group 3: Agricultural Implications - The increase in temperature difference during the "End of Heat" solar term is beneficial for the accumulation of dry matter, leading to faster maturation of crops [1]. - Farmers are advised to pay close attention to weather forecasts to optimize their harvest activities during this critical period [1].