Key Points Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - Index futures: Long on dips [1] - Treasury bonds: Range-bound [1] - Gold and silver: Bullish with dips for buying or selling out-of-the-money put options [1] - Non-ferrous metals (copper): Range-bound [4] - Non-ferrous metals (aluminum and alumina): Range-bound for alumina, bearish for aluminum [4] - Non-ferrous metals (nickel): Range-bound, option strategies preferred [4] - Lithium carbonate: Bearish [4] - Silicon energy: Bearish [6] - Steel and ore: Bearish for rebar, hot-rolled coil, and iron ore [6] - Coking coal and coke: Bearish [8] - Soda ash and glass: Bearish [8] - Crude oil: Bearish with an eye on geopolitical resistance [8] - Methanol: Bearish [10] - Polyolefins: Bearish [10] - Cotton: Range-bound [10] - Rubber: Bearish [10] 2. Core Views - The A-share market is building a long-term investment environment, with limited downside risk and increasing allocation value, but short-term fundamentals and policies lack significant positives [1] - The bond market remains cautious due to uncertain domestic economic expectations and a lack of new positives [1] - Gold prices are bullish in the long term, with short-term fluctuations driven by risk aversion [1] - Non-ferrous metal prices are affected by US tariffs and policy uncertainties, with supply constraints and cautious demand [4] - The lithium carbonate market has a clear supply surplus and weak demand, with prices likely to remain low [4] - The silicon energy market has weak demand and potential inventory accumulation, with prices expected to be low [6] - The steel and ore market has poor demand expectations and slow supply reduction, with prices under pressure [6] - The coking coal and coke market has a supply surplus and weak demand, with prices likely to decline [8] - The soda ash and glass market has increasing supply and weak demand, with prices remaining bearish [8] - Crude oil prices are affected by geopolitical risks and OPEC+ production increases, with short-term focus on resistance [8] - Methanol prices are under pressure due to increasing supply and weak demand, despite potential port restrictions [10] - Polyolefin prices are likely to decline due to new capacity and weakening demand [10] - Cotton prices are range-bound, with attention on weather and macro changes [10] - Rubber prices are bearish due to increasing supply and weak demand [10] 3. Summary by Category Index Futures - Monday's A-share market opened low and closed high, with low trading volume and sector rotation [1] - Tariff policy uncertainties suppress market sentiment, but policy support and long-term investment environment construction limit downside risk [1] - Strategy: Long on dips [1] Treasury Bonds - Yesterday's bond futures were range-bound, with most contracts slightly down and some slightly up [1] - May's Caixin PMI was average, and the market remains cautious due to uncertain domestic economic expectations and a lack of new positives [1] - Strategy: Range-bound trading [1] Precious Metals - Gold prices are bullish in the long term, with short-term fluctuations driven by risk aversion [1] - Silver follows gold, with a high gold-silver ratio [1] - Strategy: Buy on dips or sell out-of-the-money put options [1] Non-Ferrous Metals - Copper prices are affected by US tariffs and policy uncertainties, with supply constraints and cautious demand [4] - Aluminum and alumina prices are affected by US tariffs and supply uncertainties, with prices expected to be low [4] - Nickel prices are range-bound, with weak fundamentals and policy uncertainties [4] - Strategy: Range-bound trading or option strategies [4] Lithium Carbonate - The lithium carbonate market has a clear supply surplus and weak demand, with prices likely to remain low [4] - Strategy: Bearish trading [4] Silicon Energy - The silicon energy market has weak demand and potential inventory accumulation, with prices expected to be low [6] - Strategy: Bearish trading [6] Steel and Ore - Rebar, hot-rolled coil, and iron ore prices are under pressure due to poor demand expectations and slow supply reduction [6] - Strategy: Bearish trading or option strategies [6] Coking Coal and Coke - The coking coal and coke market has a supply surplus and weak demand, with prices likely to decline [8] - Strategy: Bearish trading [8] Soda Ash and Glass - The soda ash and glass market has increasing supply and weak demand, with prices remaining bearish [8] - Strategy: Bearish trading or arbitrage strategies [8] Crude Oil - Crude oil prices are affected by geopolitical risks and OPEC+ production increases, with short-term focus on resistance [8] - Strategy: Range-bound trading [8] Methanol - Methanol prices are under pressure due to increasing supply and weak demand, despite potential port restrictions [10] - Strategy: Bearish trading [10] Polyolefins - Polyolefin prices are likely to decline due to new capacity and weakening demand [10] - Strategy: Bearish trading [10] Cotton - Cotton prices are range-bound, with attention on weather and macro changes [10] - Strategy: Range-bound trading [10] Rubber - Rubber prices are bearish due to increasing supply and weak demand [10] - Strategy: Bearish trading [10]