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X @Binance
Binance· 2025-12-20 03:04
RT Binance Research (@BinanceResearch)Macro data shows a synchronized slowdown: inflation Consumer, PMI falling, and unemployment rising.Raising the question of whether markets will shift from “bad news is good news” to pricing in recession risk.Find out more ⬇️https://t.co/AsP05IInmM ...
CPI inflation report sparks data backlash
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-18 23:51
Economic Indicators - The November CPI inflation data showed a year-over-year increase of only 2.7%, significantly lower than the 3.1% expected by Wall Street, marking the first slowdown since April [2][4] - The U.S. unemployment rate rose to 4.6% in November, the highest level since 2021, which initially raised concerns about the economy [1] Market Response - The cooler-than-expected inflation data led to a rally in the stock market, which has been resilient despite rising unemployment and inflation since spring [6][4] - The stock market has experienced a nearly 30% rally since April, with a year-to-date return of 15.5%, outperforming the average 10% return since 1950 [6][8] Federal Reserve Actions - The Federal Reserve has cut the Fed Funds Rate by a quarter percentage point at three consecutive FOMC meetings since September, responding to rising unemployment [9] - The Fed's actions are seen as supportive for the jobs market, providing opportunities for revenue and profit growth for publicly traded companies [4][9] Corporate Profit Outlook - Despite higher import taxes, corporate profits are expected to climb, indicating a positive outlook for publicly traded companies [8]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-12-18 18:31
Britain’s jobs market is pulling in two directions: unemployment is rising, yet wage growth is barely slowing at all https://t.co/2dIx1cb900 ...
The Work in Brazil | Maria Eduarda Costa Natali | TEDxMaple Bear Ribeirão Preto Youth
TEDx Talks· 2025-12-18 17:23
Hello, my name is Maria and today I'm going to talk about the important thing that I think everybody in this country need to know the work in Brazil. But first I'm going to offer you that every single work is important to the country. Why.Because every work affecting the politic democracy and independence of the country that mean that going to work is important because when people do that help the economy grow and give money to families and to the government. If you don't believe it, I can prove with a numb ...
Bank of England cuts rates as economy flatlines under Reeves
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-18 16:10
Chief UK economist Sanjay Raja said the members of the MPC at the Bank of England had become “increasingly focused on an uncertain neutral rate” where borrowing costs neither stimulate nor restrict the economy.Interest rates will be cut in March and June next year amid a sharp drop in inflation and a “deteriorating” jobs market, Deutsche Bank said.Cheaper deals have already started to hit the market, as lenders are pricing Thursday’s decision into their current deals – as well as one or two further cuts exp ...
Dollar Recovers as EUR/USD Weakens
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-18 15:37
Currency Market Overview - The dollar index (DXY00) increased by +0.09%, recovering from early losses due to Eurozone fiscal concerns impacting EUR/USD [1] - The dollar found support as US weekly jobless claims fell to 224,000, close to expectations of 225,000 [3] - The dollar initially declined due to weaker-than-expected US reports on November CPI and December Philadelphia Fed business outlook survey [1][3] Federal Reserve Actions - The Federal Reserve is increasing liquidity in the financial system by purchasing $40 billion a month in T-bills, which is putting pressure on the dollar [2] - There are concerns regarding President Trump's potential appointment of a dovish Fed Chair, which could be bearish for the dollar [2] Economic Indicators - The US November CPI rose by +2.7% year-on-year, which was weaker than the expected +3.1% [3] - The November core CPI increased by +2.6% year-on-year, also below expectations of +3.0%, marking the smallest pace of increase in 4.5 years [3] - The December Philadelphia Fed business outlook survey unexpectedly fell by -8.5 to -10.2, contrary to expectations of an increase to 2.3 [3] Market Expectations - Markets are pricing in a 27% chance that the FOMC will cut the fed funds target range by 25 basis points at the upcoming January 27-28 meeting [4] Eurozone Economic Concerns - The euro (EUR/USD) decreased by -0.20% as ECB officials indicated that the cycle of interest rate cuts is likely finished based on growth and inflation outlooks [5] - Fiscal concerns in the Eurozone are heightened after Germany announced plans to increase federal debt sales by nearly 20% to a record 512 billion euros ($601 billion) to fund increased government spending [5]
Steve Rattner: The economy will grow more slowly this year than it did in last year of the Biden WH
MSNBC· 2025-12-18 14:38
former Treasury official. Morning Joe economic analyst Steve Ratner. Steve, good morning.We've got your charts in just a moment, but first you were watching the speech last night along with us and you had a couple of more fact checks. Yeah, look, I think you guys did a great job on the factchecking things like his inability to do percentages no matter how many times we point out to him you can't have 500% declines, but whatever. But yeah, a couple other things.First on the deficit, he said that Congress had ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-12-18 13:46
Applications for US unemployment benefits fell after a spike in the previous week, underscoring the choppy nature of the data at this time of year. https://t.co/DYbrbt3PFq ...
US prices continued to rise despite Trump claim of ‘rapidly' falling prices
The Guardian· 2025-12-18 13:40
US prices rose 2.7% in the year to November, according to federal data released a day after Donald Trump claimed they were falling “very fast” on his watch.The latest consumer price index, released on Wednesday morning, was down from 3% in September, and short of economists’ expectations of about 3.1% for last month.It comes amid questions over the strength of the US economy. The longest US federal government shutdown in history halted collection of key data. There was no inflation report for October, and d ...
市場下跌的理由!通膨+失業雙殺?全球金融震盪倒數?
邦妮區塊鏈 Bonnie Blockchain· 2025-12-18 12:00
We are absolutely setting ourselves up for that at some point over the next couple of years, but it's so hard to know exactly when it's going to happen. And I think we have to be sort when it comes to the stock market, it will always look for a reason to go up, right. It needs a reason to go down, not a reason to go up.But in order for it to go down, you have to have a reason. The two main reasons that the stock market goes down, a rising inflation rate, which is what happened in 2022, right. So if you look ...