Stocks are mixed today. The S&P 500 holding above the 6,000 level. The benchmark index has bounced over 20% from its April lows.Our next guest calling for caution amid the rally, citing re recent weakness in economic data. Joining us now, David Kelly. He is JP Morgan Asset Management's chief global strategist and head of the global market insights strategy team.David, it's wonderful to speak with you. Thank you for making the time this morning. I know in your latest you talk about how you see an economy tha ...

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) shares have tumbled 15% in the past three months compared with the industry’s decline of 10.3%. The stock has been rattled by escalating trade war concerns, with tariffs raising fears of high inflation and a possible global economic slowdown.Following the broader market trend, GS’s peer JPMorgan (JPM) and Morgan Stanley’s (MS) shares fell 8% and 14.6%, respectively, over the same time frame.Price Performance Image Source: Zacks Investment Research Given the recent pullback ...

PRESS RELEASEBrussels, 2 May 2025 (17.45)World leader in aluminium anodising 2024 ANNUAL RESULTS IMPACTED BY A CHALLENGING MARKET ENVIRONMENT Revenues up +10.5% to €24.1m, driven by the implementation of the collaboration and licensing agreement in China.Net loss of (3.2) M€, impacted by increased operating expenses and non-recurring items (goodwill impairment).Net debt under control, representing 25% of equity at 31 December 2024. COIL, world leader in aluminium anodising, is reporting its annual results f ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - NAREIT FFO was reported at $0.56 per share for Q1 2025, driven by same property NOI growth of 2.8% despite a 160 basis point drag from tenant disruption [12][13] - The company reduced leverage to 5.5 times debt to EBITDA and had $1.4 billion in available liquidity with no debt maturities until June 2026 [8][14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company executed 1.3 million square feet of new and renewal leases at a blended cash spread of 21%, with new leases at 48% and renewals at 14% [10] - The reinvestment pipeline reached $391 million with a weighted average return of 10%, and the leasing pipeline was up 30% in GLA year-over-year [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company continues to capture a significant share of new store openings in core categories such as grocery and value apparel, with strong tenant performance driving year-over-year traffic growth [6][11] - The signed but not yet commenced pool totaled $60 million, with expectations to commence $48 million or 79% of this ABR ratably through the remainder of 2025 [13][14] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on capitalizing on tenant disruption to bring in better tenants at higher rents, enhancing the overall portfolio quality [5][10] - The management expressed confidence in the ability to outperform in 2025 and 2026, supported by a robust leasing pipeline and low rent basis [6][9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the potential for economic slowdown and tariff uncertainty but emphasized strong tenant demand and the ability to navigate disruptions [5][6] - The company expects base rent to accelerate in the second half of the year as new leases commence, with a focus on maintaining a strong credit profile [15][16] Other Important Information - The company has maintained a conservative approach to guidance, factoring in potential tenant disruptions and bad debt [15][46] - The management highlighted the importance of tenant credit profiles and the resilience of their retail categories in the face of economic challenges [76][78] Q&A Session Summary Question: Exposure to Big Lots or Party City at quarter end - Management confirmed a 140 basis point impact from bankruptcies, primarily from Big Lots and Party City, and expects to recapture Joann boxes in May [17][18] Question: Growth visibility for the remainder of the year - Management expressed confidence in growth visibility due to a strong signed but not commenced pipeline and ongoing leasing activity [24][26] Question: Impact of tariffs on leasing discussions - Management noted that while tariffs are a concern, tenants in grocery and value segments are well-positioned and continue to show growth plans [28][30] Question: Expected capital spend for re-tenanting spaces - Management indicated that costs for re-tenanting are in line with previous backfills, averaging around $50 per square foot [62][64] Question: Impact of tariffs on tenant inventory - Management stated that retailers are preparing for potential tariff impacts and are adjusting sourcing strategies accordingly [90][92] Question: Guidance on lease term income - Management expects lease term income to normalize throughout the year, with visibility on tenant demand and credit [80][81]

Core Insights - Nvidia has transformed from a lesser-known semiconductor company to a prominent player, primarily due to its booming data center sales driven by significant investments in artificial intelligence [1][2] Data Center Revenue - Nvidia leads the data center sales market with $35.5 billion in Q4 2024, significantly outpacing its closest competitor, IBM, which reported $4.2 billion [2] - Data center sales constitute 88% of Nvidia's total revenue, with a remarkable 884% increase from Q4 2022 to Q4 2024 and a 142% rise in 2024 alone [7] - The majority of Nvidia's 75% gross margin is likely derived from its data center segment, contributing to its profitability with adjusted earnings per share of $2.99, a 130% increase from the previous year [5] Demand and Global Reach - Major tech companies like Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Meta Platforms are utilizing Nvidia's processors, reflecting a global demand for AI infrastructure as countries build their AI ecosystems [6] Economic and Regulatory Concerns - Nvidia is currently exempt from tariffs, but potential future tariffs on semiconductors are being considered by the Trump administration, prompting Nvidia to shift manufacturing of its Blackwell processor to the U.S. over the next 12 to 15 months [8][9] - Some tech companies have recently reduced data center spending due to economic concerns, with Microsoft pausing a $1 billion project and Amazon halting some leases in Europe, although a drastic pullback in AI investments is not anticipated [10][11]

Core Viewpoint - Amazon is expected to withstand the impact of tariffs due to its diversified revenue streams, particularly from Amazon Web Services (AWS) and advertising, rather than relying solely on retail sales [1][9]. Revenue and Profit Breakdown - Amazon's revenue and operating profits over the past 12 months are as follows: - North America: Revenue of $387.5 billion and operating profit of $25 billion - International: Revenue of $142.9 billion and operating profit of $3.8 billion - AWS: Revenue of $107.6 billion and operating profit of $39.8 billion - AWS, while contributing only 17% of total revenue, accounts for 58% of operating profits due to higher margins compared to commerce divisions [3][6]. Impact of Tariffs on AWS - The potential impact of tariffs on AWS is uncertain, as cloud computing workloads are typically stable once established. However, a slowdown in client spending could affect AWS growth [4][5]. Advertising Revenue - Advertising has become a significant part of Amazon's revenue, constituting 15% of total revenue in Q4. The operating margin for this segment is not disclosed, but estimates suggest it could be around 30%, potentially generating about $5.2 billion in operating profits [6][7]. Economic Considerations - An economic slowdown could lead to reduced advertising budgets, but some companies may still invest in advertising for new products from other countries, which could mitigate the impact [8]. Long-term Outlook - Despite potential revenue impacts from tariffs, Amazon's overall profit structure remains robust, making it a viable long-term investment [9].

Market Overview - The three major U.S. indexes, Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500, and Dow Jones Industrial Average, experienced declines of 3.24%, 2.3%, and 3.41% respectively in the holiday-shortened trading week, driven by fears of economic slowdown and rising inflation due to trade tensions between the U.S. and China [1] - Consumer sentiment in April dropped to 50.8, the lowest since June 2022, primarily due to inflation concerns [2] - The core Producer Price Index (PPI) rose by 0.3%, indicating persistent price pressures, while the PPI for final demand decreased by 0.4% in March [2] Federal Reserve Insights - Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicated a need for more clarity before making policy adjustments, suggesting a delay in interest rate cuts, with market expectations leaning towards a rate decrease in December [3] - The ongoing trade war and potential inflation increases are expected to negatively impact job creation and business confidence [3] Zacks Performance and Recommendations - Brookdale Senior Living Inc. (BKD) shares increased by 14.7% since being upgraded to Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) on February 20, contrasting with a 14.2% decrease in the S&P 500 [4] - The Bank of East Asia, Limited (BKEAY) also saw a 3.9% return since its upgrade to Zacks Rank 2 on February 20 [5] - A hypothetical portfolio of Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) stocks returned -3.48% in January 2025, compared to -0.60% for the S&P 500 [5] Zacks Model Portfolio Performance - The Zacks Model Portfolio, consisting of Zacks Rank 1 stocks, has outperformed the S&P 500 index by nearly 13 percentage points since 1988, with an annualized average return of +23.9% compared to +11.3% for the S&P 500 [7] - The Zacks Focus List portfolio returned -2.96% in Q1 2025, outperforming the S&P 500's -4.30% decline [12] - The Earnings Certain Admiral Portfolio (ECAP) returned +3.20% in Q1 2025, significantly better than the S&P 500's -4.30% decline [16] Stock Highlights - Pro-Dex, Inc. (PDEX) shares surged by 68.6% since its Zacks Recommendation upgrade to Outperform on March 4 [8] - Coca-Cola Company (KO) returned 17% over the past 12 weeks, while J. M. Smucker Company (SJM) increased by 12.6% during the same period [18] - Primo Brands Corporation (PRMB) rose by 9% year-to-date, outperforming the S&P 500 index's 10.2% decrease [22]

Core Insights - Netflix executives expressed confidence in the business despite economic challenges, but the full-year outlook indicates a more cautious stance [1][2] - The company reported a significant operating margin of 31.7% for Q1, exceeding the average estimate of 28.5%, and provided a strong Q2 guidance of 33.3% against an average estimate of 30% [2] - Netflix has not changed its long-term projections, suggesting uncertainty about the second half of the year [2][3] Financial Performance - Q1 revenue was $10.5 billion, aligning with analyst expectations, while Q2 guidance is set at $11 billion, slightly above expectations [5] - The company has stopped reporting quarterly subscriber numbers, which may limit insights into customer trends later in the year [5] Market Conditions - U.S. consumer sentiment is at its second-lowest level since 1952, influenced by new tariff policies [3] - Co-CEO Greg Peters noted that Netflix has historically been resilient during economic slowdowns, as home entertainment is a more affordable leisure option [4] - The monthly subscription with ads is priced at $7.99, which may appeal to cost-conscious consumers [4] Customer Retention - Retention rates are reported to be stable and strong, with no significant changes in plan mix or take rate observed [5]

Core Viewpoint - Tesla's stock has experienced a significant decline, dropping over 40% year-to-date, largely influenced by the trade policies of the Trump administration and internal brand challenges [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Analyst Outlook - Wedbush analyst Dan Ives has reduced his price target for Tesla from $550 to $315 per share, reflecting a more bearish outlook amid market conditions [2]. - Despite the recent sell-off, Tesla's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio remains high at nearly 90 based on this year's estimated earnings, indicating concerns about its valuation [3]. Group 2: Trade and Market Vulnerabilities - Tesla does not import vehicles for sale in the U.S., yet the company's stock is affected by broader market reactions to tariffs and trade tensions [2]. - The company's largest factory in Shanghai is at risk if trade tensions with China escalate, as China accounted for over 20% of Tesla's revenue last year [4]. Group 3: Brand Impact and Future Prospects - Musk's political activities are estimated to have caused a 10% loss in Tesla's future customer base, contributing to the current brand crisis [5]. - Investor confidence in Tesla's future beyond electric vehicles will be crucial in determining whether they choose to hold or sell their shares amid ongoing volatility [5].