Economic Outlook - Asia's manufacturing activity slowdown deepened in June, signaling a warning for the region's growth prospects [1]

China's Economic Slowdown - China Beige Book data indicates a broad slowdown in China's economy, with declines in manufacturing, consumption, and bank borrowing [3] - May data initially appeared positive due to tariff reductions and consumer trade-in programs, but subsequent data revealed a fall-off [2][3] Beijing's Policy Stance - Beijing seems less concerned about the economic situation and is intervening less aggressively than before [4] - This reduced concern is attributed to Beijing's confidence in its leverage in trade discussions with the United States [4] - China is easing rates and engaging in fiscal stimulus, but not to the extent that would be expected in an extreme downside scenario [5][6] Trade War Dynamics - China is perceived to be able to withstand more economic pain compared to Western democracies [8] - China is using export controls, particularly on rare earth magnets, to demonstrate leverage against the United States [8] - China feels it has presented a strong front in the trade war, reducing the immediate need for aggressive economic measures [9] Consumption and Manufacturing - Claims of China transforming into a mega consumer powerhouse are viewed skeptically [10][11] - China's weak domestic demand leads to increased exports and potential dumping of products on global markets [13][14] - Overcapacity in various sectors, including cars and EVs, contributes to the pressure to export [17] Overcapacity and Export Strategy - China's economic model, characterized by weak domestic consumption and strong supply-side support, results in overcapacity being channeled to the global market [17] - This overcapacity can be used strategically to exert leverage on adversaries like the United States, particularly in critical minerals [16]

We spoke just a few moments ago about what we were expecting. 7-2 seems to have been the consensus a little bit may be more dovish in terms of the vote split. That looks like it, Guy.Absolutely. As you say, the hold was widely expected, but all the focus as your last guest was also saying, is on whether the break down was going to be seven members of the monetary policy committee voting to to hold and to for a quarter point cut. But in fact, we've got three for a quarter point cut.And it looks like the addi ...

Monetary Policy Impact - The Federal Reserve's actions, whether tightening or easing, significantly influence the economy and investment landscape [1][2] - Interest rate hikes by the Fed can lead to economic slowdown, stock market declines, and reduced business investment [1][3] - Conversely, interest rate cuts can stimulate economic activity by lowering borrowing costs and encouraging spending and investment [4][5] Economic Cycle - Higher interest rates increase borrowing costs for companies and individuals, leading to project cancellations and layoffs [3][4] - Lower interest rates decrease the incentive to save, prompting increased spending and investment in riskier assets [5] - A cycle of increased consumer spending and business expansion can be triggered by Fed easing, leading to job creation and further economic growth [6][7] Sector Analysis - Financials typically benefit from higher interest rates, but not as much from lower rates [6]

erases its early losses here. Now back to flat. Meantime with the hearing with the Treasury Secretary is now underway.Joining us this morning Roger Altman here at post nine. Evercore senior chairman and founder and former deputy Treasury Secretary Roger thanks for coming in. Good to see you.I'm not sure where you want to start. If you believe. >> We pick up on something that you just said, which is Goldman has up raised its growth forecast for the year from one I think you said to one and a quarter.Yes. But ...

Event Focus - Bloomberg News will host its annual Global Credit Forum in Los Angeles [1] - Bloomberg Television's Lisa Abramowicz and Dani Burger will speak at the forum [1] Key Concerns - The forum will address questions around trade wars [1] - Persistent inflation is a major topic of discussion [1] - Growing concern of a slowdown in the world's largest economy will be explored [1] Market Outlook - The forum aims to explore where the market goes from here [1]

Stocks are mixed today. The S&P 500 holding above the 6,000 level. The benchmark index has bounced over 20% from its April lows.Our next guest calling for caution amid the rally, citing re recent weakness in economic data. Joining us now, David Kelly. He is JP Morgan Asset Management's chief global strategist and head of the global market insights strategy team.David, it's wonderful to speak with you. Thank you for making the time this morning. I know in your latest you talk about how you see an economy tha ...

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) shares have tumbled 15% in the past three months compared with the industry’s decline of 10.3%. The stock has been rattled by escalating trade war concerns, with tariffs raising fears of high inflation and a possible global economic slowdown.Following the broader market trend, GS’s peer JPMorgan (JPM) and Morgan Stanley’s (MS) shares fell 8% and 14.6%, respectively, over the same time frame.Price Performance Image Source: Zacks Investment Research Given the recent pullback ...

PRESS RELEASEBrussels, 2 May 2025 (17.45)World leader in aluminium anodising 2024 ANNUAL RESULTS IMPACTED BY A CHALLENGING MARKET ENVIRONMENT Revenues up +10.5% to €24.1m, driven by the implementation of the collaboration and licensing agreement in China.Net loss of (3.2) M€, impacted by increased operating expenses and non-recurring items (goodwill impairment).Net debt under control, representing 25% of equity at 31 December 2024. COIL, world leader in aluminium anodising, is reporting its annual results f ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - NAREIT FFO was reported at $0.56 per share for Q1 2025, driven by same property NOI growth of 2.8% despite a 160 basis point drag from tenant disruption [12][13] - The company reduced leverage to 5.5 times debt to EBITDA and had $1.4 billion in available liquidity with no debt maturities until June 2026 [8][14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company executed 1.3 million square feet of new and renewal leases at a blended cash spread of 21%, with new leases at 48% and renewals at 14% [10] - The reinvestment pipeline reached $391 million with a weighted average return of 10%, and the leasing pipeline was up 30% in GLA year-over-year [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company continues to capture a significant share of new store openings in core categories such as grocery and value apparel, with strong tenant performance driving year-over-year traffic growth [6][11] - The signed but not yet commenced pool totaled $60 million, with expectations to commence $48 million or 79% of this ABR ratably through the remainder of 2025 [13][14] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on capitalizing on tenant disruption to bring in better tenants at higher rents, enhancing the overall portfolio quality [5][10] - The management expressed confidence in the ability to outperform in 2025 and 2026, supported by a robust leasing pipeline and low rent basis [6][9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the potential for economic slowdown and tariff uncertainty but emphasized strong tenant demand and the ability to navigate disruptions [5][6] - The company expects base rent to accelerate in the second half of the year as new leases commence, with a focus on maintaining a strong credit profile [15][16] Other Important Information - The company has maintained a conservative approach to guidance, factoring in potential tenant disruptions and bad debt [15][46] - The management highlighted the importance of tenant credit profiles and the resilience of their retail categories in the face of economic challenges [76][78] Q&A Session Summary Question: Exposure to Big Lots or Party City at quarter end - Management confirmed a 140 basis point impact from bankruptcies, primarily from Big Lots and Party City, and expects to recapture Joann boxes in May [17][18] Question: Growth visibility for the remainder of the year - Management expressed confidence in growth visibility due to a strong signed but not commenced pipeline and ongoing leasing activity [24][26] Question: Impact of tariffs on leasing discussions - Management noted that while tariffs are a concern, tenants in grocery and value segments are well-positioned and continue to show growth plans [28][30] Question: Expected capital spend for re-tenanting spaces - Management indicated that costs for re-tenanting are in line with previous backfills, averaging around $50 per square foot [62][64] Question: Impact of tariffs on tenant inventory - Management stated that retailers are preparing for potential tariff impacts and are adjusting sourcing strategies accordingly [90][92] Question: Guidance on lease term income - Management expects lease term income to normalize throughout the year, with visibility on tenant demand and credit [80][81]