Today I'm in conversation with David Sanger. the New York Times, long time correspondent covering national security on how geopolitics is influencing the evolution of technology, and how technology may be influencing geopolitics. so David's it’s great to have you here with us in Aspen is a treat for me because normally you're asking questions.I get to ask a few questions. What is that. Well, it's really a treat.Kent, we've known each other a long time. We won't say how long, but it's been a long while. I me ...

Company Overview - Tenable has been recognized as a Leader in the IDC MarketScape: Worldwide Exposure Management 2025 Vendor Assessment, highlighting its strong position in the exposure management sector [1] - The company's flagship platform, Tenable One, is noted for its ability to unify visibility, insight, and action across various attack surfaces, including IT, cloud, AI, identity, and operational technology [2][3] Product Features - Tenable One offers over 300 integrations, making it the most interconnected exposure management platform available [2] - The platform provides a complete, contextualized view of risk and advanced prioritization, enabling organizations to focus on critical areas [2][3] - Tenable's AI-driven analytics enhance risk prioritization and accelerate response times, with features like generative AI for remediation guidance and attack path generation [3][6] Market Insights - The IDC MarketScape emphasizes the need for proactive cybersecurity solutions that offer comprehensive attack surface visibility and risk prioritization [3] - Organizations are encouraged to consider Tenable One for its ability to consolidate siloed risk data and integrate both Tenable-native and third-party data sources [3] - The report highlights the importance of addressing security silos as attack surfaces expand, particularly with the rise of AI [3] Recent Developments - Tenable has introduced Tenable AI Exposure, a solution designed to manage risks associated with generative AI, which is integrated into Tenable One [3] - The company has also enhanced its Vulnerability Priority Rating (VPR) using generative AI to improve precision in identifying significant risks [3]

Core Insights - Climb Channel Solutions has formed a strategic partnership with Coro to enhance cybersecurity solutions for a wider market [1][3] - The partnership aims to address the growing demand for scalable cybersecurity solutions among SMBs and distributed enterprises [2][3] Company Overview - Climb Channel Solutions is a global specialty technology distributor focusing on various sectors including Security, Data Management, and Cloud solutions [5] - Coro is recognized as a leading cybersecurity platform for small and midsize businesses, offering a modular approach to security [6][7] Partnership Details - The collaboration emphasizes a channel-first go-to-market strategy, leveraging Climb's expertise and reputation among Managed Service Providers (MSPs) and Value-Added Resellers (VARs) [3] - The partnership is expected to simplify the delivery and management of cybersecurity solutions for partners, enabling them to grow their businesses profitably [4][3] Market Context - The increasing complexity of cyber threats has led to heightened security and compliance pressures for SMBs, creating a significant market opportunity for integrated cybersecurity solutions [2][3] - Coro's platform is designed to automatically detect and remediate security threats, thereby reducing the burden on IT resources [7]

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Core Insights - Microsoft is a leader in artificial intelligence (AI) and has seen a total return of over 150% in the last five years, largely due to its partnership with OpenAI [1] - The acceleration of AI adoption brings increased cybersecurity risks, benefiting companies like CrowdStrike and Palo Alto Networks, while Microsoft is also building a strong cybersecurity business [2][3] Cybersecurity Business Overview - In fiscal 2025, Microsoft generated approximately $37 billion in cybersecurity revenue, accounting for about 14% of its total revenue, significantly larger than competitors like CrowdStrike and Palo Alto Networks [3] - Microsoft's cybersecurity offerings are integrated into its broader ecosystem, including Microsoft 365, Teams, and Azure, providing a competitive advantage through a unified security solution [4] Competitive Advantages - The integration of security services creates a lock-in effect for customers, as IT departments are incentivized to keep security solutions in-house, enhancing recurring revenue streams [5] - Microsoft's monthly "Patch Tuesday" updates reinforce its role as a critical partner in cybersecurity, addressing vulnerabilities and maintaining enterprise security [6][7] AI as a Growth Driver - Microsoft leverages AI to enhance its cybersecurity capabilities, processing over 65 trillion threat signals daily, which allows for automated threat detection and predictive analytics [8][9] - The incorporation of AI into security offerings enables Microsoft to expand margins and maintain pricing power in a competitive market [9] Valuation and Future Growth - Microsoft trades at approximately 38x forward earnings, reflecting a premium valuation justified by its leadership in cloud and AI, with cybersecurity seen as an underappreciated growth pillar [10][11] - The cybersecurity segment could surpass $50 billion by 2030 if it grows at a mid-teens CAGR, highlighting its potential for significant future revenue [11] Revenue Resilience - Microsoft's cybersecurity revenue is characterized by its recurring nature, as security spending is essential and unlikely to be cut during economic downturns, providing stability alongside cyclical cloud revenues [12]

Cybersecurity Threat - Artificial intelligence has broadened the reach of hackers, enabling them to target more victims with less effort [1] - The growing cybersecurity threat is potentially costly for businesses [1]

Cybersecurity Threats - Artificial intelligence has made generating deepfakes, fraudulent emails, and social-engineering assaults easier and quicker [1] - The new technology has worsened cybersecurity threats in two main ways [1]

Security Risks - Storing keys on devices used for gaming poses a significant security risk [1] - Many popular Steam games have unfixed Remote Code Execution (RCE) vulnerabilities that have existed for over 10 years [1] - Games supporting custom servers are potential vulnerabilities [1] Recommendations - Users should avoid storing keys on the same devices used for gaming [1]

Core Viewpoint - Nvidia is positioned to benefit from the global surge in defense spending and the increasing prioritization of advanced technologies, particularly AI, in defense applications [6][11][31] Group 1: Trends in Defense Spending - There is a global surge in defense spending, with NATO members agreeing to increase their annual defense spending to up to 5% of their GDP by 2035 [7][8] - In 2024, NATO members (excluding the U.S.) invested an average of 2.02% of their GDP on defense, which increases to approximately 3.4% when including U.S. contributions [8] - The U.S. plans to increase its defense budget to $1.01 trillion for fiscal year 2026, representing a 13.4% increase from fiscal year 2025 [10] Group 2: Technological Advancements in Defense - The defense industry is increasingly prioritizing cutting-edge technologies such as AI, autonomous systems, and cybersecurity, which will benefit Nvidia as the leader in AI chips [11] - President Trump's executive order on drone production aims to enhance U.S. military capabilities, which could lead to increased demand for Nvidia's technology in autonomous systems [12] - Venture capital funding for defense tech companies rose by 33% year-over-year to $31 billion in 2024, with significant investments in AI and autonomous systems [15] Group 3: Nvidia's Role in Defense Applications - Nvidia collaborates with major defense contractors like Leidos, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, and Raytheon, indicating its strong presence in the defense sector [18] - Northrop Grumman has a deep partnership with Nvidia, utilizing its AI software for advanced defense systems [21] - Nvidia's technology has been used in military equipment since at least 2012, showcasing its long-standing involvement in defense applications [25][26] Group 4: Demand for Nvidia's Products - There is solid government demand for Nvidia's GPU-equipped workstations and Jetson platform, which are essential for developing autonomous drones and robots [28] - A Naval agency specified the need for Nvidia RTX Workstations, emphasizing their uniqueness and essential nature for fulfilling agency needs [29][30] - The increasing global defense budgets and prioritization of AI in defense spending create a bullish outlook for Nvidia stock [31]