We recently published 10 Stock Winners Shocking Wall Street. Hycroft Mining Holding Corp. (NASDAQ:HYMC) was one of the top performers last week. Hycroft Mining surged by 27.6 percent week-on-week, hitting a new four-year high, as investor sentiment was buoyed by silver’s rally to a fresh peak that sparked potential for higher profits, especially with the successful exploration of high-grade resources at its Nevada mining site. Following geopolitical tensions and continued uncertainties about US trade pol ...

Group 1: Price Target and Analyst Insights - Wells Fargo raised the price target on Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (NYSE:SWK) to $82 from $75 while maintaining an Equal Weight rating on the stock [1] - The analyst noted that 2026 has started on a shaky note with increased volatility, and warned that investments tied closely to builders appear especially risky after a recent rally [1] - The broader products space is sending mixed signals and does not look compelling, advising investors not to chase the stock after its recent price increase [1] Group 2: Business Transaction and Financial Impact - Stanley Black & Decker announced a definitive agreement to sell its Consolidated Aerospace Manufacturing (CAM) business to Howmet Aerospace for $1.8 billion in cash [2] - The CAM business is expected to generate approximately $405 million to $415 million in FY 2025 revenue, with an adjusted EBITDA margin in the high-teens [3] - The company plans to use the net cash proceeds primarily to pay down debt, which is expected to strengthen its balance sheet [3] Group 3: Transaction Details - Until the transaction closes, CAM's financial results will remain under continuing operations and will not be classified as discontinued operations [4] - The sale is anticipated to close in the first half of 2026, pending regulatory approvals and other standard closing conditions [4] - Stanley Black & Decker is recognized as a global tools and industrial company, known for its hand tools, power tools, outdoor equipment, and engineered fastening solutions [4]

Core Viewpoint - Federal Realty Investment Trust (NYSE:FRT) is gaining attention as a strong investment opportunity for 2026, highlighted by its capital recycling strategy and positive market sentiment [1][3]. Group 1: Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Scotiabank has slightly reduced its price target for Federal Realty from $114 to $113 while maintaining an Outperform rating, indicating a cautious but positive outlook ahead of Q4 earnings [2]. - Analysts are increasingly optimistic about Federal Realty, with Jefferies upgrading the stock to Buy and labeling it a top idea for 2026, suggesting it may be overlooked despite challenges in the real estate sector [3]. Group 2: Capital Recycling Strategy - Federal Realty is actively selling mature retail assets to reinvest in higher-quality growth opportunities, exemplified by the sale of a residential building and a grocery-anchored shopping center for approximately $170 million [4]. - The company has also made significant acquisitions, such as the $153.3 million purchase of Village Pointe in Omaha, which hosts notable tenants like Apple, Coach, and Sephora [4]. Group 3: Company Overview - Federal Realty Investment Trust is an equity REIT focused on owning, operating, and redeveloping retail-based real estate, primarily in major coastal markets and select underserved regions with favorable economic and demographic trends [5].

Group 1 - Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF) is recognized as one of the 13 Best Dividend Kings to buy in 2026, indicating strong dividend performance and potential for long-term investment [1] - Keefe Bruyette raised its price target for CINF to $191 from $180 while maintaining an Outperform rating, reflecting positive sentiment despite mixed signals from the market [2] - BofA reduced its price target for CINF to $180 from $186 but kept a Buy rating, citing weak pricing trends in most property and casualty (P&C) insurance products, although liability lines showed some strength [3] Group 2 - CINF has maintained a strong underwriting record with an average combined ratio of 94.6% over the past five years, indicating disciplined underwriting practices and supporting long-term growth [3] - The company primarily offers business, home, and auto insurance through The Cincinnati Insurance Company and its two standard market property casualty insurance subsidiaries, highlighting its diversified insurance portfolio [4]

Core Thesis - A bearish thesis on Hologic, Inc. has emerged, highlighting concerns over the company's underlying risks despite seemingly strong Q4 results [1][2]. Financial Performance - Hologic's share price was $74.87 as of January 13th, with trailing and forward P/E ratios of 30.07 and 16.39 respectively [1]. - The Q4 results showed a beat, but this was largely attributed to cost-cutting measures and accounting adjustments rather than genuine organic growth [2]. Operational and Regulatory Challenges - The company faces significant operational and regulatory challenges, including rising pressure on product quality and safety, ongoing litigation (e.g., the BioZorb case), and gaps in FDA documentation [3]. - Leadership appears to prioritize image management and outsourcing over long-term innovation and regulatory compliance, which raises concerns about the company's governance [3]. Workplace Culture - Hologic is reported to have a toxic workplace culture, with HR practices that discourage transparency and penalize whistleblowers, potentially affecting employee retention and operational efficiency [3]. Long-term Value Concerns - Despite appearing stable on paper, systemic issues create operational fragility that could undermine long-term value, suggesting that reported performance may obscure deeper structural and governance risks [4]. Market Position - Hologic is not among the 30 most popular stocks among hedge funds, with 47 hedge fund portfolios holding HOLX at the end of Q2, a slight increase from 46 in the previous quarter [6]. - While there is potential for Hologic as an investment, certain AI stocks are viewed as offering greater upside potential with less downside risk [6].

Core Insights - Riverwater Partners' "Micro Opportunities Strategy" faced challenges in Q4 and FY2025, underperforming against benchmarks due to underweight exposure in speculative market areas and a focus on high-quality stocks [1][2] Company Analysis - National CineMedia, Inc. (NASDAQ:NCMI) is highlighted as a key stock in the investor letter, with a market capitalization of $360.312 million and a one-month return of -0.26%, while its shares have lost 43.53% over the past 52 weeks [2] - The investment thesis for National CineMedia was based on expected recovery in cinema advertising volumes and free cash flow post-restructuring, but the company exited the position due to weaker-than-expected box office trends and reduced advertiser demand [3] - Despite being the dominant cinema advertising platform, concerns about theatrical relevance and marketing budgets, along with market speculation regarding vertical integration, have diminished confidence in National CineMedia's earnings recovery [3] Market Trends - The strategy anticipates that the current rally in low-quality stocks will be short-lived, focusing instead on micro-cap companies with broader sales and growth trajectories as it moves into 2026 [1]

Core Insights - Riverwater Partners' "Micro Opportunities Strategy" faced challenges in Q4 and FY2025, underperforming against benchmarks due to underweight exposure in speculative market areas [1] - The strategy's focus on high-quality stocks lagged behind the performance of low-quality stocks, which outperformed the market [1] - Looking ahead to 2026, the strategy aims to concentrate on micro-cap companies with broader sales and growth trajectories, anticipating that the rally in low-quality stocks will be short-lived [1] Company Performance - IRADIMED CORPORATION (NASDAQ:IRMD) was highlighted as the top performance contributor for Riverwater Partners in Q4 2025, with a one-month return of 5.01% and a 52-week gain of 72.38% [2] - The stock closed at $102.00 per share on December 15, 2025, with a market capitalization of $1.244 billion [2] - In Q4 2025, IRADIMED CORPORATION experienced a nearly 38% rally and an approximate 80% gain for the year [3] Hedge Fund Interest - IRADIMED CORPORATION is not among the 30 most popular stocks among hedge funds, with 14 hedge fund portfolios holding the stock at the end of Q3 2025, up from 13 in the previous quarter [4] - The company reported record revenue of $21.2 million in Q3 2025, marking a 16% increase from Q3 2024 [4] - While IRADIMED CORPORATION shows potential, certain AI stocks are considered to offer greater upside potential and less downside risk [4]

Group 1 - Brilliant Earth Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:BRLT) is recognized as one of the 7 best jewelry stocks to buy currently [1] - The company launched a limited-edition jewelry capsule collection in collaboration with Ring Pop, focusing on milestone gifting and nostalgia [2] - In Q3 2025, the company reported net sales of $110.3 million, a 10.4% increase year-over-year, with a gross margin of 57.6% [3] - The average order value decreased by 5.5% to $2,209, while the total number of orders increased by 16.8% to 49,910 [3] - Bookings for fine jewelry rose by 45% annually, and the adjusted EBITDA was $3.6 million, marking the 17th consecutive quarter of positive results [3] - For the first nine months of 2025, net sales increased by 3.4% to $313.1 million, with a gross margin of 58.1% and adjusted EBITDA of $7.8 million [4] - The full-year 2025 forecast anticipates an adjusted EBITDA margin of 2% to 3% and net sales growth of 3% to 4.5% [4] Group 2 - Brilliant Earth Group, Inc. is characterized as an omnichannel jewelry firm that is digitally native [5]

Core Viewpoint - Movado Group, Inc. is recognized as one of the best jewellery stocks to buy, with a positive outlook from analysts and strong financial performance indicators [1][2]. Financial Performance - Net sales increased by 3.1% year over year, reaching $186.1 million in the most recent quarter [3]. - The gross margin improved to 54.3%, indicating better profitability [3]. - Operating income rose significantly to $11.7 million from $6.0 million the previous year, with adjusted operating income at $12.6 million [3]. - Adjusted EPS was reported at $0.45, while diluted EPS increased to $0.42 [3]. - The company ended the quarter with $183.9 million in cash and no debt, showcasing a strong balance sheet [3]. - A quarterly dividend of $0.35 per share was announced by the board [3]. Market Position and Analyst Coverage - Northland initiated coverage of Movado Group with an Outperform rating and a price target of $30, citing the company's resilience and experienced management [2]. - The company has shown a year-to-date growth of 9.42% as of January 13, 2026 [4]. Business Overview - Movado Group, Inc. is involved in the creation, production, sourcing, marketing, and sale of watches both in the US and internationally [5].

Company Overview - Royal Gold, Inc. (NASDAQ:RGLD) specializes in the acquisition and management of precious metal streams and royalties to finance various mining projects [2] - The company's portfolio primarily includes interests in gold, silver, and industrial metals [2] Financial Performance - For the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2025, Royal Gold reported consolidated stream segment sales of approximately 64,000 gold equivalent ounces (GEOs) [2] - Total stream segment sales for the 2025 calendar year reached approximately 195,400 GEOs [2] Market Sentiment - The stock has seen a significant increase, up 40%, and reached an all-time high [1] - Analyst Jim Cramer suggests taking some profits off the table due to the rapid price increase [1]