Will need this big time in the future. With autonomous vehicles we'll have affordable premium transport for everyone. This will likely increase traffic due to the increased usage, even though each vehicle is much more efficiently utilized.The Boring Company (@boringcompany):Big tunneling milestone!For the first time, TBC has continuously mined in a Zero-People-in-Tunnel (ZPIT) configuration. There is nobody in the machine (besides the videographer), which is simultaneously advancing forward and erecting a r ...

Shares of Lyft (LYFT) and Uber (UBER) have taken opposite paths post Q1 2025 earnings releases last week. While Lyft shares surged more than 28% on May 9, thanks to buyback issuance and bookings growth, Uber shares slumped on May 7 after reporting mixed first-quarter 2025 results. Let’s delve a little deeper.Lyft Stock Surges on Strong Results and Buyback PlanShares of Lyft recorded their best day on May 9 since February 2024, after the company announced an expanded share repurchase program and better-than- ...

Group 1: Company Overview - Cathie Wood, through ARK Invest, has made significant investments in transformative technology stocks like Tesla, predicting a rise to $2,600 per share, which would lead to a market cap of nearly $10 trillion [1] - Currently, Tesla's stock trades around $275, with investor optimism present, but underlying issues suggest a potential decline rather than an increase to the predicted price [2] Group 2: Market Share and Revenue - Tesla's market share in the U.S. for electric vehicles has decreased from 75% in Q1 2022 to 43.5% in Q1 2025, indicating a slowdown in growth [3] - Revenue has declined by 20% year over year in the last quarter, affected by increased competition in both the U.S. and international markets [4] Group 3: Profit Margins - Despite price reductions, Tesla's gross margin has fallen from nearly 30% to under 18%, and operating margin has decreased from 16% to 7.4% over the past year, suggesting ongoing financial challenges [5] Group 4: Energy Segment - The energy pack segment of Tesla has shown strong growth, with a 67% year-over-year revenue increase to $2.73 billion, but this segment has low gross margins and limited market potential [8][9] Group 5: Future Projects - Tesla is focusing on autonomous vehicles and the Optimus humanoid robot, but progress has been slow, with no working prototypes available yet [10][11] - CEO Elon Musk has high revenue expectations for the humanoid robot project, but it remains uncertain when or if these profits will materialize [11] Group 6: Valuation Concerns - Tesla's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 151, significantly higher than the S&P 500's P/E of 20-30 and the typical automotive industry P/E of 10 or below, indicating overvaluation [13][14] - The disconnect between Tesla's stock price and its declining revenue suggests a higher likelihood of a stock price crash rather than a rise [15]

Core Viewpoint - The stock market has experienced volatility in 2025, with some stocks outperforming despite macroeconomic uncertainties, presenting potential investment opportunities [2][3]. Group 1: Uber Technologies - Uber's share prices have increased by 42% since the beginning of 2025, boosted by a $2.3 billion investment from billionaire Bill Ackman [5]. - The company has transformed into a strong cash-generating business, doubling its free cash flow to $6.9 billion in 2024, with expectations for continued growth [6]. - Uber is positioned to benefit significantly from the rise of autonomous vehicles, leveraging its existing user base of 171 million monthly users to support AV companies [7][8]. - The stock trades at approximately 3.5 times analysts' 2025 sales estimates, with a P/E ratio of 35, and analysts project a 36% earnings growth in 2026 [9]. Group 2: Celsius Holdings - Celsius experienced a rough start in 2025, with share prices falling due to disappointing fourth-quarter results, but the stock rebounded after announcing the acquisition of the fast-growing Alani Nu brand [10][11]. - The acquisition is expected to yield $50 million in cost savings within two years, positioning Celsius for growth [11][13]. - Analysts have adjusted their earnings estimates downward by about 10% due to tariff concerns, but the stock is considered a buy at an enterprise-value-to-forward-EBITDA ratio of 16 [14]. Group 3: Netflix - Netflix's stock has risen by 28% in 2025, primarily driven by strong performance in April, with first-quarter revenue increasing by 12.5% and operating margin expanding to 31.7% [15][16]. - The company anticipates 15.4% revenue growth in the second quarter, while maintaining a full-year operating margin guidance of 29% [16]. - Netflix's pricing power and the success of its ad-supported tier are expected to enhance revenue, with management projecting ad revenue to double this year [18]. - Despite trading at about 45 times forward earnings, Netflix has generated significant free cash flow, primarily used for share buybacks, supporting future earnings growth [19][20].

Core Viewpoint - BofA Securities analyst Justin Post maintains a Buy rating on Uber Technologies, Inc with a price target increase to $96 from $95, ahead of the quarterly earnings report on May 7 [1] Financial Estimates - For Q1, Post estimates Uber's bookings at $43.5 billion and revenue at $11.73 billion, exceeding Street estimates of $42.9 billion and $11.62 billion respectively [1] - The EBITDA estimate of $1.89 billion is also higher than the Street's estimate of $1.84 billion [2] - Projected Q2 bookings are $47.65 billion compared to the Street estimate of $45.79 billion, with revenue expected at $12.94 billion versus the Street estimate of $12.34 billion [7] Growth Projections - Mobility bookings growth is projected at 21% excluding foreign exchange, indicating a deceleration compared to BAC card data showing stable Online Transit spending [2] - Stable 18% growth is expected for Delivery, although Online Delivery growth has decelerated by 1 point compared to Q4 [4] - The Grocery & Retail segment is anticipated to contribute an additional 2 points to growth in Q1 due to new partnerships [4] New Verticals and Innovations - The contribution from New Verticals is viewed positively as Uber invests in new products like Uber Teen and autonomous vehicles [3] - The partnership with Volkswagen to deploy autonomous vehicles in multiple cities, starting in Los Angeles, is significant, with testing of the "ID. Buzz" planned for late 2025 [6] Autonomous Vehicle Developments - Early data from the Waymo launch on the Uber app in Austin suggests a successful ramp-up, with Uber focusing on tools to enhance autonomous vehicle adoption [5] - CEO Elon Musk's comments on Tesla's plans for fully autonomous paid rides in June may drive further Auto OEM AV development and partnerships with Uber [7] Market Performance - Uber's stock closed higher by 1.36% at $85.43 [8]

Core Viewpoint - Uber Technologies is set to release its first-quarter 2025 results on May 7, with earnings estimated at 51 cents per share and revenues at $11.6 billion, reflecting a 14.5% increase from the previous year [1][2]. Financial Performance - The earnings estimate for the upcoming quarter has improved by 2% over the last 60 days, while the company reported a loss of 32 cents in the first quarter of 2024 [2]. - For the full year 2025, Uber's revenue is projected at $50.4 billion, indicating a year-over-year increase of 14.6%, but the consensus EPS estimate suggests a 45% contraction compared to the previous year [4]. - In the last four quarters, Uber exceeded EPS estimates three times, with an average earnings surprise of 133.5% [4]. Earnings Prediction - Current analysis indicates that Uber has an Earnings ESP of -0.20% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), suggesting that an earnings beat is not conclusively predicted for this quarter [5]. Factors Influencing Results - High inflation, currency headwinds, and adverse weather conditions are expected to have slowed gross bookings, which are anticipated to be between $42 billion and $43.5 billion, reflecting a constant currency growth of 17-21% from the previous year [6][7]. - A strong dollar is projected to impact first-quarter results significantly, with an estimated 5.5 percentage point effect on overall growth [7]. Market Position and Valuation - Year-to-date, Uber has gained 34.1%, outperforming its main competitor Lyft, which has declined by 3.4%, while DoorDash has gained 17% [10]. - Uber's valuation is considered high, trading at a forward earnings multiple of 28.66, compared to the industry average of 17.12, indicating a relatively expensive position [13]. Strategic Initiatives - Uber is focusing on autonomous vehicles for future growth and is expected to provide updates on this initiative during the fourth-quarter conference call [9]. - The company has engaged in various acquisitions and geographic diversifications, which are seen as essential for risk reduction and market expansion [16]. - Strategic partnerships in the robotaxi market are being pursued to mitigate R&D costs associated with developing autonomous systems independently [17]. Investment Outlook - While Uber's current valuation may not be attractive, its market capitalization of $169.46 billion and diversification efforts position it well for future challenges [16]. - It is suggested that investors may want to wait for management's commentary on tariffs and updated guidance before making investment decisions [18].

Core Viewpoint - The ride-sharing industry in the U.S. is primarily dominated by two companies, Uber and Lyft, each with distinct business models and financial performances [1][2]. Business Model: Uber vs. Lyft - Uber operates globally in over 70 countries and has scaled back its ambitions to focus on markets where it ranks No. 1 or No. 2, enhancing profitability [3][4]. - Lyft operates only in the U.S. and Canada, citing reasons such as cash constraints and regulatory challenges for not expanding internationally [5]. - Uber has a food delivery segment, Uber Eats, while Lyft has chosen not to enter this market, focusing instead on its core mission of ride-sharing [6]. - Both companies are involved in micro-mobility and have partnerships in autonomous vehicle technology, with Uber collaborating with Waymo and Lyft with Mobileye, May Mobility, and Nexar [7]. Financials: Uber vs. Lyft - In 2024, Uber reported revenue of $44 billion, an 18% increase from the previous year, with gross bookings also rising by 18% to $162.7 billion [9]. - Uber's free cash flow surged 105% to $6.9 billion, and adjusted EBITDA reached $6.5 billion [10]. - Lyft's revenue increased by 31% to $5.79 billion, with bookings growing 17% to $16.1 billion, driven by initiatives like price lock and advertising [10]. - Lyft's adjusted EBITDA was $382.4 million, up 72% year-over-year, and free cash flow was $766.3 million, a significant improvement from a loss in the previous year [11]. Valuation: Uber vs. Lyft - Uber's valuation shows a free cash flow multiple of 22 and an EV/EBITDA of 29, indicating strong growth potential for an industry leader [13]. - Lyft trades at less than 7 times trailing free cash flow and an EV/EBITDA of 20, but its net income and GAAP operating loss suggest it may not be as attractive as it appears [14]. Investment Considerations - Both companies have appealing attributes, with Lyft innovating through features like Women+ and price lock, which are positively impacting its performance [15]. - Uber has streamlined its operations, achieving profitability and consistent growth through new offerings like Uber One [16]. - Overall, Uber is viewed as the better investment due to its balance of growth, profitability, and reasonable valuation, while Lyft presents a potential opportunity for risk-tolerant investors due to its strong revenue growth and product innovations [17].

For more than a decade, Uber has redefined personal mobility, becoming a cultural shorthand for convenient, on-demand transportation. The company's growth trajectory has been remarkable, with its monthly active platform consumers (MAPCs) now exceeding 170 million -- more than double the 80 million it reported in 2018. In 2024, the company facilitated 11.3 billion trips worldwide, which generated $44 billion in net revenue, up 18% year over year. It's not just its ride-sharing service fueling this momentum. ...