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Where to Look for Evidence of S&P 500 Cracks
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-08-18 12:41
Market Overview - The S&P 500 Index (SPX) has not reached a new all-time intraday high for six consecutive days, marking its longest streak without a new high since mid-June, closing just 0.32 points below last month's all-time closing high of 6,389.77 [1] - The SPX advanced above the previous all-time high of 6,427 last week, but selling at new highs is not recommended due to the frequency of such occurrences since the late-June breakout [4] - The SPX is currently pausing around the 10% above 2024 close level of 6,469, indicating a potential pause rather than a major pivot [5] Inflation and Market Reaction - The Producer Price Index (PPI) showed a significant increase of 0.9% in July, compared to the forecast of 0.2%, which could have triggered major selling, but the market reacted neutrally [6] - The lack of selling pressure may be due to hedge fund managers exiting positions in response to tariffs and inflation concerns, while active fund managers reduced equity exposure leading up to the PPI release [7] Sentiment and Technical Indicators - Market sentiment is cautious, with the percentage of bullish investors in the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) falling below 30% for the first time since early May, which historically has been a buying opportunity [7] - The 30-day moving average is a key technical indicator, currently projected to be around 6,365 by week's end, and serves as a potential guide for identifying cracks in the current uptrend [12]
X @Andy
Andy· 2025-08-15 17:02
Be careful with these.These aren't actually representative of ownership of these companies and imo should be handled with caution.Not to mention, the valuations on these things are absolutely massive ($3B-$515B) and likely aren't suited for most of CT's size.While I think this is a unique experiment, its hard to know how this will actually play out. It feels like a worthless wrapper/derivative token which has extra risk (self-custody/smart contract risk) as well as potential lack of liquidity.Very innovativ ...
Enbridge Preferreds: Series 1 And Other Buys, Sells And Holds
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-13 12:35
Group 1 - The article highlights the author's extensive experience in investment banking, particularly in equity research, corporate finance, and M&A within the Canadian electric utilities and infrastructure sectors [1] - The author has been recognized as a top-rated analyst by Institutional Investor and Extel surveys, indicating a strong reputation in the field [1] - The focus is on actionable investment ideas and the importance of clear narratives in financial analysis [1] Group 2 - The author holds a beneficial long position in shares of specific companies, indicating a personal investment interest that may influence their analysis [2] - The article emphasizes that the views expressed are personal opinions and not influenced by any business relationships with the mentioned companies [2] - There is a disclaimer regarding the nature of past performance not guaranteeing future results, which is a standard caution in investment analysis [3]
AI Boom Leads to Exploding Valuations
Bloomberg Technology· 2025-08-05 20:20
We look at something like Palantir, a 500% in 12 months, the most expensive stock on the S&P 500 when you're looking at where it prices versus future sales. Does it seem vindicated to you, these sorts of valuations. There's absolutely some enthusiasm at play here.And I think there's some and I think in this earnings season, we have heard from a variety of companies, not just these mega-cap tech companies, that they're seeing early signs of success with AI. AI's helping them run more efficiently. It's writin ...
Mobius Sees Promise in Japan, India, Taiwan Markets
Bloomberg Television· 2025-08-04 16:23
Investment Strategy & Market Outlook - Initially holding 95% in cash, the portfolio is now 50% cash due to high market valuations [1][3] - Cash is considered "king" currently, with plans for aggressive buying during market corrections [2] - Holding cash provides a 4-5% interest rate from U S Treasuries, making it a safe and attractive option [3] - Emerging markets are showing promise, keeping pace with the US market in the last year [3][4] - Trade negotiations are expected to conclude in the next 4-5 months, potentially boosting emerging markets [4] Regional Investment Opportunities - Japan presents opportunities with good earnings, low price-earnings ratios, and growth, despite the Bank of Japan's policy rate of about 0 5% and inflation around 2 7% [5] - India and Taiwan are also promising markets, despite facing high tariffs from the US administration [6] - India's self-contained market and trade restrictions mitigate the impact of tariffs [7][8] - Consumer companies, airlines, and telecoms (e g Bharti Airtel) in India are attractive investment sectors [9] Risks & Uncertainties - Tariffs have negatively impacted market sentiment, raising concerns about higher inflation and poor earnings for import/export-dependent companies [14] - The ultimate impact of tariffs remains uncertain, with potential legal challenges in US federal courts [15] - Competition in the tech sector, particularly in AI, poses a significant risk to tech investments [25][26]
Big Tech Earnings Come Under the Microscope | Presented by CME Group
Bloomberg Television· 2025-07-28 18:59
[Music] With the markets reaching the height of earning season, particularly driven by major technology companies, there are several key factors that traders will be monitoring. AI spending and demand sustainability. Traders will be focused on whether tech giants like Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, and Meta Platforms will maintain their massive capital expenditures on AI infrastructure, which heavily relies on NVIDIA chips.These companies are projected to spend around 350 billion in the coming fiscal year, up ...
