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Options Traders Target UnitedHealth Stock Despite Steep 2025 Losses
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-06-02 15:42
Core Insights - UnitedHealth Group Inc (NYSE:UNH) has experienced a significant decline of 39.1% year-to-date in 2025, primarily due to rising medical costs and the unexpected departure of CEO Andrew Witty [1] - Despite the challenges, options trading activity remains robust, with a notable volume of both calls and puts in recent trading sessions [2] Options Trading Activity - Over the last 10 trading days, UnitedHealth recorded a total of 4,843,914 options, comprising 3,313,688 calls and 1,530,226 puts [2][3] - The most popular options contract was the weekly 5/23 300-strike call, indicating strong interest among traders [2] Stock Performance - UnitedHealth shares were last observed at $307.50, reflecting a 1.9% increase and marking a potential fourth consecutive daily gain [5] - The stock is attempting to recover from a significant dip to $269.13 on May 16, which was its lowest level since April 2020 [5] Volatility Metrics - The Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) for UnitedHealth ranks at 95 out of 100, suggesting that the stock typically exceeds options traders' annual volatility expectations [7]
Aerospace Stock with Support in Place
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-05-30 18:02
Group 1 - BWX Technologies Inc (NYSE:BWXT) shares are currently supported at their March and July 2024 highs, breaking above resistance in the $110-$111 range [2] - All daily moving averages for BWXT are trending upwards, potentially providing a support level in case of a market pullback [2] - Short interest for BWXT has increased by 38.7% in the last two reporting periods, suggesting that a reversal of this pessimism could benefit the stock [3] Group 2 - Aggressive put sellers are active at the June 105-strike, while also purchasing June 120- and 130-strike calls, indicating bullish sentiment [3] - The Schaeffer's open interest ratio (SOIR) for BWXT is at 1.23, historically associated with price bottoms [3] - The Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) for BWXT is at 29%, ranking in the 26th percentile of its annual range, indicating low volatility expectations among options traders [4] Group 3 - The recommended call option for BWXT has a leverage ratio of 6.4, which could double with a 16% gain in the underlying stock [4]
Why is Palantir Stock Rising Today?
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-05-30 16:06
Group 1 - Palantir Technologies Inc (NASDAQ:PLTR) is experiencing significant stock performance, currently up 6.4% to $130.17, with a notable increase of 72% in 2025, testing its record high of $133.49 from May 14 [1][2] - The company is being engaged by President Donald Trump to organize personal data across various government agencies, which is expected to enhance its government contract portfolio [1] - Despite the stock's gains, analysts remain cautious, with 17 out of 20 brokerages maintaining "hold" or worse ratings, indicating a potential shift in sentiment could benefit the stock [2] Group 2 - The options market shows a high level of put exposure among short-term traders, with a Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) of 9.99, ranking in the 85th percentile of its annual range [3] - Palantir's Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) is at 55%, ranking in the 22nd percentile of its annual range, suggesting options are affordably priced [3] - The company has a Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) of 85 out of 100, indicating a history of exceeding option traders' volatility expectations over the past year [3]
How I'm Trading Nvidia's Earnings Using My PFP System
Benzinga· 2025-05-29 18:49
Nvidia NVDA posted earnings after Wednesday's close, beating sales but missing earnings per share. Forward guidance was positive, and the stock gained about $7 from $134.88, close to $141.35 as of this writing.But after lots of movement overnight and on Thursday morning, NVDA stock has been stuck in place.This won't last.My PFP system, which stands for Positioning, Flows, and Price Action, uses options market data to predict where stocks will go next. Let's start our look into NVDA by looking at where optio ...
eBay Stock Has Technical Support in Place
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-05-23 16:43
Core Insights - eBay Inc (NASDAQ:EBAY) stock is poised to close above its post-May options expiration week open interest balance at the 70-strike, potentially breaking out above a significant weekly wick resistance area, which would indicate a new 52-week high and strong technical momentum [2] Group 1: Stock Performance - eBay has experienced a 15% year-to-date gain and a 65% rally since the beginning of 2024, yet market sentiment remains cautious with only three analysts rating it a "buy" [4] - The stock's 50-day put/call volume ratio stands at 1.43, ranking in the 97th annual percentile, indicating significant negative sentiment that could reverse and support further price increases [4] Group 2: Short Interest and Options - Short interest in eBay has decreased by 6.3% over the last two weeks, with short interest representing 4.6% of the stock's float, suggesting that additional covering could maintain bullish control [5] - The recommended call option has a leverage ratio of 10.6, indicating that it will double with a 9.3% move in the underlying shares [5]
Hoka Parent Heads for Worst Day in 13 Years
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-05-23 15:32
Core Viewpoint - Deckers Outdoor Corp (NYSE: DECK) has experienced a significant decline of 20.2%, trading at $100.67, after the company refrained from providing a full-year forecast due to economic uncertainty [1]. Financial Performance - Despite better-than-expected fiscal fourth-quarter results, Deckers has faced a series of price-target cuts and downgrades from analysts, with Keybanc lowering its rating to "sector weight" from "overweight" and Telsey Advisory downgrading to "market perform" from "outperform" [2]. - UBS, in contrast, raised its price target for Deckers to $169 [2]. Stock Performance - The current drop positions Deckers for its worst trading day since April 2012, with shares hitting a new 52-week low of $100.70 and reflecting a year-to-date deficit of 50.7% [3]. - Options trading has surged, with 46,000 calls and 29,000 puts traded, which is ten times the typical options volume for this period. The most active option is the weekly 5/30 102-strike call, with new positions being opened [3]. Volatility and Options - The stock's Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) is 97 out of 100, indicating that it has historically outperformed options traders' volatility expectations [4].
BJ's Wholesale Club: Too Expensive For This Growth
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-22 16:40
Group 1 - The core focus of Quad 7 Capital is to provide investment opportunities through their BAD BEAT Investing platform, emphasizing both long and short trades [1] - The team consists of 7 analysts with diverse expertise in business, policy, economics, mathematics, game theory, and sciences, aiming to educate investors on proficient trading [1] - Since May 2020, the company has maintained an average position of 95% long and 5% short, showcasing their strategic investment approach [1] Group 2 - BAD BEAT Investing offers various benefits, including weekly well-researched trade ideas, access to multiple chat rooms, and daily summaries of key analyst upgrades and downgrades [2] - The platform also provides education on basic options trading and extensive trading tools to enhance investor knowledge and skills [2]
Williams-Sonoma: Take Advantage Of The Weakness
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-22 15:59
Core Insights - The company, Quad 7 Capital, is known for its investment strategy called BAD BEAT Investing, which has been operational for nearly 12 years and emphasizes both long and short trades [1] - The team consists of 7 analysts with diverse expertise in various fields, including business, policy, economics, and game theory [1] - The investment approach focuses on short- and medium-term investments, income generation, special situations, and momentum trades, aiming to educate investors on becoming proficient traders [1] Summary of Benefits - BAD BEAT Investing offers a range of benefits, including understanding market dynamics, executing well-researched trade ideas weekly, and access to multiple chat rooms for discussions [2] - Members receive daily summaries of key analyst upgrades and downgrades, along with education on basic options trading and access to extensive trading tools [2]
GigaCloud Technology: Why It Can Finally Break Out Of This Slump
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-13 08:42
Core Insights - BAD BEAT Investing, led by Quad 7 Capital, has been providing investment opportunities for nearly 12 years, with a notable call in February 2020 to sell everything and go short, maintaining an average position of 95% long and 5% short since May 2020 [1] - The team consists of 7 analysts with diverse expertise in business, policy, economics, mathematics, game theory, and sciences, focusing on both long and short trades [1] - The investment strategy emphasizes short- and medium-term investments, income generation, special situations, and momentum trades, aiming to educate investors on becoming proficient traders [1] Benefits of BAD BEAT Investing - Investors can learn to understand market dynamics, execute well-researched trade ideas weekly, and utilize 4 chat rooms for discussions [2] - Daily complimentary summaries of key analyst upgrades and downgrades are provided, along with education on basic options trading and access to extensive trading tools [2]
Mining Stock Slides As Tariff Tensions Ease
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-05-12 14:58
Group 1 - The trade talks between China and the U.S. resulted in lower tariffs, boosting market sentiment and leading to a significant increase in stock prices at the start of the week [1] - Newmont Corporation (NEM) experienced a decline of 4.9%, trading at $51.33, marking its worst daily percentage drop since early April, despite a 20% year-over-year gain [2] - Options traders showed bullish sentiment with a 50-day call/put volume ratio of 4.27, ranking higher than 78% of readings from the past year [2] Group 2 - Short-term traders have also leaned bullish, indicated by NEM's put/call open interest ratio of 0.61, which is in the 34th percentile of annual readings [3] - Newmont stock has outperformed options traders' volatility expectations over the last 12 months, with a Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) of 82 out of 100, suggesting a favorable environment for options trading [3]