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AllianceBernstein L.P.(AB) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-23 15:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Firm-wide assets under management (AUM) reached $860 billion, with a record high of $153 billion in Bernstein Private Wealth [4][5] - Adjusted earnings per unit increased by 12% year-over-year to $0.86, while net revenues rose by 5% to $885 million [25][26] - Total adjusted operating expenses remained flat at $582 million, with total compensation and benefits expenses increasing by 6% to $439 million [26][28] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Institutional asset management business AUM stood at $351 billion, while the retail platform AUM was $356 billion [4] - Tax-exempt fixed income saw over $4 billion in inflows, marking 11 consecutive quarters of positive organic growth [6][7] - Private markets generated nearly $3 billion in net inflows, reflecting improved conditions in commercial real estate [7][8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. equity markets delivered strong returns, with the S&P 500 returning 8.1% in Q3 2025 [11] - Emerging markets outperformed, while global developed equities underperformed compared to the U.S. [12][13] - The firm observed a rebound in client flows into American Income, indicating renewed interest in U.S. dollar-denominated assets [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to expand its third-party insurance asset management business, leveraging partnerships like the one with Fortitude [8][9] - A strategic alliance with Equitable enhances the firm's competitive advantage, allowing for the scaling of higher-fee private alternative strategies [9][10] - The focus remains on scalable, long-duration assets that align with sustainable organic growth and long-term profitability [31][34] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management maintains a positive outlook on fixed income, anticipating a reallocation wave as bonds regain diversification value [11] - The firm is well-positioned to capture growth opportunities in Asia, particularly in taxable fixed income [47][49] - The company is committed to investing in growth initiatives while maintaining expense discipline [34][56] Other Important Information - The firm has successfully expanded its private markets platform to nearly $80 billion, representing a 17% year-over-year growth [22] - The effective tax rate for the third quarter was 6%, consistent with full-year guidance [28] - The firm is raising its full-year performance fee guidance to $130 million-$155 million, driven by strong public market performance [32] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you elaborate on the insurance opportunity and the Ruby Re sidecar? - Management expressed excitement about the insurance asset management business, confirming that the Ruby Re relationship is performing as expected and that the FCA REIT sidecar is additive to their strategy [38][40] Question: What is the outlook for private credit and credit quality? - Management noted competitive environments in private credit but reassured that there is no material deterioration in credit quality, with manageable maturities and positive cash flow generation [42][43] Question: How is the Asia business performing post-trade conflicts? - The Asia business showed improvement, particularly in taxable fixed income, with strong engagement from institutional clients despite external noise [47][48] Question: What is the capital allocation strategy regarding buybacks? - The light buyback in the quarter was attributed to timing rather than any strategic shift, with plans to continue funding the deferred compensation plan [57] Question: How is the firm positioned for the bond reallocation? - Management indicated that they are well-positioned to benefit from the bond reallocation, particularly in Asia, with a strong distribution capability [60][61]
Private Assets Meet Public Markets
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-23 14:48
Core Insights - The private markets are increasingly becoming accessible to the public, with asset managers exploring ways to package private assets into retirement accounts like 401(k)s [6][7][8] - Major banks reported strong earnings, with Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, and Bank of America being standout performers due to a robust IPO and M&A market [1][2][3] - Investment banking activity is experiencing significant growth, with M&A deal values in September up over 110% year-over-year and a 239% increase in Q3 compared to the previous year [2][3] Banking Sector Performance - All major banks exceeded earnings expectations, with notable growth in investment banking fees, particularly for Bank of America and Morgan Stanley, which saw increases of 43% and 44% year-over-year respectively [1][2] - Wells Fargo's stock rose 10% post-earnings, with management projecting 17-18% returns on tangible common equity, a revision from previous estimates [1][3] - Bank of America reported a surprising decline in credit loss provisions, indicating a positive outlook for the bank's financial health [1][3] Investment Banking Trends - The investment banking market is described as "red hot," with significant increases in M&A activity and IPOs anticipated as market conditions improve [2][3] - JP Morgan's CFO noted that there are IPO deals ready to launch, reflecting a favorable environment for investment banking [2] - Morgan Stanley expressed optimism for the next 3-5 years in the investment banking sector, indicating a sustained positive trend [2] Private Credit Concerns - Jamie Dimon of JP Morgan raised concerns about the state of private credit, particularly in light of recent bankruptcies among private companies [3][4] - There is a perceived fragility in the current economic environment, contrasting with the strong performance reported by banks [4] - The auto lending industry, especially subprime loans, is viewed as a potential risk area, warranting close monitoring [4] Private Assets in Retirement Accounts - The trend of making private assets available in retirement accounts is gaining traction, with potential benefits and risks for individual investors [6][7][8] - There are concerns about high fees associated with private asset investments, which could undermine the advantages of increased investment choices [6][7] - The discussion around deregulation and access to private assets highlights the need for investor education to mitigate risks [7][8] Company Highlights - TripAdvisor is highlighted for its potential value, particularly through its brand Viator, which could be worth more than TripAdvisor's current market cap if spun off [12] - Empire State Realty Trust is noted for its strong performance and potential undervaluation in the New York City office market [13] - SLM Corp (Sallie Mae) is recognized for its solid credit quality in student loans, presenting a hidden investment opportunity [14]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-10-23 14:39
KKR co-founder Henry Kravis tells @flacqua he's not worried about systemic risk in private credit, against warnings that the collapse of Tricolor and First Brands in the US could signal wider trouble https://t.co/cnRClLp4qv https://t.co/2bkEeULqKH ...
Blackstone(BX) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-23 14:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported GAAP net income for the quarter of $1.2 billion, with distributable earnings increasing nearly 50% year-on-year to $1.9 billion or $1.52 per common share [5][8] - A dividend of $1.29 per share was declared, payable to holders of record as of November 3 [5] - Total assets under management (AUM) rose 12% year-over-year to $1.24 trillion, while fee-earning AUM grew 10% to $906 billion [32] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Fee-related earnings increased 26% year-over-year to $1.5 billion, driven by strong growth in fee revenues [34] - The private credit market saw AUM cross the $500 billion milestone, up 18% year-over-year, while the infrastructure and asset-based credit business grew 29% year-over-year to $107 billion [19][20] - The private wealth channel's AUM grew 15% year-over-year to nearly $290 billion, with over $11 billion raised in the third quarter, more than doubling year-over-year [24][25] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Inflows reached $54 billion, marking the fourth consecutive quarter in excess of $50 billion, totaling $225 billion for the last 12 months [8] - The company executed three successful IPOs in the last three months, with a robust pipeline for the next 12 months [10][35] - Commercial real estate values are showing signs of recovery, with transaction activity increasing by 25% year-over-year in U.S. logistics [30] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to leverage structural tailwinds in the alternative sector, focusing on private market solutions and expanding into digital and energy infrastructure, private credit, and Asia [8][9] - The firm is positioned to capture opportunities in the defined contribution market as it opens to alternatives over time [8] - The company emphasizes a long-term approach to investing, focusing on sectors with strong fundamentals such as data centers, logistics, and rental housing [38] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the firm's growth prospects, citing a resilient economy and declining cost of capital as positive indicators for capital markets activity [10][39] - The company anticipates a resurgence in capital markets activity, which should lead to greater realizations and support fundraising and deployment [10][39] - Management acknowledged potential increases in defaults as the cycle progresses but believes their structural advantages will continue to yield superior results [12] Other Important Information - The company celebrated its 40th anniversary, highlighting its growth from a startup to the largest alternative asset manager in the world [14][17] - The firm has achieved significant organic growth, distinguishing itself from competitors who often rely on acquisitions [14] Q&A Session Summary Question: Changes in credit quality across the portfolio - Management clarified that recent credit issues were related to bank-led credits and do not reflect the private credit market, with minimal realized losses currently [41][42] Question: Plans for the defined contribution business - Management indicated a focus on building capabilities in this area and plans to work with existing partners while awaiting regulatory frameworks [44][45] Question: Brand strategy and marketing evolution - Management discussed targeted marketing efforts, including a recent launch in Japan, and emphasized the importance of expanding their footprint in private wealth [47][49] Question: Feedback on BCRED's dividend cut - Management noted that the reaction in the wealth channel has been understanding, with expectations for strong flows in BCRED moving forward [78]
Blackstone(BX) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-23 14:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported GAAP net income for the quarter of $1.2 billion and distributable earnings of $1.9 billion, or $1.52 per common share, marking a 48% year-over-year increase [5][34] - Distributable earnings increased nearly 50% year on year, driven by a 26% growth in fee-related earnings and a more than doubling of net realizations [8][34] - Total assets under management (AUM) rose 12% year over year to $1.24 trillion, with fee-earning AUM growing 10% to $906 billion [32] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In corporate and real estate credit, AUM crossed the $500 billion milestone, up 18% year over year [19] - The infrastructure and asset-based credit business grew 29% year over year to $107 billion, one of the fastest-growing areas [20] - The private wealth channel's AUM grew 15% year over year to nearly $290 billion, with over $11 billion raised in the third quarter, more than doubling year over year [24][25] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company executed three successful IPOs in the last three months, with a robust pipeline for the next 12 months [10][35] - The commercial real estate market is showing signs of recovery, with values bottoming in December 2023 and transaction activity increasing by 25% year over year in U.S. logistics [30] - The demand for data center space continues to grow, with a doubling in the leasing pipeline globally in Q3 compared to Q2 [63] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to capture generational shifts in the global economy and markets, focusing on massive capital solutions across various sectors, including AI, energy infrastructure, and life sciences [17] - The firm is positioned to lead the evolution of private credit markets, expanding from non-investment grade corporate credit to include commercial finance and infrastructure [20] - The company plans to broaden distribution in major markets and deepen its presence in key sub-channels, including the RIA channel [26] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the firm's growth prospects, citing strong structural tailwinds in the alternative sector and increasing allocations to alternatives by institutional investors [8][9] - The company anticipates a resurgence in capital markets activity, which should lead to greater realizations and support fundraising and deployment [10] - Despite recent credit defaults in the market, management emphasized that these events are not reflective of the private credit market and that defaults remain minimal [11][42] Other Important Information - The company celebrated its 40th anniversary, highlighting its growth from a startup to the largest alternative asset manager in the world [14] - The firm has achieved significant organic growth, distinguishing itself from competitors who often rely on acquisitions [14][15] Q&A Session Summary Question: Changes in credit quality across the portfolio - Management clarified that recent credit issues are not related to private credit but rather to bank-led credits, emphasizing minimal realized losses and strong credit quality [41][42] Question: Plans for the defined contribution business - Management discussed the importance of building capabilities in this area and indicated plans to work with existing partners while awaiting regulatory developments [44][45] Question: Brand strategy and marketing evolution - Management noted targeted marketing efforts, including a recent launch in Japan, and emphasized the importance of expanding the brand's footprint in private wealth [47][49] Question: Interplay between margin outlook and realizations - Management indicated that operating leverage will continue to support healthy fee-related earnings margins, with a favorable outlook for realizations as capital markets strengthen [52][53] Question: Feedback on BCRED's dividend cut - Management reported healthy gross sales and expected strong flows in BCRED, emphasizing the importance of delivering relative premium returns [68][78]
Blackstone(BX) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-23 14:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Blackstone reported GAAP net income for Q3 2025 of $1.2 billion, with distributable earnings increasing nearly 50% year on year to $1.9 billion or $1.52 per common share [5][7][33] - The company declared a dividend of $1.29 per share, payable to holders of record as of November 3 [5] - Total assets under management (AUM) rose 12% year over year to a record $1.24 trillion, while fee-earning AUM grew 10% to $906 billion [31] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Fee-related earnings increased 26% year over year to $1.5 billion, driven by strong growth in fee revenues and healthy margin expansion [33] - In private credit, AUM crossed the $500 billion milestone, up 18% year over year, while infrastructure and asset-based credit business grew 29% year over year to $107 billion [19][20] - The private wealth channel's AUM grew 15% year over year to nearly $290 billion, with over $11 billion raised in Q3, more than doubling year over year [19][24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the capital markets, global IPO issuance more than doubled year over year in Q3, contributing to a resurgence in capital markets activity [10] - The company executed three successful IPOs in the last three months, with a robust pipeline for the next 12 months [10][34] - Commercial real estate values are showing signs of recovery, with transaction activity increasing by 25% year over year in U.S. logistics [29] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Blackstone aims to leverage structural tailwinds in the alternative investment sector, focusing on private market solutions and expanding into new markets such as digital and energy infrastructure [7][9] - The firm is positioned to capture opportunities in the AI revolution, energy infrastructure, and life sciences, emphasizing the need for massive capital solutions [17] - The company celebrates its 40th anniversary, highlighting its organic growth strategy and focus on building market-leading platforms [13][14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the firm's growth prospects, citing a resilient economy and declining cost of capital as favorable conditions for capital markets [10][30] - The firm anticipates a significant increase in realizations and fundraising as the deal cycle turns and capital markets strengthen [34][80] - Management acknowledged potential increases in defaults as the cycle progresses but believes their structural advantages will continue to yield superior results [12][41] Other Important Information - The company reported a significant increase in net realizations, generating $5.05 billion in Q3, more than double the prior year period [34] - Blackstone's investment performance remains strong, with infrastructure leading the way with a 5.2% appreciation in Q3 [35] - The firm is expanding its partnerships and distribution channels, particularly in the private wealth sector, to capture a broader investor base [26][49] Q&A Session Summary Question: Changes in credit quality across the portfolio - Management clarified that recent credit issues are not related to private credit but rather to bank-led credits, emphasizing minimal realized losses in their portfolio [40] Question: Plans for the defined contribution business - Management indicated a focus on building capabilities in the defined contribution market, planning to work with existing partners and large financial institutions [43][45] Question: Brand strategy and marketing evolution - Management discussed targeted marketing efforts, including a recent advertisement launch in Japan, to enhance brand awareness in key markets [47][49] Question: Competition from banks in direct lending - Management acknowledged increased competition from banks but expressed confidence in their unique positioning and ability to provide customized long-duration capital solutions [82]
KKR's Kravis on 'Sticky' Inflation, Europe and Private Credit
Bloomberg Television· 2025-10-23 13:03
There's a lot of talk. Well, globalization is is ending. I don't buy that.I just think it's being rewired. It's being rewired around security that's being rewired around resilience. And obviously regional blocks.Asia is a perfect example of that. We are very big believers in Europe. A lot of a lot of our competitors and other they're rushing off to Asia.We're big in Asia, too, but don't give up on Europe. Europe has a lot to offer. And just this year alone, we've put over $25 billion to work in in Europe.Th ...
Blackstone President Jon Gray on Q3 results: We've got a cyclical updraft in the deal markets
CNBC Television· 2025-10-23 12:46
I'm private equity giant Blackstone out with the third quarter results just a short while ago. Want to tell you about the company's performance uh and bring in John Gray. He's of course the president and chief operating officer of the Blackstone Group.Uh good morning to you. There's so much to talk about both in these earnings and as we've been discussing and describing what seems like a lot driven by the world of AI and data centers uh just where all of that is going. Uh but let's walk through the earnings ...
Private Credit Firms Power Meta's AI Data Center Bet
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-22 19:04
Private credit is making its mark on the AI boom as Meta's $27 billion data-center financing delivered a $2 billion windfall for Pimco. Bloomberg's Carmen Arroyo discussed the story on "Bloomberg Markets" with Scarlet Fu. ...
Moody’s(MCO) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-22 14:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Moody's achieved record quarterly revenue exceeding $2 billion for the first time, representing an 11% increase from the same quarter last year [5] - Adjusted operating margin reached almost 53%, up over 500 basis points year-over-year, indicating strong operating leverage [5] - Adjusted diluted EPS was $3.92, a 22% increase from the previous year, reflecting consistent earnings power growth [5][21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Moody's Investors Service (MIS) reported a 12% revenue growth, surpassing $1 billion in quarterly revenue for the third consecutive quarter [6][21] - Revenue from private credit grew over 60% in the third quarter, driven by strong demand in fund finance and securitization [11] - Moody's Analytics (MA) delivered a 9% year-over-year revenue growth, with an 11% increase in decision solutions [12][28] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The issuance pipeline remains robust, with projected refunding needs over the next four years exceeding $5 trillion, a 10% compound annual growth rate from 2018 to 2025 [9] - Spec-grade bond maturities increased by over 20% in both the U.S. and EMEA regions, indicating a favorable backdrop for future issuance [10] - The number of private credit-related deals grew almost 70% in the third quarter, highlighting the sector's growth potential [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Moody's is focused on investing in scalable solutions across high-growth markets while simplifying its product suite [12] - The company is expanding its presence in emerging markets, including acquiring a majority interest in Meris, a leading ratings agency in Egypt [19] - Strategic partnerships, such as with Salesforce, are being leveraged to enhance customer integration and drive durable growth [17] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the issuance environment heading into 2026, citing tight spreads and potential Fed easing as positive factors [60] - The company anticipates continued strong demand for credit insights, particularly in the private credit market amid rising concerns about credit health [70] - Management acknowledged risks related to ongoing tariff negotiations and potential government shutdown impacts on market conditions [28] Other Important Information - Moody's is increasing its full-year guidance for adjusted diluted EPS to a range of $14.50 to $14.75, implying approximately 17% growth at the midpoint [37] - Free cash flow is expected to be around $2.5 billion, with share repurchase guidance increased to at least $1.5 billion [37] Q&A Session Summary Question: Thoughts on AI in the analytics business - Management clarified that AI is being embedded into various workflow solutions and that they have developed over 50 domain-specific agents leveraging proprietary data [41] Question: Impact of record issuance in Q3 - Management noted that pull forward activity is more prevalent in spec-grade than investment-grade issuers, with healthy maturity walls expected [46] Question: Proprietary data sets in KYC solutions - Management highlighted the unique data sets used in KYC solutions, including Orbis and AI-curated news, which provide a comprehensive view of business relationships [50] Question: Differences in refi walls portrayal - Management explained that the article referenced a decline in U.S. spec-grade refi walls, which is a subset of broader maturities that remain healthy [52] Question: Outlook for issuance in 2026 - Management indicated more tailwinds than headwinds for 2026, with expectations for continued strong issuance driven by M&A activity and infrastructure investments [60]