Core Insights - Certara, Inc. is positioned to potentially continue its earnings-beat streak in the upcoming report, having surpassed earnings estimates by an average of 11.54% in the last two quarters [1][2]. Earnings Performance - In the last reported quarter, Certara achieved earnings of $0.14 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.13 per share, resulting in a surprise of 7.69% [2]. - In the previous quarter, the company was expected to post earnings of $0.13 per share but delivered $0.15 per share, leading to a surprise of 15.38% [2]. Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Recent estimates for Certara have been trending upward, with a positive Earnings ESP of +2.44%, indicating increased analyst optimism regarding the company's earnings prospects [5][8]. - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) suggests a high likelihood of another earnings beat, with historical data showing that stocks with this combination beat estimates nearly 70% of the time [6][8]. Earnings ESP Explanation - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate reflecting the latest analyst revisions, which may be more accurate [7]. - A negative Earnings ESP can reduce the predictive power of the metric, but it does not necessarily indicate an earnings miss [9]. Importance of Earnings ESP - Many companies beat consensus EPS estimates, but this is not the sole reason for share price gains; thus, checking a company's Earnings ESP before quarterly releases is crucial for investment decisions [10].

Core Viewpoint - Citizens Financial Group (CFG) is well-positioned to continue its earnings-beat streak in the upcoming report, supported by a positive earnings surprise history and favorable analyst estimates [1][5]. Earnings Performance - For the last reported quarter, Citizens Financial Group achieved earnings of $0.77 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.75 per share, resulting in a surprise of 2.67% [2]. - In the previous quarter, the company reported earnings of $0.85 per share against an expected $0.83 per share, delivering a surprise of 2.41% [2]. Earnings Estimates - Recent estimates for Citizens Financial Group have been trending upward, with a positive Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicating a strong likelihood of an earnings beat [5][8]. - The current Earnings ESP for the company stands at +1.55%, reflecting increased analyst optimism regarding its near-term earnings potential [8]. Zacks Rank and Predictive Power - The stock holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), which, when combined with a positive Earnings ESP, suggests a high probability of beating consensus estimates, with historical data indicating nearly 70% success in such cases [6][8]. - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate being more reflective of recent analyst revisions [7].

Core Viewpoint - Commerce Bancshares (CBSH) is positioned well to potentially beat earnings estimates in its upcoming quarterly report, supported by a history of positive earnings surprises [1][5]. Earnings Performance - For the last reported quarter, Commerce Bancshares achieved earnings of $0.98 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.93 per share, resulting in a surprise of 5.38% [2]. - In the previous quarter, the company reported earnings of $1.01 per share against an expected $0.94 per share, delivering a surprise of 7.45% [2]. Earnings Estimates - There has been a favorable change in earnings estimates for Commerce Bancshares, with a positive Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicating potential for an earnings beat [5][8]. - The current Earnings ESP for Commerce is +1.79%, suggesting analysts are optimistic about its near-term earnings potential [8]. Predictive Metrics - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6]. - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate reflecting the latest analyst revisions [7].

Core Insights - Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) has a strong track record of beating earnings estimates, particularly in the last two quarters with an average surprise of 19.57% [1][5] - The company reported earnings of $3.6 per share for the most recent quarter, which was below the expected $4.04, resulting in a surprise of 12.22% [2] - In the previous quarter, Chord Energy exceeded expectations by reporting $3.49 per share against a consensus estimate of $2.75, achieving a surprise of 26.91% [2] Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Chord Energy's earnings estimates have been trending higher, supported by its history of earnings surprises [5] - The company currently has a positive Earnings ESP of +8.80%, indicating bullish sentiment among analysts regarding its near-term earnings potential [8] - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) suggests a strong possibility of another earnings beat in the upcoming report [8] Earnings ESP and Market Behavior - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6] - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, reflecting the latest analyst revisions [7] - A negative Earnings ESP does not necessarily indicate an earnings miss, but it can reduce predictive power [8]

Core Viewpoint - CSW Industrials is positioned well to potentially beat earnings estimates in its upcoming quarterly report, supported by a solid history of exceeding expectations in previous quarters [1][6]. Earnings Performance - CSW Industrials has consistently beaten earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 7.59% over the last two quarters [2]. - In the most recent quarter, the company reported earnings of $2.23 per share against an expectation of $2.24, resulting in a surprise of 0.45%. In the prior quarter, it exceeded the consensus estimate of $1.29 by reporting $1.48 per share, achieving a surprise of 14.73% [3]. Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Recent estimates for CSW Industrials have been revised upward, indicating growing analyst confidence in its near-term earnings potential. The Zacks Earnings ESP for the company is currently positive, suggesting a strong likelihood of an earnings beat [6][9]. - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have historically produced a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, indicating a high probability of exceeding consensus estimates [7]. Earnings ESP Metric - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate reflecting the latest analyst revisions. This metric is crucial for predicting earnings performance [8]. - CSW Industrials has an Earnings ESP of +4.38%, combined with a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), further supporting the potential for another earnings beat [9].

Core Insights - PepsiCo, Inc. is anticipated to report declines in both revenue and earnings for the second quarter of 2025, with revenues expected at $22.4 billion, reflecting a 0.5% year-over-year decrease, and earnings per share (EPS) projected at $2.04, indicating a 10.5% decline from the previous year [1][2][10] Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for second-quarter revenues is $22.4 billion, down 0.5% from the same quarter last year [2] - The consensus estimate for quarterly earnings is $2.04, suggesting a 10.5% decline from the $2.28 reported in the prior-year quarter [2] - The company experienced a negative earnings surprise of 1.3% in the last reported quarter, with an average earnings surprise of 1.4% over the trailing four quarters [2] Operational Challenges - PepsiCo is facing multiple headwinds, particularly in its North America operations, which have been struggling since early 2024 due to underwhelming results in the PepsiCo Foods North America (PFNA) segment and a decline in Asia Pacific Foods [5][10] - The weakness in the PFNA segment is largely attributed to reduced demand for Frito-Lay products as consumers become more inflation-conscious and cut back on discretionary spending [6][7] - Consumer sentiment remains cautious, with inflationary pressures leading to more value-driven purchasing behavior, particularly in North America [7] Cost Environment - The company is contending with a challenging cost environment in 2025, driven by rising supply-chain expenses and increased tariffs on globally sourced inputs [8][9] - Incremental cost pressures related to sourcing key ingredients and materials are exacerbated by shifting international trade dynamics [8] - The combination of escalating global logistics costs and geopolitical uncertainty is disrupting pricing and procurement strategies, potentially eroding margins [9] Profitability Outlook - PepsiCo's second-quarter results are expected to reflect margin pressure due to the timing and phasing of productivity initiatives, with adjusted gross profit anticipated to decline by 0.8% year-over-year and adjusted operating income expected to fall by 9.6% [11][12] - Despite ongoing cost discipline, the company's core profitability appears temporarily constrained due to elevated supply-chain costs and tariff-related headwinds [11] Growth Drivers - PepsiCo benefits from a strong core product portfolio, diversified operations, modernized supply chain, and enhanced digital capabilities, with its international business contributing approximately 40% to total net revenues [13] - The International Beverages Franchise segment is projected to see a 2% year-over-year revenue improvement in the second quarter of 2025 [14] - The company aims to achieve productivity goals through savings from restructuring actions, which are expected to drive top-line growth and improve margins [14] Stock Performance and Valuation - PepsiCo shares have underperformed in the past three months, losing 7.3%, compared to a 5.2% decline in the broader industry and a 1.1% decline in the Consumer Staples sector [15] - The stock is currently trading at a forward P/E ratio of 16.83X, which is below the S&P 500's average of 22.64X and the broader industry's average of 18X [20] - The valuation on a forward 12-month P/E basis reflects a significant discount to the market, although this may indicate underlying issues rather than a clear investment opportunity [22] Investment Outlook - Despite consistent revenue growth and strong profitability driven by a diverse product portfolio, external risks such as inflationary pressures and operational challenges in North America warrant a cautious investment outlook [23][24] - The company’s strong international momentum, investments in digital transformation, and product innovation may serve as meaningful tailwinds [26] - A wait-and-watch approach may be prudent as investors assess how the company navigates current challenges and leverages growth drivers post-earnings [27]

Core Viewpoint - BlackRock is expected to report improved second-quarter 2025 results, with revenues and earnings anticipated to show year-over-year growth [1][11]. Group 1: Performance and Estimates - BlackRock's first-quarter 2025 earnings exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate, driven by revenue growth and a record high AUM of $11.58 trillion, influenced by net inflows and favorable forex impacts [1][2]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for total AUM in Q2 is $11.68 trillion, reflecting a 9.7% year-over-year increase, while the company's own estimate is $11.66 trillion [5]. - The consensus estimate for second-quarter earnings is $10.77 per share, indicating a 4% increase from the previous year, with sales expected to rise by 12% to $5.38 billion [11]. Group 2: Revenue Components - BlackRock is projected to see growth in investment advisory, administration fees, and securities-lending revenues, with a consensus estimate of $4.36 billion, representing a 12.6% year-over-year rise [6]. - The estimate for investment advisory performance fees is $156.6 million, showing a decline of 4.5%, while distribution fees are expected to rise by 1.7% to $323.3 million [7]. - Technology services revenues are estimated at $493.7 million, indicating a 25% year-over-year increase [7]. Group 3: Expenses and Strategic Initiatives - Total expenses for BlackRock are estimated at $3.33 billion, suggesting a year-over-year rise of 10.7, driven by restructuring initiatives and expansion efforts [9]. - The company continues to enhance its AUM through diversified offerings and strong revenue mix, with the listing of bitcoin ETPs contributing positively [4][5]. Group 4: Market Position and Outlook - BlackRock maintains a strong position in the ETF market, with over 1,400 ETFs globally, and the approval of spot Bitcoin and ether ETFs likely contributing to AUM growth [3]. - The company has a positive Earnings ESP of +1.28% and a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating a high likelihood of beating the consensus estimate for earnings [10].

Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates Autoliv, Inc. (ALV) will report a year-over-year increase in earnings driven by higher revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to be released on July 18, with a consensus EPS estimate of $2.05, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +9.6%. Revenues are projected at $2.61 billion, a slight increase of 0.3% from the previous year [3][2]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.67% higher, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that the Most Accurate Estimate for Autoliv is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -1.52%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [12][8]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Autoliv exceeded the expected earnings of $1.72 per share by delivering $2.15, resulting in a surprise of +25.00%. Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates twice [13][14]. Overall Assessment - Given the current Zacks Rank of 4, Autoliv does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, and investors should consider other factors before making investment decisions [12][17].

American Express (AXP) is expected to deliver a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended June 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook gives a good sense of the company's earnings picture, but how the actual results compare to these estimates is a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price.The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on July 18. ...

Company Overview - Regions Financial (RF) is anticipated to report a year-over-year increase in earnings, with a projected quarterly earnings of $0.56 per share, reflecting a +7.7% change, and revenues expected to reach $1.85 billion, up 7% from the previous year [3][12]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is scheduled for July 18, and the stock may experience upward movement if the reported numbers exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2][12]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.28% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a positive reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP for Regions Financial is +0.83%, suggesting a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate, although the stock currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 [12]. - Historical performance shows that Regions Financial has beaten consensus EPS estimates in the last four quarters, with a notable surprise of +5.88% in the last reported quarter [13][14]. Industry Context - In the Southeast banking industry, Simmons First National (SFNC) is expected to report earnings of $0.40 per share, indicating a +21.2% year-over-year change, with revenues projected at $213.4 million, up 8.2% [18]. - Simmons First National has an Earnings ESP of -1.68% and a Zacks Rank of 3, making it challenging to predict a beat on the consensus EPS estimate [19].