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This is a bull market with a 'lower cased b' heading into 2026, says Piper Sandler's Craig Johnson
Youtube· 2025-12-26 22:10
Market Overview - The S&P 500 is showing signs of a continuing bull market, with the Santa Claus rally expected to occur during the last five trading days of the year and the first two trading days of the new year [1] - There have been 39 new highs in the market, indicating potential for further upside, although the current bull market is characterized as a lowercase "b" as it heads into 2026 [2] Commodity Insights - The chart for copper indicates a strong upward trend, with potential for an additional 6-7% increase to reach the upper end of its trading range, making copper a favored metal for 2026 [3][4] - The basic materials sector, driven by gold and silver, has been the best performing sector year-to-date, with the GDX showing about 17% more upside potential [5] Currency Impact - The dollar index is on track for its worst year since 2017, which is influencing the attractiveness of gold and silver as central governments opt to buy these metals instead of treasuries [6][7] Biotech Sector - The biotech sector is positioned for growth, especially if rate cuts occur in 2026, with the XBI showing a favorable setup and potential for further gains [7][8] - Specific companies within the biotech index, such as Xalixus, Regeneron, and Travera, are demonstrating constructive chart patterns, suggesting that biotech could become a new focus for momentum investors in the coming year [9]
Macro Risk Advisors' John Kolovos talks possible volatility in 2026
Youtube· 2025-12-26 21:39
Market Outlook - The market is expected to continue its upward momentum in the coming weeks, with the S&P potentially reaching around 7,200 [2] - However, there are expectations of a significant correction next year, possibly around 15%, or even a bear market [3][10] - The current market trends show strong performance, with the S&P maintaining higher highs and higher lows above the 50-day moving average [5] Presidential Cycle Impact - The second year of the presidential cycle typically yields below-average returns, averaging around 3-4% gains, and is often associated with market corrections [7][10] - The upcoming midterm elections and related uncertainties are anticipated to create volatility in the market [6][11] Technology Sector Challenges - The technology sector may face headwinds next year, diverging from the previous trend where all sectors rose together [9] - The uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve's policies is expected to persist until at least April or May, contributing to market challenges [10] Precious Metals Outlook - Precious metals, particularly gold and silver, are in a generational bull market, having bottomed in 2020, with expectations for continued upward movement [12] - Silver is projected to trade between 80 to 85 before experiencing a significant pullback, while gold is expected to reach at least 5,000, with potential for an extension up to 7,000 [13][14]
Wall Street Expects a Solid 2026 for Stocks. But the 'Risks Are Growing'
Investopedia· 2025-12-24 13:00
Key Takeaways It was a rollercoaster of a year on Wall Street. Most experts think the ride isn't over. The S&P 500 is on track to post its third consecutive year of double-digit gains, putting the benchmark index up more than 90% since the current bull market started in October 2022. Strategists expect 2026 to be another good—if more modestly so—year for the stock market. As of mid-December, the average 2026 year-end S&P 500 price target was 7,269, according to an LPL Financial analysis. That implies about ...
Astera Labs: Why 2026 Could Be The Breakout Year
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-23 11:12
Group 1 - The AI trade is transitioning into a more selective phase, moving away from the initial rush for compute power towards a focus on efficiency, optimization, and system design [1] - Astera Labs emphasizes a multidisciplinary approach to identify high-conviction, asymmetric risk-reward investment opportunities in the technology sector [1] - The strategy incorporates financial analysis, behavioral finance, psychology, social sciences, and alternative metrics to uncover breakout opportunities before they gain mainstream attention [1] Group 2 - The company aims to navigate market sentiment and identify emerging trends by analyzing investor behavior and psychological biases that create persistent inefficiencies [1] - It focuses on evaluating opportunities based on their risk/reward profile, seeking limited downside and explosive upside potential [1] - The process includes deep research and signals that others may overlook, such as shifts in narrative, early social traction, and underappreciated momentum in user adoption [1]
Asian stocks rise, extending record global rally
The Economic Times· 2025-12-23 01:03
MSCI Inc.’s gauge of Asia Pacific equities rose 0.3% early on Tuesday after an index of global stocks set a fresh closing record. Japan’s Topix climbed 0.5%. US index futures were up slightly, while gold added to its gains after finishing at an all-time high.The upbeat mood in the US session helped the S&P 500 erase December losses and put it on course for an eighth straight month of gains, which would mark the longest winning run since 2018. Tesla Inc. and Nvidia Corp. led megacaps higher. “Everything is ...
The key questions for stocks in 2026
CNBC Television· 2025-12-22 18:31
I said we're we're going to investigate the key questions for stocks in 2026 which we've listed as such and I I think you'll agree and we'll debate whether we've missed some of them or there are more pressing questions too. Can the AI trade get beyond the bubble banter. That's number one.Is the broadening trend durable. Right. That's what we're hearing a lot about.And can the rally one run without rate cuts. Critical questions, Joe. Um are those the three most pressing questions.Did we leave something out. ...
The key questions for stocks in 2026
Youtube· 2025-12-22 18:31
I said we're we're going to investigate the key questions for stocks in 2026 which we've listed as such and I I think you'll agree and we'll debate whether we've missed some of them or there are more pressing questions too. Can the AI trade get beyond the bubble banter. That's number one.Is the broadening trend durable. Right. That's what we're hearing a lot about.And can the rally one run without rate cuts. Critical questions, Joe. Um are those the three most pressing questions.Did we leave something out. ...
Tech, Silver & Gold Rally to Start Holiday-Shortened Week
Youtube· 2025-12-22 13:30
Market Overview - The market experienced a gain at the opening but consolidated within a 15-point range towards the close, indicating a stable environment for the week ahead [1] - Low trading volume and liquidity suggest a quiet week, with a focus on technology and semiconductor sectors driving market performance [2][3] Technology Sector - Nvidia is preparing to ship H200s to China, contributing to a positive sentiment in the tech sector [4] - Micron's stock is rising following strong earnings, with guidance indicating they can only meet 50-65% of total demand, which may benefit other memory companies [14][15] - The tech trade is attempting to catch up after lagging earlier in the month, with fund flows directed towards previously oversold stocks [5][6] Metals Market - Silver has outperformed significantly, up over 130% this year, driven by positive retail inflows and a structural deficit in the market [7] - Gold is experiencing strong demand due to central bank purchases and currency debasement, with expectations of interest rate cuts contributing to its price movement [11][12] - The overall commodities market, particularly metals, is in a bull run, with potential for continued upward movement over the next few months [10] Economic Indicators - The VIX is currently low at 14.9%, indicating low market volatility, which is typical during holiday weeks [17] - The S&P 500 has key levels to watch, with support at 6,800 and resistance at 6,880, suggesting a cautious outlook for market movements [17]
Axis Securities sees Nifty at 28,100 by 2026: Key growth drivers, top 9 stock picks, and 5 sector themes explained
The Economic Times· 2025-12-22 09:32
The brokerage firm has also highlighted RIL, SBI and The report outlines that Indian equities delivered a mixed performance in 2025, with the Nifty 50 gaining 10.2% to end the year at 26,326. However, broader markets lagged, as the Nifty 500 rose only 6.4%, while the Nifty Smallcap 250 declined 6.4%.Despite global headwinds such as foreign capital outflows, currency volatility, and geopolitical uncertainty, Axis Securities believes India's domestic economic fundamentals have remained notably resilient, pro ...
Arista Networks: Sharp Revenue Growth And TAM Expansion (NYSE:ANET)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-21 08:33
Group 1 - The AI trade is showing signs of losing momentum as 2025 comes to a close, with investors becoming less confident in companies like Oracle to deliver profitable results [1] - Gary Alexander, with extensive experience in technology and startups, has been actively contributing insights on industry trends since 2017 [1]