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Metals growth driven by central bank buying, says Blue Line Futures' Phillip Streible
Youtube· 2026-01-23 20:07
Group 1: Market Outlook - Gold futures are projected to potentially reach $5,500 by 2026, while silver futures could hit $11,520 due to market volatility [1] - Continued central bank buying and private investor ETF flows are driving demand for gold and silver, with expectations of two interest rate cuts by the Fed [2][4] - Poland has added 150 tons of gold to its reserves, while India is reducing its US Treasury holdings in favor of gold investments [3] Group 2: Investment Trends - There is a multi-year increase in gold ETF holdings as both individuals and institutions view gold as a strong portfolio asset for diversification against inflation and geopolitical risks [4] - The traditional 60/40 portfolio strategy is being replaced by allocations to strategic commodities like gold, silver, and copper [4] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The average true range for gold is currently $95 per day, while silver is at $5 per day, indicating potential for significant sell-offs during market corrections [7] - There are multi-year supply deficits in metals, coupled with strong industrial and investment demand, creating a scenario where demand outpaces supply [7] - The market for platinum is experiencing new highs, driven by supply constraints from South Africa and Russia, which together account for a significant portion of global production [10][11]
ETFs to Watch as Silver's Upward Momentum Continues
ZACKS· 2026-01-23 16:15
Core Insights - Silver prices have reached new highs, driven by increased safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tensions and trade frictions, with a year-to-date gain of approximately 34.47% in January and nearly 220% over the past year, significantly outperforming gold's 78.55% increase [1][10] Group 1: Economic Factors - A decline in the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) by 0.99% over the past five days and 9.12% over the past year enhances global demand for silver, making it more affordable for international buyers [2] - Anticipation of further Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026 is expected to weaken the U.S. dollar, making silver more attractive to investors [3] Group 2: Geopolitical Influences - Ongoing geopolitical tensions, including U.S. military actions and trade disputes, have contributed to market volatility and increased interest in safe-haven assets like silver [4][7] Group 3: Industrial Demand - Silver's unique properties make it essential in various industries, including technology and clean energy, with applications ranging from medical equipment to solar power systems and electric vehicles [5][6] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The performance of silver ETFs has been notable, with iShares Silver Trust (SLV) gaining 147.86% over the past year, abrdn Physical Silver Shares ETF (SIVR) up 148.31%, and Global X Silver Miners ETF (SIL) increasing by 165.93% [12][13][14] - A long-term investment strategy is recommended for those looking to increase exposure to silver, particularly in a volatile market [11]
Trump Jr. Says He's Bringing Together The 'Smartest People' For A World Liberty Financial Event
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-22 13:31
Group 1 - World Liberty Financial (WLFI) is hosting the World Liberty Forum on February 18, which aims to gather influential figures in technology and finance [1][2] - The event is invitation-only and will feature notable speakers including David Solomon, CEO of Goldman Sachs, and CFTC Chair Michael S. Selig [3] - The Trump family is significantly involved in WLFI, with Donald Trump listed as Co-Founder Emeritus and his sons serving as co-founders [4] Group 2 - WLFI recently launched World Liberty Markets, a lending platform for its USD1 stablecoin, and has applied for a U.S. national banking license [5] - An October report indicated that the Trump family earned hundreds of millions from WLFI and related token sales in the first half of 2025 [6]
AOMN Or ADAMI: Picking The Better mREIT 2029 Note
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-22 13:00
Group 1 - The focus is on income-producing asset classes such as REITs, ETFs, Preferreds, and 'Dividend Champions' that target premium dividend yields up to 10% [1][3] - iREIT®+HOYA Capital is highlighted as a premier income-focused investing service that offers sustainable portfolio income, diversification, and inflation hedging [2][3] - The investment research provided includes strategies for trading options and emphasizes dependable monthly income for investors [3] Group 2 - The service offers a Free Two-Week Trial for potential investors to explore top ideas across exclusive income-focused portfolios [2] - The investment group aims to assist investors in preparing for retirement through various investment vehicles including CEFs, ETFs, BDCs, and REITs [3]
Novo: Back From The Dead
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-21 14:15
James Foord is an economist by trade and has been analyzing global markets for the past decade. He leads the investing group The Pragmatic Investor where the focus is on building robust and truly diversified portfolios that will continually preserve and increase wealth. The Pragmatic Investor covers global macro, international equities, commodities, tech and cryptocurrencies and is designed to guide investors of all levels in their journey. Features include a The Pragmatic Investor Portfolio, weekly market ...
United Parcel Services: Valuation, Fundamentals, And Technicals Are Unitedly Buy
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-21 13:29
Core Insights - The logistics sector has seen significant engagement from investors, particularly in the ASEAN and US markets, highlighting its growth potential and diversification opportunities [1] Investment Focus - The company has diversified its investments across various sectors including banking, telecommunications, logistics, and hotels, indicating a strategic approach to portfolio management [1] - The entry into the US market in 2020 reflects a growing interest in international investment opportunities, particularly in sectors like banks, hotels, and logistics [1] Market Trends - The popularity of insurance companies in the Philippines since 2014 suggests a shift in investment preferences among local investors, moving towards more diversified financial products [1] - The trend of using platforms like Seeking Alpha for analysis indicates a growing reliance on data-driven investment strategies among investors in both the ASEAN and US markets [1]
Dubai Holding strengthens presence with Jumeirah Mallorca acquisition
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-21 11:17
Group 1 - Dubai Holding has acquired Jumeirah Mallorca, a hotel on Spain's north-west coast, expanding its hospitality portfolio to 34 hotels and resorts, including five Jumeirah-branded establishments in Europe [1][2] - Jumeirah Mallorca features 121 rooms with views of the Mediterranean Sea and the Serra de Tramuntana mountain range, and has received LEED Platinum certification for sustainability [2] - The acquisition aligns with Dubai Holding's strategy of investing in global assets to maintain a diversified portfolio, as the company operates in over 30 countries [2][3] Group 2 - The CEO of Dubai Holding, Amit Kaushal, stated that the acquisition is a strategic addition to their global hospitality portfolio, emphasizing the commitment to invest in high-quality assets [3] - Jumeirah continues to expand in key European destinations, with existing hotels in London and Capri, and plans for a new opening in Geneva, supported by the Mallorca acquisition [4] - In April 2025, Jumeirah announced plans for three developments in Dubai, including Jumeirah Asora Bay, which will feature 103 rooms and suites along with 20 villas, scheduled to open in 2029 [5]
The ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF: Buy, Sell, or Hold in 2026?
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-21 10:20
Core Viewpoint - Ark Invest, led by Cathie Wood, has launched a spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) to provide investors with easy access to Bitcoin without the complexities of direct purchase and storage [1][2]. Group 1: ETF Overview - The ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (NYSEMKT: ARKB) tracks Bitcoin's price by holding actual Bitcoin tokens and distributing shares based on ownership, facilitating investment for various types of investors [2]. - The ETF charges a management fee of 0.21%, which is the only fee incurred when purchasing the ETF [3]. Group 2: Investment Rationale - Bitcoin is viewed as a unique diversifier in investment portfolios due to its limited supply of 21 million tokens, positioning it as a potential digital gold [3][7]. - Bitcoin has shown correlations with both high-beta tech stocks and precious metals like gold, which has gained value amid geopolitical tensions and rising U.S. government debt [4]. Group 3: Economic Context - The U.S. government currently faces a fiscal deficit of nearly $1.8 trillion and total debt exceeding $38 trillion, with a significant portion of the budget allocated to interest payments [5]. - Economists suggest that ongoing fiscal policies may lead to U.S. dollar debasement and prolonged inflation, reinforcing the case for gold and potentially Bitcoin as a hedge against these economic challenges [6].
The Final Diversification Frontier in Focus as Macro Jitters Front and Center
Investing· 2026-01-21 06:49
Core Viewpoint - The early trends of 2026 indicate a strong performance in small-cap stocks, particularly the Russell 2000 Index and US microcaps, while the S&P 500 struggles to maintain momentum near the 7000 mark [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Russell 2000 Index has shown consistent gains, achieving an 11-for-11 daily performance record in January [2]. - The S&P 500 has been relatively flat, with notable underperformance in Information Technology and Financials, ranking 10th and 11th respectively in year-to-date performance [4][5]. - Five of the "Magnificent 7" stocks are down in 2026, contributing to the overall weakness in the Financials sector [5]. Group 2: Sector Analysis - Sector leadership is fragmented, with Industrials and Materials up 7-8%, and Energy close behind at +6.8% [3]. - Consumer Staples and Real Estate are emerging as potential leaders as earnings season progresses [3]. - Real Estate has lagged significantly since the October 2022 low, down over 60 percentage points compared to the S&P 500 ETF [12]. Group 3: Commodities and Cryptocurrencies - Bitcoin has shown a strong performance with a 9% advance, while silver and gold have also posted significant gains, with silver up 32% and gold at all-time highs, +8% year-to-date [6][9]. - Oil is showing signs of a breakout, which could attract buyers as it approaches previous downtrend resistance [8]. Group 4: Technical Indicators - The Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLRE) is showing signs of a potential rally, with significant volume supporting its price movement [14]. - A breakout above $43 for XLRE could lead to further gains, aligning with broader trends in portfolio diversification [16].
BMY vs GSK: Which Biopharma Giant Has Better Prospects for Now?
ZACKS· 2026-01-20 19:42
Core Insights - Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY) and GSK PLC (GSK) are leading global biopharma companies with diverse portfolios [1][2] - BMY focuses on transformational therapies across various serious conditions, while GSK has strong positions in HIV, oncology, and respiratory diseases, along with a robust vaccine business [1][2] BMY Overview - BMY's growth portfolio includes drugs like Opdivo, Reblozyl, and Breyanzi, which have shown strong performance and contributed to top-line growth [4][7] - Opdivo sales are driven by its launch in MSI-high colorectal cancer and growth in non-small cell lung cancer, with global sales expected to increase in the high single-digit to low double-digit range by 2025 [5][6] - Reblozyl is annualizing over $2 billion in sales, significantly boosting BMY's revenue [7] - BMY's legacy portfolio is declining, with expectations of a 15-17% decrease in 2025, primarily due to generic competition [10][11] - The company is pursuing acquisitions to enhance its portfolio, including the recent acquisition of Orbital Therapeutics [12][14] GSK Overview - GSK's Specialty Medicines unit is experiencing strong sales growth, driven by successful launches in oncology and long-acting HIV medicines [15] - Key drugs like Nucala and Dovato are significant revenue drivers, with new products expected to further enhance growth [15][17] - GSK's vaccine portfolio is under pressure, but new approvals like Penmenvy are anticipated to help revive growth [18] - GSK has a deep pipeline with promising candidates in late-stage development, which should support future growth [19] Financial Estimates - BMY's 2025 sales are expected to decrease by 0.80%, while EPS is projected to increase by 460% due to low EPS figures in 2024 [20] - GSK's 2025 sales are estimated to grow by 6.92%, with EPS growth of 12.10% [21] Price Performance and Valuation - GSK shares have outperformed BMY over the past year, gaining 42.8% compared to BMY's loss of 3.1% [22] - GSK's shares trade at a forward P/E ratio of 9.85, slightly higher than BMY's 9.19 [23] - BMY offers a higher dividend yield of 4.56% compared to GSK's 3.53% [26] Investment Considerations - Both companies are considered safe investments in the biopharma sector, but GSK is viewed as a better pick due to its diversified portfolio and stronger recent performance [27][29]