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Nebius: ARR Could Grow 8x Between Year-End '25 - '26
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-13 13:42
Core Insights - The investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a balanced portfolio of approximately 50% in each [1] - The investment strategy emphasizes buying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are purchasing shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, their leverage, and to compare financial ratios with sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Investment Strategy - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months [1] - A thorough professional background check is conducted on insiders who purchase shares following a sell-off [1] - The investor screens through thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, but may also invest in companies from less stable economies [1]
What Did Wednesday's Late Rally in Some Metals and Grains Tell Us?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-12 20:34
Group 1: Corn Market - December corn (ZCZ25) opened lower but found new buying interest, reaching a high of $4.36, close to the previous high of $4.37 from October 30 [1] - The contract gained 1.0 cent on March, 1.0 cent on May, and 0.25 cent on July, indicating strong support from funds and commercial buying activity [1] - The December 2026 contract remained unchanged at $4.70, marking its highest close since June 18 [1] Group 2: Metals Market - December gold (GCZ25) rose by $87 (2.1%), while December silver (SIZ25) increased by $2.63 (5.2%), indicating renewed buying interest from central banks amid political and economic uncertainty [2] - The market's backwardation in crude oil (CLZ25) weakened, with crude oil down $2.53 (4.2%) due to solid commercial selling [2] Group 3: Soybean Market - The soybean market initially declined but gained bullish momentum towards the close, influenced by spillover buying from corn [3] - January soybean (ZSF26) traded 113,000 contracts, lower than Tuesday's 123,300 contracts, with a reported open interest decrease of 3,100 contracts [3] - January finished 6.5 cents higher, with gains in March, May, and July contracts, suggesting commercial buying activity [3] Group 4: Wheat Market - All three wheat markets closed in the green, with December SRW (ZWZ25) unchanged but close to its session high on a trade volume of 86,000 contracts [4] - December HRW (KEZ25) gained 1.75 cents, while the new-crop July issue closed 3.0 cents higher, indicating potential commercial selling into the close [4] - SRW fundamentals remain bearish, but the market can still rally despite this outlook [4]
Teleperformance: I'm Buying What AI Is 'Killing'
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-12 19:37
Core Insights - The article discusses the transformative impact of technology on various industries, highlighting how innovations like Amazon's Kindle, e-commerce, and digital wallets have disrupted traditional business models [1]. Group 1: Industry Disruption - Amazon's Kindle significantly affected the physical book market, leading to a decline in traditional book sales [1]. - E-commerce has transformed retail, causing a decline in mall traffic and sales [1]. - Digital wallets have disrupted the card payments industry, impacting companies like Visa [1].
Options Corner: CSCO Near 25-Year Highs
Youtube· 2025-11-12 14:30
Core Viewpoint - Cisco has shown a year-to-date increase of over 20%, although it is slightly lagging behind the broader tech sector ETF, which has increased by 24% [2]. Company Performance - Cisco is performing well compared to other companies in the networking hardware space, ranking near the top against competitors like Arista Networks, Palo Alto Networks, HP Enterprise, and Fortinet [2]. - Cisco's stock chart indicates a breakout point around 66, with a recent high of 84.84, but the stock has retreated from these highs [3][4]. Technical Analysis - The current trading range for Cisco is between recent lows of 70.54 and highs near 72.50, with traders focusing on this range for the session [5]. - The 21-day exponential moving average is currently near 71.20, indicating a bullish trend as the stock remains above the 50 midline [6][7]. - The expected move for December's monthly expiration is approximately 8.7%, with breakout points identified near 72.50 and a top range around 78 [8]. Earnings Expectations - Cisco's networking segment is projected to grow nearly 9%, which is a slowdown from the previous quarter's 12% year-over-year growth. The cybersecurity segment is expected to grow about 11% [10]. - The stock is near 25-year highs, indicating elevated expectations going into the earnings report [9]. Options Strategy - A suggested options strategy involves buying a directional call vertical with a bullish bias, utilizing the December monthly option series, which has about 37 days to expiration [11][12]. - The strategy includes buying a call at the 72.50 strike and selling a call at the 80 strike, resulting in a risk of approximately $225 per spread, with a break-even point at 74.75, just over 3% above the current share price [13][14]. - This approach allows for flexibility in trade management, as the position can be closed early if the necessary price movement occurs [15].
Meta Stock: I'm Not Sweating A Drop After The Post Q3 Earnings Selloff (NASDAQ:META)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-11 06:46
Core Insights - The investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a balanced portfolio of approximately 50% in each [1] - The investment strategy involves identifying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, their leverage, and to compare financial ratios with sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Investment Strategy - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months [1] - A professional background check is conducted on each insider who purchased shares after a recent sell-off to ensure credibility [1] - The investor screens through thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, but may also invest in companies from less stable economies [1]
Joby Aviation: Bullish After The First Meaningful Revenue Print (NYSE:JOBY)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-10 21:45
Core Insights - The investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a balanced portfolio of approximately 50% in each [1] - The investment strategy emphasizes buying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are purchasing shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is utilized to assess the health of companies, their leverage, and to compare financial ratios with sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is employed to optimize entry and exit points, using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Investment Strategy - The investor's timeframe for holding positions ranges from 3 to 24 months [1] - A thorough screening process is conducted to identify potential investment opportunities, primarily focusing on U.S. stocks but also considering shares from other regions [1] - Professional background checks are performed on insiders who buy shares post-sell-off to ensure credibility and potential for recovery [1]
The Big 3: OKLO, HALO, V
Youtube· 2025-11-10 18:00
Market Overview - The market is experiencing a sharp reversal from the previous week, indicating a collective sigh of relief as government operations appear to be stabilizing [2][3] - This shift allows traders to focus on actual trading rather than political uncertainties [3] Company Analysis: Oaklo - Oaklo is approaching an earnings event with current trading around $109, down from $194 in mid-October, indicating significant pressure despite a strong year-to-date performance of over 400% [4][15] - Technical analysis shows a broken uptrend and a falling wedge pattern, with a critical breakout point around $116-$117 [7][9] - The implied volatility rank (IVR) is relatively low at 46, suggesting that the stock is positioned for potential movement [12][13] - A proposed trade involves a 140 call calendar spread, with expectations of a potential profit of at least $250 [14][15] Company Analysis: Hazy Therapeutics - Hazy Therapeutics is identified as a potential swing breakout candidate, with a key resistance level around $70.50 and a target of at least $80 [16][21] - The stock has shown recovery after a significant drop post-earnings, with recent highs around $70.50 and a supportive moving average around $67.50 [18][21] - The volume profile indicates a bounce off a key volume node near $65, with the next significant point of interest at $74 [22] Company Analysis: Visa - Visa is currently trading in a rangebound manner, with recent trading around $336.35, close to a critical support level of $335 [26][34] - The implied volatility rank is low at 36, indicating a lack of fear regarding downside movement [27] - A proposed trade involves a November 21st versus November 28th 350 call calendar spread, with a potential maximum reward modeled at nearly $3 [28][34] - Technical indicators suggest a sideways trajectory, with moving averages converging and a risk of breaching the established support [30][32]
NuScale: Why TVA/ENTRA1 Matters More Than Q3 EPS Miss
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-10 16:02
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on deep value opportunities, particularly in stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, while also considering insider buying as a positive signal [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and return [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Stock Selection Criteria - Preference is given to stocks that have undergone a recent sell-off, particularly when there is insider buying at the new lower price, indicating potential recovery [1] - The investor screens through thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, but is open to owning shares in less stable markets, referred to as "banana republics" [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchase shares post-sell-off, adding an additional layer of due diligence [1]
Oklo: What To Watch In Q3 2025 Earnings
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-10 15:10
Core Insights - The investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a portfolio split of approximately 50%-50% between the two [1] - The investment strategy emphasizes buying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are purchasing shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, their leverage, and to compare financial ratios with sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Investment Strategy - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months [1] - A professional background check is conducted on insiders who purchase shares after a sell-off, indicating a focus on insider activity as a signal for potential investment [1] - The investor screens through thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, but may also invest in companies from less stable economies [1]
Chainlink's LINK Tumbles 6% as Technical Breakdown Trumps UBS, FTSE Partnership
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-04 18:38
Core Insights - Chainlink's native token (LINK) experienced a significant decline, dropping 6% to below $14.50, breaking key technical support levels [1] - The decline was accompanied by a massive volume surge of 57.81% above the seven-day average, indicating aggressive distribution [1] - Major institutional partnerships, including UBS's tokenized fund transaction and FTSE Russell's blockchain plans, failed to prevent the price drop [2][3] Technical Analysis - The decisive break below the $15.26 support level occurred during high trading volume of 4.69 million tokens, establishing a descending channel [3] - In the final trading hour, LINK fell from $15.22 to $14.70 on volume exceeding 3.5 million tokens, confirming a broader bearish structure [4] - The current demand zone is critical at $14.50-$14.60 following the breakdown, with further weakness toward $14.00 likely before stabilization [7]