Larger Downtrend Context - The market is experiencing a larger downtrend, with a decisive push through today's low signaling a clear bearish signal [1] - The downtrend has accelerated recently, particularly in relation to the falling 50-day average, which has capped advances and produced lower highs [1] - Overall volatility has remained muted since the pullback began from the October swing high, where the 50-day line acted as firm resistance [1] Major Support Zone Below - Crude oil is currently positioned above a significant support band that extends down to the 2025 low of $55.23 [2] - The bullish reversal in October indicated genuine buyer conviction, suggesting potential for another demand surge if the support zone holds [2] - Even if lower prices occur in the short term, the major support area implies that downside containment is likely [2] Upside Reversal Requirements - A meaningful shift to bullish control requires a sustained breakout above the recent lower swing high at $60.56 to signal a short-term trend change [3] - More aggressive traders are monitoring for a reclaim of Wednesday's three-day high at $59.22 and the 20-day average near $59.11, where the 10-day and 20-day averages converge with a downtrend line [3] - This convergence creates a reinforced resistance pocket of heightened significance [3] Outlook - Crude oil's decline has brought it close to a critical 88.6% Fibonacci and multi-month low zone [4] - A daily close beneath $57.04–$57.21 could accelerate movement toward the broader $55–$57 support band, while respect for this area keeps the possibility of a sharp reversal alive [4] - Until a convincing push and hold above the $59.11–$59.22 confluence occurs, bears maintain full control [4]

Core Insights - The investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a balanced portfolio of approximately 50% in each [1] - The investment strategy involves identifying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, their leverage, and to compare financial ratios with sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Investment Strategy - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months [1] - A professional background check is conducted on each insider who purchased shares after a recent sell-off to ensure credibility [1] - The investor screens through thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, but may also invest in companies from less stable economies [1]

Company Overview - Smart Sand (SND) is valued at $168.5 million and is a producer of northern white raw fracking sand for the oil and gas industry, providing proppant and related logistics services for unconventional wells [1][6]. Stock Performance - The stock has shown exceptional technical momentum, gaining 65% over the past year and 83.96% since a "Buy" signal was issued on September 18 [2][6]. - Smart Sand recently traded at $3.72, reaching a 3-year high of $3.94 on December 5 [4][7]. - The stock has made 17 new highs and gained 84.51% in the last month, with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 85.71 [7]. Technical Indicators - Smart Sand has a 100% "Buy" technical opinion from Barchart, with a Weighted Alpha of +87.87 [7]. - The stock's 50-day moving average is $2.48, and there is a technical support level around $3.62 [7]. Market Sentiment - Wall Street analysts are not currently following Smart Sand, but individual investors are showing interest, with 70 investors on Motley Fool believing the stock will outperform the market [8]. - CFRA's MarketScope Advisor rates the stock as a "Buy," while Morningstar considers it fairly valued despite its recent price increase [8].

Core Viewpoint - Costamare (CMRE) is a containership owner valued at $1.9 billion, primarily chartering its vessels to leading liner companies under multi-year contracts [1][2]. Group 1: Company Overview - Costamare is headquartered in Athens, Greece and offers various shipping services including technical support, maintenance, insurance consulting, and financial services [2]. - The company has a fleet of containerships that operate on regularly scheduled routes between major commercial ports [1]. Group 2: Stock Performance - CMRE stock has shown strong technical momentum, gaining nearly 30% in the last month and reaching a 52-week high of $16.25 on December 3 [4][5]. - The stock has a 100% technical "Buy" opinion from Barchart, with a Weighted Alpha of +49.62 and a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 81.54 [5][6]. - Analyst sentiment is mixed, with Morningstar rating CMRE as 19% undervalued and Seeking Alpha giving it a "Strong Buy" rating [5]. Group 3: Technical Indicators - The stock recently traded at $16.08, with a 50-day moving average of $12.95, indicating significant price appreciation [6]. - Costamare has made 15 new highs and gained 29.53% in the last month, maintaining its Trend Seeker "Buy" signal [6].

Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on deep value opportunities, particularly in stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, while also considering insider buying as a positive signal [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and potential returns [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Stock Selection Criteria - Preference is given to stocks that have undergone a recent sell-off, particularly when there is insider buying at the new lower price, indicating potential recovery [1] - The investor screens through thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, but is open to owning shares in less stable markets, referred to as "banana republics" [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchase shares post-sell-off, adding an additional layer of due diligence [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company Marll is identified as an underperformer in the semiconductor sector, lagging behind peers like Qualcomm, Nvidia, AMD, Broadcom, and Micron, with a decline of over 15% this year despite a recent price increase [2][9]. Technical Analysis - The chart analysis indicates a broad upward sloping channel pattern, with key levels to watch being a recent low around 75 and a high near 98 [3][4]. - The moving averages show a clustering, indicating a lack of strong trend directionality, although there is a slight bounce observed [4]. - A breakout above the 50 midline and the downward sloping trend line is noted, with bulls looking for new highs and an RSI breakout above 70 for confirmation [5]. Volume and Expected Moves - The volume profile indicates a point of control near 75, which aligns with a recent low, while volume thins out above 90 and picks up again at 110 [6][7]. - The expected move for the upcoming expiration is approximately 10.8%, with downside support around 83 and upside resistance near 103 [7][8]. Options Strategy - A conservative options strategy is proposed, involving selling a 90 strike put and buying an 85 strike put to create a short $5 wide neutral to bullish put vertical, aiming for a credit of about $180 with a risk of $320 [10][12]. - The probability of the short 90 strike finishing out of the money at expiration is estimated at 55%, providing a cushion of over 5% to the downside [13][14].

Cantor Fitzgerald’s latest Form 13F filing with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has revealed that it now holds a position valued at $1.28 million in the Volatility Shares Solana ETF (SOLZ). The filing shows 58,000 shares accumulated in mid‑November and marks the first officially documented exposure the firm has taken toward a regulated Solana‑linked investment product. The purchase follows the SEC clearing a series of Solana exchange‑traded funds (ETFs) in September. Major issuers such as ...

Core Insights - The investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a balanced portfolio of approximately 50% in each [1] - The investment strategy involves identifying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, their leverage, and to compare financial ratios with sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Investment Strategy - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months [1] - A professional background check is conducted on each insider who purchased shares after a recent sell-off to ensure credibility [1] - The investor screens through thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, but may also invest in companies from less stable economies [1]

Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on deep value opportunities, particularly in stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, while also considering insider buying as a positive signal [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach between equity and derivatives [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Stock Selection Criteria - Preference is given to stocks that have undergone a recent sell-off, particularly when there is insider buying at the new lower price, indicating potential recovery [1] - The investor screens through thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, but is open to owning shares in less stable markets, referred to as "banana republics" [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchase shares post-sell-off to ensure credibility and alignment with shareholder interests [1]

Technical analysis suggests bitcoin could be set for a short-term reversal as early as Tuesday, signaling the recent decline may be approaching its end. ...