There were two dissenters from the Federal Reserve's decision to lower the federal funds rate by a quarter percentage point on Wednesday, in two different directions.Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran instead called for a half-point cut, while Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid voted for no decrease.Heather Long, chief economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, called two dissents "unusual," particularly because one wanted a deeper cut and the other wanted no change."Powell will have to use all of hi ...

With that Fed decision. Here's Mike McKay. A divided Fed cuts their benchmark lending rate by a quarter percentage point and says they are going to end cut December 1st.There are two dissents as policymakers reset the target range to three, three quarters and 4%. No surprise, Steven Byron dissents in favor of a 50 basis point cut as President Trump wants. And Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmitt dissents on the other side in favor of no move.The Fed's administered rates for interest on reserves and the ...

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Core Points - The Federal Reserve has cut interest rates by a quarter point for the second consecutive meeting, lowering the rates to a range of 3.75% to 4%, marking the first time since 2022 that rates have dipped below 4% [1][5] - Policymakers are divided on the decision, with some advocating for caution due to potential inflation impacts from tariffs, while others believe that inflation effects will be temporary and support aggressive rate cuts to stimulate labor market growth [2] - Stephen Miran, the newest Fed governor, voted against the quarter-point cut, advocating instead for a half-point reduction, while Jeffrey Schmid opposed the decision, preferring rates to remain unchanged due to inflation concerns [3][9] Economic Context - The decision to cut rates was influenced by economic reports, including a Consumer Price Index (CPI) increase to 3% in September, which was slightly lower than expected, facilitating the rate cut [6] - The ongoing government shutdown has affected data collection and analysis by agencies like the Bureau of Labor Statistics, raising concerns about the availability of future economic reports, including the October inflation report [7]

The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates at its second consecutive meeting on Wednesday, extending an effort to prevent a recent slowdown in hiring from turning into something more serious. ...

Let's talk to uh Goldman Sachs's head of investment credit, Johnny Fine. Nice to have you back here at Post 9 to be here. Thanks for having 25.What else do you think we get in terms of a a sense as to where things stand for uh the year ahead. >> I think we'll get a reaffirmation that there'll be a cut again in December. I think you'll hear that in the press conference.I don't think there's anything that we've learned about the real economy or the labor market that changes the summary of economic projections ...

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve is anticipated to implement another interest rate cut, reflecting ongoing economic conditions and inflation trends [1] Group 1: Economic Indicators - Recent economic data suggests a slowdown in growth, prompting the Fed to reconsider its monetary policy [1] - Inflation rates have shown signs of easing, which may influence the Fed's decision to lower rates [1] Group 2: Market Reactions - Financial markets are responding positively to the expectation of rate cuts, with increased investor confidence [1] - Sectors sensitive to interest rates, such as real estate and utilities, are likely to benefit from lower borrowing costs [1]

Core Insights - Inflation has risen above the Reserve Bank of Australia's target band, reducing the likelihood of an interest rate cut in November [1] Economic Impact - The current inflation levels indicate a tightening monetary policy environment, which may affect borrowing costs and consumer spending [1]

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Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve is expected to announce a 25 basis point interest rate cut, but faces challenges in determining future monetary policy direction due to differing opinions among policymakers and a lack of economic data [2][3][4]. Group 1: Interest Rate Decisions - Markets are pricing in a nearly 100% probability of a 25 basis point reduction in the federal funds rate, currently targeted between 4%-4.25% [2]. - There is a divergence of opinion among Federal Reserve officials regarding the timing and extent of future rate cuts, with some advocating for immediate cuts while others prefer a more cautious approach [4][7]. - Newly appointed Governor Stephen Miran is likely to support a larger cut, while other regional Presidents have shown reluctance to pursue further reductions [6][7]. Group 2: Labor Market Concerns - Concerns over the labor market are a significant factor driving the Fed's inclination to lower rates, despite a lack of recent data [11][15]. - The chief economist at Wilmington Trust anticipates multiple rate cuts in the coming months, potentially bringing the rate down to a neutral range of 2.75% to 3% [12]. - The Fed's focus on job market stability is heightened, even as inflation remains above the 2% target, with the annual inflation rate reported at 3% in September [15]. Group 3: Data Challenges - The ongoing government shutdown has resulted in a data blackout, complicating the Fed's ability to make informed policy decisions [16]. - The absence of key economic reports, such as the September nonfarm payrolls, adds uncertainty to the Fed's dual mandate of maximizing employment and maintaining price stability [16][17]. - The Fed is expected to communicate uncertainty regarding future policy paths, indicating readiness to adjust rates based on incoming data [17]. Group 4: Balance Sheet Management - The Fed is nearing the end of its quantitative tightening (QT) process, which involves reducing its $6.6 trillion balance sheet primarily composed of Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities [18][19]. - Recent statements from Chair Jerome Powell suggest that the Fed may soon signal the conclusion of QT, as financial conditions show signs of tightening [19][20]. - Market commentary is divided on whether the Fed will announce an immediate end to QT or indicate a future cessation date [19].