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 拓荆科技(688072):先进制程机台实现规模化量产,业绩同环比高增
 KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-10-31 02:50
 Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1]   Core Views - The company has achieved significant revenue and profit growth in Q3 2025, with a year-over-year revenue increase of 124.15% and a net profit increase of 225.07% [5] - The advanced process equipment has entered large-scale production, exceeding expectations, which has led to an upward revision of the company's profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [5] - The company's gross margin has shown signs of recovery, with expectations for continued improvement as new products complete technical validation and enter mass production [4][5]   Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of 42.20 billion yuan, a year-over-year increase of 85.27% [4] - The gross margin for Q3 was 34.42%, with a quarter-over-quarter decline of 4.4 percentage points, attributed to high costs during the validation of new products [5] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for Q3 was 4.62 billion yuan, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 225.07% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 91.60% [5]   Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 64 billion yuan in 2025, 86 billion yuan in 2026, and 106 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding net profits of 10.2 billion yuan, 20.2 billion yuan, and 27.3 billion yuan respectively [5] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 90.1 for 2025, 45.4 for 2026, and 33.6 for 2027 [5]   Product Development and Market Position - The company has successfully validated advanced process equipment, including PECVD Stack and ALD SiCO, which are now in large-scale production [6] - The company is positioned as a leader in the CVD field in China, with a diverse range of thin film deposition equipment [6] - The introduction of three-dimensional integration equipment aligns with trends in advanced packaging and is expected to contribute to long-term growth [6]
 拓荆科技(688072):公司信息更新报告:先进制程机台进展乐观,毛利率、净利润双双回暖
 KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-08-29 08:15
 Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1]   Core Views - The company has shown optimistic progress in advanced process equipment, with both gross margin and net profit recovering [1] - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 1.954 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 54.25%, driven by breakthroughs in core technology and increased demand for domestic equipment [4][5] - The gross margin was 31.96%, down 15.09 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to high costs associated with new products and processes in the first quarter [4] - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 94 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 26.96% [4]   Financial Performance Summary - In Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.245 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 56.64% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 75.74% [5] - The gross margin for Q2 was 38.82%, an increase of 18.93 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [5] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for Q2 was 241 million yuan, reflecting a significant improvement due to the recovery in gross margin and reduced expense ratios [5] - The company maintains its previous profit forecasts, expecting revenues of 5.8 billion, 7.7 billion, and 9.5 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 970 million, 1.49 billion, and 1.95 billion yuan for the same years [5]   Market and Product Development - The company’s advanced process equipment has successfully passed customer certification and is gradually entering large-scale production [6] - The company has optimized its customer structure, consolidating partnerships with leading domestic wafer manufacturers while successfully onboarding new clients, leading to a 52.07% increase in contract liabilities compared to the end of 2024 [6] - The company is expected to benefit from the growing trend of advanced packaging with its 3D integration equipment [6]   Financial Projections - The company’s projected operating revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 5.812 billion, 7.654 billion, and 9.450 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profits of 973 million, 1.491 billion, and 1.951 billion yuan [7] - The gross margin is expected to improve to 45.2%, 48.8%, and 48.9% over the next three years [7] - The price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) is projected to decrease from 56.4 in 2025 to 28.1 in 2027 [7]