Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 16.44 RMB [8][9]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 31.8 billion RMB in 2024, representing a year-over-year growth of 22%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.1 billion RMB, with a year-over-year increase of 31% [1]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 8.4 billion RMB, a quarter-over-quarter increase of 15%, and a net profit of 1 billion RMB, slightly below expectations due to high raw material costs [1]. - The company plans to implement a mid-term dividend in 2025 and has announced a share buyback plan of 500-1,000 million RMB by its controlling shareholders [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved tire sales of 72.16 million units, a 29% increase year-over-year. The average price per tire decreased by 4% to 423 RMB, while the gross margin remained stable at 27.58% [2]. - For Q1 2025, tire sales reached 19.37 million units, with a quarter-over-quarter increase of 17% and a year-over-year increase of 6%. The overall gross margin was 24.7%, impacted by product mix adjustments and high raw material costs [3]. Market Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from new production capacity and recovering overseas market demand, which will help achieve record sales in 2024 [2]. - Despite short-term uncertainties due to U.S. tariffs, the company is positioned for long-term growth due to its competitive pricing and diversified production bases [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted downwards by 14% and 16% to 4.5 billion RMB and 5 billion RMB, respectively. The projected net profit for 2027 is 6.3 billion RMB, with year-over-year growth rates of 11%, 10%, and 27% for 2025-2027 [5]. - The company is valued at a 12x PE ratio for 2025, reflecting its overseas expansion advantages and brand strength [5].

前十大流通股东累计持有： 11191.41万股，累计占流通股比： 79.67%，较上期变化： 226.10万股。 | 名称 | 持有数量(万股) | 占总股本 | 增减情 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 比例(%) | 况(万股) | | 天津华图宏阳企业管理有限公司 | 7164.81 | 51.00 | 新进 | | 车璐 | 2322.45 | 16.53 | 不变 | | 张鹏 | 447.55 | 3.19 | 不变 | | 文学军 | 372.95 | 2.65 | 不变 | | 华夏行业景气混合 | 265.13 | 1.89 | 新进 | | 周雪琴 | 167.41 | 1.19 | -14.59 | | 香港中央结算有限公司 | 145.81 | 1.04 | 20.36 | | 平安基金-中国平安人寿保险股份有限公司-寿险传统-低-平安基 | | | | | 金-平安人寿权益4号MOM单一资产管理计划 | 140.34 | 1.00 | 新进 | | 刘向东 | 102.13 | 0.73 | 不变 | | 马宁娜 | 62.83 | 0.45 | 0 ...

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