So, we got some breaking news just as we are coming on the air tonight. President Trump is purporting to have fired a member of the board of governors of the Federal Reserve. Her name is Lisa Cook. She's been a Fed governor since 2022. She is the first black woman to serve on the Fed board and its 111-year history. And in that entire 111 year history, no member of the Fed's board has ever been fired by any president. And that's not because presidents haven't wanted to do it. It's because a president is not ...

Donald Trump has for months sought interest-rate cuts in spite of tariff-driven inflation. The president may soon get what he wants, for Jerome Powell struck a doveish tone at Jackson Hole https://t.co/CRs4jK2V1i ...

Fed Policy & Market Reaction - The market interpreted the Fed's communication as dovish, leading to a significant market rally [1] - The market may be overreacting to the possibility of a rate cut as early as September, as more data is forthcoming [2] - A potential rate cut might be a "hawkish cut," implying a small adjustment or a step towards neutral rather than a series of cuts [3] - The circumstances surrounding a rate cut matter to the market, not just the cut itself [4] Economic Indicators & Inflation - A rate cut could signal that the Fed sees only slight economic weakness and no dramatic weakening in consumer sentiment [5] - Labor market weakness seems to be overshadowing concerns about inflation for the Fed [7] - The Fed appears comfortable with inflation running slightly above its target, but may reconsider its strategy if it exceeds a certain comfort range [8] - The Fed is data-dependent, not on autopilot, and structural changes in the market could force a reconsideration of policy [9] Tariffs & Inflation Expectations - New tariffs, such as those on furniture, add complexity and could lead to a series of rolling price increases, potentially influencing inflation expectations [10][11] - If consumers consistently see price increases, they may believe inflation is returning, which should influence the Fed's policy stance [12]

🚨 BREAKING:Fed sends mixed signals heading into Q4 📊Powell’s Jackson Hole remarks raise fresh debates on inflation, interest rates—and the long-term path for #crypto beyond 2025. ...

Legal & Political Analysis - The report highlights potential political retribution by the Trump administration, evidenced by the FBI search of John Bolton's home and office shortly before the release of Epstein files [1][13][14] - The report suggests an attempt to distract from the Epstein files release, with the Justice Department releasing audio transcripts of an interview with Ghislaine Maxwell [1][12][14] - The report raises concerns about the impartiality of Todd Blanch's interview with Ghislaine Maxwell, suggesting it was aimed at exonerating Donald Trump rather than seeking truth [11][12][17] - The report mentions a resolution opposing clemency for Ghislaine Maxwell, indicating a political stance against pardoning her [12] Epstein Case & Maxwell Interview - The report emphasizes Ghislaine Maxwell's conviction as a sex trafficker and her attempts to downplay her involvement and Donald Trump's relationship with Jeffrey Epstein [1][8][10] - The report questions the credibility of Ghislaine Maxwell's statements, highlighting contradictions and potential lies during her interview [2][12][15] - The report points out that Ghislaine Maxwell was transferred to a lower security prison camp after the interview, raising suspicions [11][19] Economic Analysis - The report discusses the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cut in September, influenced by concerns about the softening labor market and the impact of tariffs [24][27][28] - The report notes that tariffs are causing prices to rise, with Goldman Sachs estimating that 70% of tariffs will be passed on to consumers by October or November [32][33] - The report suggests that the middle class's strained budgets may limit their ability to absorb higher prices, impacting the effectiveness of passing on tariff costs [33] Other - The report mentions the US government taking a 10% stake in chipmaker Intel, indicating government intervention in corporate America [24]

Economic Outlook & Monetary Policy - The industry acknowledges a complicated economic context with mixed indicators, requiring a balanced approach to the dual mandate of inflation versus labor [1][2] - The industry recognizes upside risks to inflation related to tariffs and downside risks on the labor market, necessitating a balancing act in monetary policy decisions [4] - The industry emphasizes the importance of real-time decision-making amidst uncertainty, balancing data analysis with insights from companies regarding employment and pricing plans [4][5] - The industry notes that while job growth has slowed, some labor market indicators remain healthy, suggesting a need for careful consideration of downside risks [7] - The industry observes that inflation has crept higher, moving in the wrong direction compared to previous expectations [8] - The industry anticipates inflation to remain elevated for the rest of the year into early next year, potentially with a larger and more persistent impact due to tariff impacts [12] - The industry views current monetary policy as modestly restrictive, appropriate for elevated inflation, but acknowledges the need to dial back restrictiveness if labor market risks worsen relative to inflation [17][18] Inflation & Tariffs - The industry is focused on the impact of tariffs on prices, considering not just direct imports but also the broader range of goods and services relying on imported intermediate goods [10][11] - The industry expresses concern about high price levels and the importance of restoring price stability [10] Labor Market - The industry is balancing the commitment to restoring price stability with the understanding that preserving healthy labor markets is crucial [14] - The industry sees risks on both sides, with the potential for a rapid rise in unemployment or a more long-term, steady rise in inflation [15]

It's crazy how different the market can look in just 24 hours. I made a video last night talking to you guys about why we need to listen up to when Jerome Powell speaks and this is exactly why. There was a Jackson Hole conference today with Jerome Powell and I said that it was going to be a very big conference to tap into because what's being said at these conferences and when Jerome Powell speaks the market listens and if we look at the market today we could see that it was a very good conference.In fact, ...

Market Trends & Investor Sentiment - Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Pal暗示可能降息，市场普遍上涨 [1][2] - 零售投资者对风险的偏好正在回归，迷因股票和加密货币等非传统资产的势头正在增强 [3] - 年轻投资者（5年及以下经验）比经验丰富的投资者（10年以上经验）更乐观，因为他们主要在牛市期间进行投资 [5][6][7] - 近一半的自主投资者认为未来12个月市场表现会更差，但大多数人（64%）认为自己的投资组合表现会更好或相同 [10] Investment Strategies & Asset Allocation - 年轻投资者倾向于投资现金、个股和加密货币 [9] - 经验丰富的投资者仍然投资于现金、个股和共同基金 [9] - 投资者对他们熟悉和舒适的领域更有信心，例如科技行业 [11][12] - 即使市场波动，投资者仍在继续投资，可能会寻找机会逢低买入 [18][19] Economic Indicators & Federal Reserve Policy - 个人消费支出（PCE）数据预计将保持相对稳定，7月份环比下降至02% [22][23] - 市场已经消化了降息预期，美联储主席的讲话打开了降息的大门 [37][38] - 如果通胀率保持在3%左右，且就业市场保持不变，美联储降息可能会重新点燃通胀 [41] - 美联储的独立性面临考验，持续的攻击和威胁可能会损害公众对美联储的信任 [48][50] Company Focus & Earnings - 市场关注人工智能巨头英伟达（Nvidia）的第二季度业绩，预计将超过分析师的预期，这得益于对其人工智能芯片的强劲需求 [20][21][52] - 投资者将密切关注有关英伟达在中国销售芯片的能力以及对今年剩余时间展望的评论 [21][53][54] - 英伟达的H20芯片以及中国政府对购买该芯片的指令也将受到关注 [53][54]

Did the market overreact to the Fed news today. The market's been trained, the stock market's been trained to rally whenever the Fed tells you they're going to cut interest rates. It's just that coming in, didn't we.Oh, I I agree. We're we're sort of rallying again on the possibility of rate cuts. We've been pricing into rate cuts for months now.So, but Jay Powell basically Goldman Sachs is at like I think three rate cuts. I don't understand why the market reacted this way when everybody and maybe everybody ...

Monetary Policy Stance - The Federal Reserve (Fed) was in a wait-and-see mode regarding the impact of tariffs, but recent data suggests a muted impact, potentially leading to rate cuts [2] - The Fed perceives no signs of tariffs causing inflation expectations to become unanchored, viewing it as a one-off event rather than an ongoing inflationary cycle [3] - The speaker suggests Chair Powell is ready to start moving in September [3] - There was a debate within the committee about the luxury of waiting longer, possibly influenced by the August 1st payroll report [4] Inflation and Tariffs - Data suggests a more muted inflation impulse from tariffs, with some tariffs being negotiated down [5][6] - The initial tariff concerns from April, anticipating widespread increases of 20-30%, have subsided [6] - The slower impact of tariffs over time makes the Fed more comfortable that inflation expectations will remain anchored [7] Inflation Expectations - Inflation expectations are considered crucial in monetary policy, but the right measure is unclear, with options including Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS), consumer surveys, and business surveys [9] - The Fed has wiggle room in choosing which inflation measure to emphasize [10] - Despite past concerns about transitory inflation, people continue to believe the Fed regarding inflation expectations [10][11] Labor Market - Revised data suggests the labor market has been weakening [2][7] - Weakening labor market data supports the idea of bringing rates down [7]