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Gold futures hit record as US shutdown, Fed cut bets spur safe haven demand
BusinessLine· 2025-10-06 05:34
Core Insights - Gold prices have reached record highs due to safe-haven buying amid the ongoing US government shutdown and expectations of further Federal Reserve rate cuts [1][6][8] Group 1: Gold Market Dynamics - On October 6, 2025, gold prices surged by ₹1,447 to ₹1,19,560 per 10 grams in domestic futures trade, marking a 1.22% increase [1] - The February 2026 gold contract advanced ₹1,512, or 1.27%, reaching ₹1,20,845 per 10 grams, extending gains for the seventh consecutive session [2] - Last week, gold futures increased by ₹3,222 per 10 grams, reflecting a 2.8% rise [2] Group 2: Physical Demand and Investor Behavior - Physical demand for gold is mixed, with weaker demand in China but steady buying in other Asian markets, as investors anticipate further price increases [3] - SPDR Gold Shares, the largest commodity-backed ETF, saw a notable increase in holdings, indicating strong investor interest [3] Group 3: Silver Market Dynamics - Silver futures also experienced significant gains, with December delivery rising ₹1,956, or 1.34%, to ₹1,47,700 per kilogram [4] - The March 2026 silver contract rallied ₹2,053, or 1.39%, to ₹1,49,321 per kg, following a strong rally last week [4] Group 4: Economic and Policy Influences - The budget impasse in Washington has heightened risk aversion, driving investors towards precious metals [5] - Market participants are anticipating a quarter-point Fed rate cut this month and another in December, closely monitoring upcoming remarks from Fed officials for policy signals [9] Group 5: Supply Conditions - Silver is supported by tightening supply conditions, with the Silver Institute projecting a global market deficit for the fifth consecutive year in 2025 [10]
Dow futures trade lower on Thursday: 5 things to know before Wall Street opens
Invezz· 2025-10-02 11:49
US stock futures traded in the mixed territory on Thursday, with Dow futures slipping in red, while futures tied to Nasdaq and S&P 500Â rallied amid optimism over potential Federal Reserve rate cuts. ...
Wall Street indexes close higher with quarterly and monthly gains even as US government shutdown looms
The Economic Times· 2025-10-01 02:01
Market Performance - The S&P 500 gained 3.53% in September, marking its largest percentage gain for the month since 2010, and rose 7.79% for the third quarter, the biggest gain since 2020 [3][6] - The Nasdaq rose 11.24% for the third quarter, its largest gain since 2010, and increased 5.61% in September, the biggest gain since 2019 [3][4] - The Dow climbed 5.22% for the third quarter and rose 1.87% in September [3][4] Sector Performance - Among the S&P 500's 11 major industry sectors, healthcare led with a gain of 2.45%, with Pfizer being the biggest gainer, rallying 6.8% after announcements regarding drug pricing [6][4] - The Dow Jones Transportation Average Index fell 0.4%, with airlines leading declines due to the threat of a government shutdown [6] Stock Movements - Chipmaker Wolfspeed surged 29% after exiting bankruptcy, while Firefly Aerospace shares sank 20.7% following a testing mishap [6] - Lamb Weston shares rose 4.3% after beating analysts' estimates for first-quarter revenue and profit [6] Market Dynamics - Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 1.27-to-1 ratio on the NYSE, with 352 new highs and 87 new lows, while on the Nasdaq, declining issues outnumbered advancers by a 1.02-to-1 ratio [7] - The S&P 500 posted 48 new 52-week highs and 4 new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 104 new highs and 85 new lows [7]
Fed's Goolsbee says central bank has other data options if shutdown disrupts economic reports
Fox Business· 2025-09-30 22:01
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee said Tuesday the central bank will look at alternate data sources to consider at its October meeting if upcoming economic data is not released as scheduled due to a potential government shutdown. The government is slated to shut down at 12:01 a.m. ET on Wednesday if Congress fails to approve a funding extension. The House has passed a continuing resolution, but efforts have stalled in the Senate as Democrats push for continued funding of healthcare subsidies ...
Tokenized Gold Market Nears $3B as Bullion Blasts to Fresh Record Highs
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-29 19:29
Core Insights - Gold prices have reached a historic high, surpassing $3,800 per ounce, marking a year-to-date increase of approximately 47% [1] Group 1: Gold Market Performance - The surge in gold prices has led to a significant increase in gold-backed tokens, which have achieved an all-time high market capitalization of $2.88 billion [2] - Tether Gold (XAUT) and Paxos' PAX Gold (PAXG) are leading the gold-backed token market, with XAUT's market cap at approximately $1.43 billion and PAXG's at around $1.12 billion, both at their respective all-time highs [3] - PAXG experienced over $40 million in net inflows in September, setting a new trading volume record of over $3.2 billion for the month [3][4] Group 2: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The tokenized gold market is expected to continue its growth due to favorable macroeconomic conditions, including anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts and a weaker U.S. dollar [5] - Bitcoin, often referred to as "digital gold," has underperformed compared to gold, with a year-to-date return of only 22% [5]
Aug PCE inflation data matches estimates, how Trump's new tariffs could impact markets and business
Youtube· 2025-09-26 14:43
Group 1: Tariff Impacts - President Trump has announced new tariffs on pharmaceuticals, furniture, and heavy trucks, with rates of 50% on kitchen cabinets and 30% on upholstered furniture set to take effect next week [1][7][10] - Pharmaceutical companies can avoid tariffs if they invest in manufacturing plants in the U.S., with an estimated total investment of $350 billion announced recently [2][9] - The furniture industry is facing pressure due to reliance on foreign imports, while U.S.-based manufacturers like Ethan Allen may benefit from the new tariffs [13][14] Group 2: Market Reactions - Stock futures showed mixed reactions, with some pharmaceutical stocks rising due to investments in U.S. manufacturing, while furniture stocks like William Sonoma faced pressure [12][13] - The Dow is indicating a gain of about 0.5%, while the S&P and NASDAQ show smaller increases, reflecting investor sentiment amid tariff announcements [6][16] - The market is reacting cautiously to the tariff news, with skepticism about the full implementation of these tariffs affecting stock performance [17][18] Group 3: Economic Indicators - The PCE index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, came in at 0.3%, with consumer income and spending rising more than expected, indicating economic resilience [3][22] - Core PCE inflation is at 2.9% year-over-year, aligning with expectations and suggesting that inflation is not significantly increasing despite tariff impacts [22][24] - The Federal Reserve is expected to consider rate cuts in October and December, influenced by the current economic data and inflation outlook [28][29] Group 4: Company-Specific Developments - Costco reported fourth-quarter results with sales and earnings exceeding estimates, but shares fell due to same-store sales slightly missing expectations [33] - Oakllo's stock is declining after Goldman Sachs initiated coverage at neutral, citing risks as the company has yet to apply for permits for its first nuclear power plant [34] - Boeing shares are rising as the FAA plans to ease restrictions on inspections and deliveries of the 737 Max, allowing for increased production [35]
Wall Street ends streak of weekly gains, yields rise as investors digest data
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-26 01:26
Group 1 - Wall Street indexes experienced gains on Friday but still recorded a loss for the week, with consumer spending supporting longer-dated Treasury yields and gold prices rising due to steady inflation readings [1][3] - Consumer spending increased slightly more than expected in August, while the inflation rate rose to 2.7% from 2.6% in July, aligning with economists' expectations [1] - Analysts noted that some companies managed to mitigate price pressures by stockpiling in anticipation of tariffs, but upcoming corporate earnings releases will be a significant test for many firms [2] Group 2 - The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 0.65%, the S&P 500 increased by 0.59%, and the Nasdaq Composite was up by 0.44% [3] - Individual stocks reacted to new White House tariffs, with Paccar gaining 5% and Eli Lilly rising 1.5% [3] - Richmond Fed Bank President expressed low confidence in inflation forecasts due to ongoing tariff impacts on the economy [3] Group 3 - The personal consumption expenditures index is a key component of the Federal Reserve's inflation outlook, with U.S. Treasury yields showing minimal movement after data release [5] - The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes rose by 0.7 basis points to 4.181%, while the 30-year bond yield increased by 0.5 basis points to 4.7576% [5] - Gold prices, typically benefiting from lower interest rates, held onto recent gains, with spot prices quoted at $3,766.25 an ounce, up by 0.46% [6] Group 4 - Investors currently estimate an 89.8% probability of a rate cut in October and a 67% chance of another cut in December, according to the CME FedWatch Tool [7]
Stocks fall for the third day in a row. Is this the start of a deeper pullback?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-25 20:47
Core Insights - U.S. stocks experienced a pullback contrary to expectations following a Federal Reserve rate cut, leading to a three-day losing streak across major indexes, raising concerns about the sustainability of the bull market [1][2][3] Market Performance - All three major U.S. stock indexes recorded declines over three consecutive days, with the S&P 500 dropping 1.3%, the Nasdaq Composite falling 1.8%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average decreasing by 0.9% [2][3] Economic Data Impact - The market's downturn followed a week of relatively quiet economic data, but stronger-than-expected economic indicators on Thursday suggested improving labor-market conditions, which altered market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's future policy [4][5] Market Sentiment - Analysts noted a shift in sentiment, with the prevailing narrative being that "good news is bad," indicating that positive economic data may reduce the likelihood of multiple rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [5][6] Rate Cut Expectations - Current economic indicators, including a GDP growth rate of 3.8% in the second quarter and jobless claims below 250,000, suggest skepticism about the Federal Reserve's ability to implement more than three or four rate cuts, impacting asset valuation [6][7]
Gold Prices Just Hit Another All-Time High. Here Are the 2 Top-Rated Gold Stocks to Buy Now.
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-24 16:42
Core Insights - Gold prices have reached record highs due to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's cautious economic outlook, which has increased investor demand for gold [1] - The metal has experienced five consecutive weekly gains, with a nearly 40% increase in value this year, driven by expectations of continued Federal Reserve rate cuts and economic uncertainty [2] Company Insights - Caledonia Mining Corporation (CMCL) reported exceptional Q2 results, achieving record production of 21,070 ounces at its Blanket Mine, leading to a 30% revenue increase to $65 million and a 147% surge in net profit to $20 million [4] - The Blanket Mine processed a record 204,915 tonnes at an improved grade of 3.31 grams per tonne, achieving a recovery rate of 94.41% [5] - CMCL raised its full-year production guidance to 77,500-79,500 ounces, reflecting strong operational performance [5] - The company reported operating cash flows of $28 million and a net cash position of $26 million, bolstered by a strategic sale of its solar plant for $22.4 million [6] - CMCL's disciplined capital allocation and operational capabilities position it well to benefit from rising gold prices, with a 10-year track record of outperforming the GDXJ index [7]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-09-24 11:08
Bets that the Federal Reserve will continue cutting rates have fueled a rally in one of the riskiest corners of the technology sector https://t.co/p0Q0YhkZ4H ...