Economic Outlook & Uncertainty - The economic outlook for 2026 is uncertain due to confusing economic indicators [1][2] - Policy driving inflation and a large, growing deficit contribute to economic uncertainty [3] - The economy is not well-poised to handle a shock [3] Tariffs & Inflation - Tariffs are considered inflationary [4] - Wholesalers initially absorbed tariff costs, but these are now starting to impact prices, including food [5] - Economic analysis suggests tariffs ultimately translate to higher prices [6] - Tariff revenue is offsetting the deficit increase from the budget bill, but this may not continue if tariffs are challenged [8] Trade Deficit & Tariff Effectiveness - Tariffs have not rescued the deficit [9] - The trade deficit is wider year-to-date [10] - The primary benefit of tariffs has been creating a negotiating environment, though this is not considered a sustainable approach [11] - Higher prices and a weaker global economy are negative consequences of tariffs [12] Impact on American Households - Americans are worried about the cost of healthcare, housing, and food, which consume most of their paycheck [13] - Potential loss of healthcare support could lead to significant cost increases or lack of coverage for millions [14] - An eighth of the country faces extreme insecurity when nutrition benefits (SNAP) are threatened [16] - The economy is lopsided, with those living paycheck to paycheck struggling [17]

The EU wants the US to reduce tariffs on the bloc’s exports of weapons below the 15% tariff ceiling agreed for many of its goods https://t.co/qqagkibKor ...

Core Viewpoint - The Trump administration is confident in winning a Supreme Court trade case regarding new tariffs aimed at protecting American manufacturing from unfair foreign competition [1][4]. Group 1: Tariff Implementation and Economic Impact - Tariffs are considered a key component of the administration's national security and economic protection strategy for Americans [1]. - The administration plans to use tariff revenues to provide $2,000 dividend payments to low and middle-income Americans, which is seen as a way to demonstrate the benefits of tariffs [5][6]. - Since the announcement of the "Liberation Day" tariffs, tariff revenues have significantly increased, with total duty revenue reaching $215.2 billion in fiscal year 2025 and $40.4 billion collected in the first month of fiscal year 2026 [8]. Group 2: Political and Legal Context - The administration has various policies and tools available under U.S. trade law to impose tariffs or restrictions, even if the Supreme Court rules against them [4]. - Concerns about the potential inflationary impact of the $2,000 payments have been dismissed by trade representatives, who argue that it will not alter the overall macroeconomic situation [9].

I want to start on your discussions with the European Union. We were hearing some noise that it doesn't necessarily include reducing steel and aluminum tariffs from 50% to 15%. Is that off the table for now.Know what we're talking about. Everything is on the table When you have such a great partner as the European Union. They have 450 million people and a $20 trillion economy.So the opportunity is great. They would like to have steel and aluminum as part of this package. And we think it is very, very import ...

I want to start on your discussions with the European Union. We were hearing some noise that it doesn't necessarily include reducing steel and aluminum tariffs from 50% to 15%. Is that off the table for now.Know what we're talking about. Everything is on the table When you have such a great partner as the European Union. They have 450 million people and a $20 trillion economy.So the opportunity is great. They would like to have steel and aluminum as part of this package. And we think it is very, very import ...

US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick told Bloomberg News that any concessions for the EU on steel and aluminum tariffs are contingent on the bloc rolling back rules on the digital industry. https://t.co/jaoMYDH2yd ...

♦️ Donald Trump plays down tensions with prominent MAGA Republicans.♦️ Zohran Mamdani says he is “establishing a productive relationship” with the president.♦️ The rise in inflation had “nothing to do with tariffs”, treasury secretary insists.Keep up with US politics https://t.co/ba6UUGssU0 ...

Core Viewpoint - Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller advocates for a quarter-point rate cut at the upcoming policy meeting, citing a weak labor market and manageable inflation as key factors [1][3][4]. Economic Indicators - The labor market is showing signs of continued weakness, with the latest jobs report indicating only 119,000 jobs added in September, which is expected to be revised down by approximately 50,000 to 60,000 [6][7]. - Inflation is not perceived as a significant concern moving forward, with expectations that it will begin to decline. Current inflation is estimated to be around 2.4% to 2.5% [9][10]. Future Outlook - The approach to monetary policy may become more cautious and data-dependent starting in January, as a significant amount of economic data will be released [5][6]. - Waller does not foresee a turnaround in the labor market in the next 6 to 8 weeks, indicating a continued focus on labor market conditions in future policy decisions [6][8]. Communication and Transparency - Waller emphasizes the importance of transparency and accountability in monetary policy, suggesting that press conferences after every meeting should continue to communicate decisions to the public and financial markets [12][13].

Core Insights - Best Buy Co., Inc. is highlighted as a stock to watch, with expectations of being impacted by higher interest rates and tariffs, but potentially benefiting from a PC refresh cycle [1] Company Overview - Best Buy sells a variety of technology products, electronics, appliances, and entertainment items, along with services such as delivery, installation, and technical support [2] - The company was previously considered a strong dividend stock, yielding 4.5%, but was removed from a list of interesting prospects due to its reliance on strong consumer growth and tariff relief [2] Market Context - The upcoming earnings report for Best Buy is anticipated to be affected by external economic factors, including tariffs and interest rates [1] - There is a comparison made with AI stocks, suggesting that while Best Buy has potential, certain AI stocks may offer greater upside potential and less downside risk [3]

An executive order signed by President Trump uh removing tariffs on Brazilian coffee and beef is expected to ease food costs for Americans. Joining us now, Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins came to New York. >> I did.Great to be here. You're all on set. It's nice to have you here.>> Yeah, thank you. >> Affordability. I saw uh Secretary Bess and I kind of liked it.Uh we hope to see him soon too. But he said he was asked about some specific um item being up I don't know 8% or something like that. And I thi ...