[Music] Hello and welcome to Market Domination. I'm Julie Hyman. That's Josh Lipton. Live from our New York City headquarters, we are giving you the ultimate investing playbook to help tune out the noise and make the right moves for your money. And here's Headline Blitz, getting you up to speed 1 hour before the closing bell rings on Wall Street. First, I think what we're going to see at the meeting is we got these updated projections and we expect the Fed to go from two cuts this year to one and just ackno ...

13 June 2025 | 7:27PM BST Global Rates Trader Inflation Offers Relief, Oil Offers Risks Inflation relief for global bond markets was short-lived as geopolitical tensions saw oil prices move sharply higher into the weekend. Even with some improvement in the underlying growth versus inflation trade-off and signs of duration risk appetite finding better footing, the macro impediments to a sharp move lower in US yields remain largely in place. Heading into the June FOMC decision, we continue to think any sustai ...

Well, those protests against immigration raids have been spreading in the US, and as we just heard, they're expected to further galvanize more protests this weekend. Several industries are also facing the weight of President Trump's immigration crackdown. Undocumented immigrants make up an estimated 15 to 20% or more of the US workforce in industries like crop production, food processing, and construction.according to Goldman Sachs to discuss specifically the impact on housing construction. We're joined by ...

[Music] The May consumer price index data showed a modest increase in inflation with CPI rising 0.1% month overmonth below the expected 0.2% with year-over-year headline inflation measured 2.4%. This reading has shifted some of the sentiment regarding interest rates after last week's stronger than expected labor data. The CME Fed Watch tool has increased the probability of a September rate cut from 6040 to 7030 after the release of the CPI data.The May CPI data suggests a cooling but stable inflation enviro ...

Bond Market Dynamics - The bond market is experiencing uncertainty due to government borrowing, trade wars, and tax cuts [2] - Long bonds, particularly those maturing in 30 years or more, are at the center of concerns [4] - Volatility in the bond market has increased, with yields on long bonds spiking above 5%, nearing the highest since 2007 [6] - Investor demand for long bonds has disappeared, resembling the volatility of meme stocks or crypto [13] Fiscal Policy and Debt - The US is projected to incur another $22 trillion deficit over the next 10 years [3] - Concerns about fiscal spending are driving long-term interest rates up, requiring higher yields to compensate for risk [14] - Government fiscal deficit problems are a ticking time bomb, leading to higher, longer-term yields [22][23] Global Implications - A global movement of rates higher has been observed [18] - Volatility in long-term bonds poses a problem for governments, as investors demand higher yields [20] - Higher yields will affect housing affordability, auto loans, student loans, and credit card rates [21] - The selloff in longer term bonds shows investors that major governments have a huge fiscal deficit problem [22] Long Bond Specifics - Long bonds were popular when investors sought decent yields due to near-zero or negative interest rates in Europe and Japan [8] - Austria Century Bonds, maturing in 2120, have seen their price fall about 75% from their peak in 2021 [12] - Rising long-end yields have increased by some 50 basis points, signaling potential financial stress [7]

Well, investors shifting their focus back on the Federal Reserve ahead of the central bank's policy meeting next week. President Trump once again calling for Fed Chair Pal to cut rates for more on the path ahead for the Fed and interest rates. Let's get now to Loretta Mester, University of Pennsylvania adjunct professor and former Cleveland Federal Reserve President.Uh Loretta, always good to see you. So, let's start Loretta with that inflation report we got today. PPI tame Loretta benign just like CPI yest ...

Market Volatility & Investment Strategy - The market has shown resilience with a V-shaped recovery, and investors should embrace volatility as it favors long-term value buyers [1] - Despite major market averages being in the black for the year, many individual stocks, especially in the Russell 2000, are still down significantly, presenting value opportunities [4] - Stock picking is expected to outperform buying indexes, offering better sleep-at-night valuations and generous dividend yields [11] Undervalued Sectors & Stocks - The energy sector, particularly Sevitas Resources, is attractive due to being hit hard, offering a big dividend yield and low PE ratio while remaining profitable [5][6] - Pharmaceutical companies like Merc are viewed as high quality, trading at a PE around 11 with a 4% dividend yield, lower than its historical valuation [6] - Whirlpool, the appliance maker, offers a yield over 7% with a PE in the 9-10 range, anticipating support from lower interest rates later in the year [8] - Target, the discount retailer, has a low valuation relative to its history and a dividend yield pushing 5% [8][9] - UPS, the package shipping company, aligns with the theme of low valuations and generous dividend yields [9] Economic Outlook & Fed Policy - Good news rate cuts are anticipated throughout the year, although immediate cuts are unlikely due to tariff uncertainties and high inflation expectations [12][13] - Historically, stocks have performed well regardless of Fed tightening or easing, rising or falling interest rates, or high or low inflation [14] - Value stocks have historically lost only a couple percent on average during recessions, with spectacular returns of 30-40% coming out of recessions [15][16] Portfolio Valuation - The portfolio's forward earnings trade at 14 times, compared to the S&P 500's 23 times forward earnings [10] - The portfolio's overall dividend yield is 250 basis points (25%) versus 130 basis points (13%) for the S&P 500 [10]

as the PPI shows inflation under control for now. Let's get straight to CNBC senior economics reporter Steve Leeman with the latest on the economic front, Steve, and some new comments from the president on Fed Chair Powell. In the past hour, yeah, Kelly, Walt, welcoming the lower inflation reports the past two days.Forecasters are still puzzling over the mystery of where and when the tariffs are going to increase and will they show up, if they do at all. Producer prices well under control up just 01 in the ...

Are U.S. Treasuries losing their safe-haven appeal? On this episode of Market Sense, we discuss the recent selloff happening in long-term Treasurys and the ripple effect it can have on global markets. Plus, we’ll take a closer look at the current fiscal policy and what more government debt could mean for this already volatile market. Topics covered: • Bond market • Treasurys • Tariffs, taxes and government debt • Interest rates 02:25: Market Rally in May 004:47: Does May Rally have legs? 06:38: Bond market ...

Lower inflation than expected in May could encourage officials at the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates sooner than financial markets previously expected. https://t.co/KNo4gcRa8H ...