安全生产月
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兴业期货日度策略-20250604
Xing Ye Qi Huo· 2025-06-04 11:38
Key Points Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - Index futures: Long on dips [1] - Treasury bonds: Range-bound [1] - Gold and silver: Bullish with dips for buying or selling out-of-the-money put options [1] - Non-ferrous metals (copper): Range-bound [4] - Non-ferrous metals (aluminum and alumina): Range-bound for alumina, bearish for aluminum [4] - Non-ferrous metals (nickel): Range-bound, option strategies preferred [4] - Lithium carbonate: Bearish [4] - Silicon energy: Bearish [6] - Steel and ore: Bearish for rebar, hot-rolled coil, and iron ore [6] - Coking coal and coke: Bearish [8] - Soda ash and glass: Bearish [8] - Crude oil: Bearish with an eye on geopolitical resistance [8] - Methanol: Bearish [10] - Polyolefins: Bearish [10] - Cotton: Range-bound [10] - Rubber: Bearish [10] 2. Core Views - The A-share market is building a long-term investment environment, with limited downside risk and increasing allocation value, but short-term fundamentals and policies lack significant positives [1] - The bond market remains cautious due to uncertain domestic economic expectations and a lack of new positives [1] - Gold prices are bullish in the long term, with short-term fluctuations driven by risk aversion [1] - Non-ferrous metal prices are affected by US tariffs and policy uncertainties, with supply constraints and cautious demand [4] - The lithium carbonate market has a clear supply surplus and weak demand, with prices likely to remain low [4] - The silicon energy market has weak demand and potential inventory accumulation, with prices expected to be low [6] - The steel and ore market has poor demand expectations and slow supply reduction, with prices under pressure [6] - The coking coal and coke market has a supply surplus and weak demand, with prices likely to decline [8] - The soda ash and glass market has increasing supply and weak demand, with prices remaining bearish [8] - Crude oil prices are affected by geopolitical risks and OPEC+ production increases, with short-term focus on resistance [8] - Methanol prices are under pressure due to increasing supply and weak demand, despite potential port restrictions [10] - Polyolefin prices are likely to decline due to new capacity and weakening demand [10] - Cotton prices are range-bound, with attention on weather and macro changes [10] - Rubber prices are bearish due to increasing supply and weak demand [10] 3. Summary by Category Index Futures - Monday's A-share market opened low and closed high, with low trading volume and sector rotation [1] - Tariff policy uncertainties suppress market sentiment, but policy support and long-term investment environment construction limit downside risk [1] - Strategy: Long on dips [1] Treasury Bonds - Yesterday's bond futures were range-bound, with most contracts slightly down and some slightly up [1] - May's Caixin PMI was average, and the market remains cautious due to uncertain domestic economic expectations and a lack of new positives [1] - Strategy: Range-bound trading [1] Precious Metals - Gold prices are bullish in the long term, with short-term fluctuations driven by risk aversion [1] - Silver follows gold, with a high gold-silver ratio [1] - Strategy: Buy on dips or sell out-of-the-money put options [1] Non-Ferrous Metals - Copper prices are affected by US tariffs and policy uncertainties, with supply constraints and cautious demand [4] - Aluminum and alumina prices are affected by US tariffs and supply uncertainties, with prices expected to be low [4] - Nickel prices are range-bound, with weak fundamentals and policy uncertainties [4] - Strategy: Range-bound trading or option strategies [4] Lithium Carbonate - The lithium carbonate market has a clear supply surplus and weak demand, with prices likely to remain low [4] - Strategy: Bearish trading [4] Silicon Energy - The silicon energy market has weak demand and potential inventory accumulation, with prices expected to be low [6] - Strategy: Bearish trading [6] Steel and Ore - Rebar, hot-rolled coil, and iron ore prices are under pressure due to poor demand expectations and slow supply reduction [6] - Strategy: Bearish trading or option strategies [6] Coking Coal and Coke - The coking coal and coke market has a supply surplus and weak demand, with prices likely to decline [8] - Strategy: Bearish trading [8] Soda Ash and Glass - The soda ash and glass market has increasing supply and weak demand, with prices remaining bearish [8] - Strategy: Bearish trading or arbitrage strategies [8] Crude Oil - Crude oil prices are affected by geopolitical risks and OPEC+ production increases, with short-term focus on resistance [8] - Strategy: Range-bound trading [8] Methanol - Methanol prices are under pressure due to increasing supply and weak demand, despite potential port restrictions [10] - Strategy: Bearish trading [10] Polyolefins - Polyolefin prices are likely to decline due to new capacity and weakening demand [10] - Strategy: Bearish trading [10] Cotton - Cotton prices are range-bound, with attention on weather and macro changes [10] - Strategy: Range-bound trading [10] Rubber - Rubber prices are bearish due to increasing supply and weak demand [10] - Strategy: Bearish trading [10]
国网承德县供电公司:“绿色希冀”护航电力安全防线
Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang· 2025-06-04 02:23
在排查现场,供电所员工李志明、闫磊时而手持望远镜仔细查看高处的警示牌,时而俯身检查地面标识 牌的稳固性。"这块警示牌都要'躺平'了,咱们得把它给扶正了。"李志明指着鱼公路边一块歪斜的电力 警示牌说道。由于常年经受风吹、日晒、雨淋等环境因素影响,部分标示牌出现倾倒、锈蚀、模糊、掉 落、皱裂等现象,有的电力警示标志已经失去应有的警示作用。 截至目前,该公司已添补维修警示标志22处,重新粉刷安全警示标志17处,消除安全隐患9处,发放安全用 电手册700余份。接下来,国网承德县供电公司将持续以安全生产月为契机,以 "绿色希冀"品牌服务 为引领,跟踪督办,限期整改,切实抓好安全警示标志管理工作,为迎峰度夏线路安全稳定运行保驾护 航。(尹玺娜) 同时,安全宣传工作同步推进。工作人员走村串户,将安全用电知识宣传单递到村民手中,在村口广 场、超市门口等人员密集处,开辟 "绿色希冀・安全同行" 安全生产月主题宣传栏,张贴色彩鲜艳的宣传 标语,用图文并茂、通俗易懂的方式,详细解说日常用电中应注意的安全事项。 在全国第24个 "安全生产月" 期间,围绕 "人人讲安全、个个会应急" 的活动主题,6月3日,国网承德 县供电公司头沟供电 ...
河南将开展“问题隐患曝光行动”
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-06-03 00:52
同时,该省将通过河南主流媒体开展重大事故隐患案例集中曝光,在微博开设"身边安全隐患我来找"互 动话题。各地要开设"隐患曝光台"专栏,集中曝光安全生产问题隐患和典型案例。 为鼓励广大群众积极参与安全生产监督,河南省应急管理厅、河南省交通运输厅、河南省消防救援总队 等六部门联合对《河南省安全生产领域举报奖励办法》进行了修订。 其中,详细列明了危化、非煤矿山、工贸、交通、特种设备、住房建设、消防等7个领域、150多种举报 情形,增强举报指引性,筑牢安全生产人民防线。 通报称,今年"安全生产月"期间,河南将开展安全隐患排查、隐患辨识科普、消除隐患演练、问题隐患 曝光等多项行动。将聚焦矿山、危化和群众身边潜在安全隐患,形成风险清单、建立隐患地图。安全生 产专业应急救援力量将指导基层单位开展模拟演练,学校、医院、社区、商超等重点单位场所组织相关 人员广泛开展应急演练。 在第24个全国"安全生产月"即将到来之际,河南省政府新闻办30日召开新闻发布会通报,该省将在"安 全生产月"期间开展"问题隐患曝光行动",要求各地开设"隐患曝光台"专栏集中曝光典型案例。 今年6月是第24个全国"安全生产月",主题为"人人讲安全、个个会应急 ...