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DELL's "Margins Story" & Options Trade Ahead of Earnings
Youtube· 2025-11-25 17:00
Core Viewpoint - Dell's upcoming earnings report is highly anticipated, particularly regarding its margin performance amid rising memory chip costs, which have led to a significant decline in its stock price over the past month [1][2][4]. Financial Performance Expectations - Analysts expect Dell to report earnings per share (EPS) of $2.48 on revenues of $27.2 billion, with a focus on the company's ability to manage margins effectively [5]. - Last quarter, Dell's operating margin was reported at 7%, and the company aims to increase this to between 10% and 14% by the end of the fiscal year, which is just one quarter away [4][5]. Market Sentiment and Analyst Actions - There is a notable concern among analysts regarding Dell's margin resilience, leading many to lower their estimates and price targets ahead of the earnings report [2][6][7]. - Bank of America has adjusted its price target for Dell, anticipating that the company will likely implement measures to reduce operating expenses to counteract rising memory costs [6]. Industry Context - The broader market sentiment is influenced by concerns over potential bubbles in the AI sector, particularly as Dell is closely tied to Nvidia, which has faced scrutiny regarding its valuations [8][9]. - The current trading environment reflects a cautious approach, with analysts wary of potential earnings misses that could lead to further stock price declines [9]. Trading Strategies - A neutral to bullish trading strategy is being suggested for Dell, utilizing a four-legged spread to capitalize on higher implied volatility levels, allowing for profitability even if the stock price remains stable or declines slightly [11][12][16].
X @Johnny
Johnny· 2025-11-25 15:50
Industry Growth & Wealth Transfer - The AI industry, including AI growth, AI infrastructure, Robotics & data centers, is expected to receive trillions of dollars in investment over the next 5-10 years [1] - This wealth transfer is projected to be unprecedented in scale [1]
X @Cointelegraph
Cointelegraph· 2025-11-25 00:30
🔥 NEW: Google’s AI infrastructure chief says the company must double its AI capacity every six months to keep up with surging demand. https://t.co/V1OHdMUkZo ...
Why Data Wins: DDN on Intelligent Infrastructure for Training & Inference
DDN· 2025-11-24 22:55
My name is Pre Mela. I am the senior director of international marketing at data direct networks DDN. And here with me is a pioneer of our ages, one of the pioneers of AI infrastructure, Paul Block, who is the president and co-founder of DDN.I'm looking forward to having this conversation with him on all things related to AI infrastructure. Hello Paul, how are you. >> Good Prem, good to be in Dubai.>> So Paul, let's start with the origin story of DDN. Can you tell us about the origin story and can you also ...
X @TechCrunch
TechCrunch· 2025-11-24 19:15
AWS is spending $50B build AI infrastructure for the US government https://t.co/H7ITm0twQQ ...
Nebius: Why Its Finland Campus Could Hit $650 To $900M Annually
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-24 16:29
Group 1 - Nebius Group (NBIS) reported 3Q25 revenue of $146.1 million, representing a year-over-year increase of approximately 355%, although it missed estimates by $9.6 million [1] - The adjusted net loss for the company was $100.4 million [1] - Nebius Group announced a significant $3 billion, five-year AI infrastructure deal [1]
韩国科技_英伟达 2026 财年第三季度业绩关联分析_确认对 HBM 和传统存储的积极看法-South Korea Technology_ NVDA 3QFY26 read-across_ Confirming positive view on both HBM and conventional memory
2025-11-24 01:46
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the **South Korean memory industry**, focusing on companies like **Nvidia (NVDA)**, **SK Hynix**, and **Samsung Electronics (SEC)** [1][4]. Nvidia's Performance - Nvidia reported **3QFY26** earnings with a revenue of **US$57 billion**, representing a **22% quarter-over-quarter increase**. This figure surpassed both Goldman Sachs' estimate of **US$55.6 billion** and the consensus estimate of **US$55.4 billion** [1]. - Data Center revenue reached **US$51.2 billion**, exceeding Goldman Sachs' estimate of **US$49.4 billion** and the Street's estimate of **US$49.7 billion** [1]. - For **4QFY26**, Nvidia guided revenue and gross margin above market expectations, with a midpoint revenue guidance of **US$65 billion**, exceeding Goldman Sachs' estimate of **US$63.2 billion** and consensus of **US$62.4 billion** [1]. - Nvidia anticipates reaching **US$500 billion** in sales for its Blackwell and Rubin platforms from the start of **2025** until the end of **2026**, with the Rubin platform expected to ramp up in the second half of **2026** [1]. Memory Market Insights - Strong demand for Nvidia's GPUs is expected to positively impact the **High Bandwidth Memory (HBM)** market, with significant growth anticipated for both **SK Hynix** and **Samsung Electronics** in **2026** [4]. - The estimate for **Hynix's HBM bit shipments** has been raised by **18%** to **19 billion Gb**, reflecting a **47% year-over-year increase** from a previous estimate of **16 billion Gb** [4]. - Samsung Electronics is projected to see a **126% year-over-year growth** in HBM bit shipments, reaching over **10 billion Gb** in **2026** [4]. Role of Memory in AI Infrastructure - Memory is deemed crucial for building AI infrastructure, with suppliers expected to benefit from various memory products, including **DDR**, **LPDDR**, and **GDDR**, in addition to HBM [4]. Long-term Contracts and Pricing Trends - Due to tight supply conditions, there is a higher likelihood of customers entering long-term contracts with memory suppliers for both HBM and conventional memory to protect their margins [5]. - Pricing for memory products has been rising significantly over the past few months, driven by supply constraints, particularly for **LPDDR DRAM** used in multiple applications [4][5]. Price Targets and Risks - **Samsung Electronics** has a 12-month target price of **W123,000** for common shares and **W99,000** for preference shares, rated as **Buy** for both [6]. - **SK Hynix** has a 12-month target price of **W700,000**, also rated as **Buy**, with a **30% AI premium** factored into the valuation [8]. - Key risks for both companies include a major deterioration in memory supply/demand, smartphone margin contractions, and potential market share losses in mobile OLED [7][9]. Conclusion - The conference call highlights a positive outlook for the South Korean memory industry, driven by strong demand from Nvidia and the growing importance of memory in AI applications. The anticipated growth in HBM shipments for both SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics reflects a robust market environment, although risks related to supply and demand dynamics remain pertinent.
Global Markets Brace for Upswing Amid Rate Cut Hopes and Nvidia’s China Outlook
Stock Market News· 2025-11-24 00:38
Market Sentiment and Stock Futures - US stock futures advanced, indicating a stronger open for Asian markets, driven by optimism for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and positive news from Nvidia [2][8] - S&P 500 E-mini futures rose by 0.7% and Nasdaq 100 E-mini futures jumped by 1.2% [2] Nvidia Developments - Nvidia received assurances from the US government to resume shipments of its lower-end H20 AI accelerator chips to China, alleviating earlier inventory concerns [3] - CEO Jensen Huang highlighted robust demand for Blackwell chips, describing it as "off the charts," indicating strong demand for AI infrastructure [3] Federal Reserve Rate-Cut Optimism - Markets are increasingly pricing in a near-term reduction in interest rates by the Federal Reserve, with a 74% chance of a rate cut at the next meeting [5][8] - New York Fed President John Williams suggested room for a rate cut without jeopardizing inflation goals, while Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan advocated for maintaining the current policy rate [4][6] Gold Market Dynamics - Gold prices are holding firm, with December delivery futures settling 0.5% higher at $4,079.5 per ounce, reflecting traders' expectations of a near-term Fed rate cut [5][6] - The mixed signals from US labor data, including rising jobless claims and a four-year high unemployment rate, contribute to gold's appeal as a non-yielding asset [6] UK Nuclear Energy Challenges - The UK is identified as the costliest country to build new nuclear power plants, ranking 15th out of 16 countries in construction cost per megawatt hour [7][9] - The Hinkley Point C project is projected to cost £33 billion, potentially increasing to £46 billion ($59 billion), with completion delays expected beyond 2029 [9] Oil Market Trends - Oil prices are declining as traders assess the potential for a peace deal between Ukraine and Russia, which could increase global oil supply [10][11] - Brent crude recently fell 0.4% to $68.93 a barrel, reflecting market concerns over the evolving geopolitical situation [10]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-11-21 17:35
RT Bloomberg New Economy (@BBGNewEconomy)"There's a real risk of these economies being left behind because they don't have the energy to power AI infrastructure."Co-Founder & CEO @OdysseyEnergyS Emily McAteer on countries behind left out of the global AI race at #BloombergNewEconomy. https://t.co/7lrl0ube8T ...