1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the report 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In 2025, China's economy showed strong resilience, with per capita disposable income of residents increasing, but personal consumption willingness remaining weak. The credit card asset quality was under pressure, and the state introduced policies to reduce residents' financing costs and boost consumption [7][47]. - The issuance and secondary trading of personal consumer loan ABS increased, but the issuance of consumer finance companies has been suspended since the fourth quarter. The issuance interest rate remained low, and the cumulative default rates of products from different institutions were differentiated [6]. - In 2026, China is expected to implement more proactive macro - policies, and consumer finance companies need to clarify their positioning and optimize their business capabilities [47]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Policy - In 2025, the state introduced policies to reduce residents' financing costs, boost consumption, and regulate the consumer credit market. These policies included increasing consumer finance supply, standardizing financial business fees, strengthening risk management, and improving credit management [6][9][10] 3.2 Issuance - In 2025, 18 personal consumer loan ABS products were issued in the inter - bank credit asset securitization market, with a total issuance scale of 32.77 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 5.88% in the number of products and 32.70% in the scale. The issuance of consumer finance companies has been suspended since the fourth quarter [6][14][16] 3.3 Issuance Interest Rate - The issuance interest rate range of the priority (AAAsf) and sub - priority (AA + sf) securities of personal consumer loan ABS products narrowed. The AAAsf - level spread range of products initiated by commercial banks was 0.44 - 11.47BP, and that of consumer finance companies was - 1.53 - 21.58BP. The overall issuance cost remained low [6][22] 3.4 Secondary Market - In 2025, the trading volume of personal consumer loan ABS products was 9.625 billion yuan, with a turnover rate of 28.06%, indicating an increase in secondary market activity [6][25] 3.5 Asset Pool Characteristics - The asset pool interest rate of personal consumer loan ABS products issued in 2025 increased, and the remaining term remained stable. The average single - household loan unpaid principal balance was small, and the asset pool had a high degree of dispersion. The weighted average contract interest rate of consumer finance companies was higher than that of commercial banks [27][28][29] 3.6 Performance of Existing Products - The cumulative default rate of personal consumer loan ABS products decreased in 2025 compared with 2024, but there were differences among different institutions. The 31 - 60 - day and 61 - 90 - day overdue rates of the underlying assets fluctuated less, but the asset quality was still under pressure. The prepayment rate continued to rise due to interest rate decline and residents' de - leveraging [6][30][44]

Economic Overview - In 2024, China's economy is expected to show a steady but slowing trend, with final consumption's contribution to economic growth weakening marginally[4] - By the end of 2024, the narrow personal consumption loan balance is projected to reach CNY 21.01 trillion, reflecting a growth of 6.23% compared to the end of 2023[5] Policy Initiatives - The government has introduced multiple policies aimed at stimulating consumption and regulating the consumer finance market, focusing on consumer rights protection and risk management[12][14] - Key policies include promoting large-scale equipment updates and encouraging the recycling of consumer goods, which are expected to enhance consumption potential[15][17] ABS Issuance Trends - In 2024, the issuance of personal consumption loan ABS products totaled 17 transactions, with a cumulative issuance scale of CNY 243.23 billion, marking a significant decrease of 48.22% year-on-year[5][18] - The issuance rates for priority (AAAsf) securities ranged from 1.90% to 2.50%, indicating a narrowing compared to 2023[28] Market Performance - The secondary market for personal consumption loan ABS products saw a transaction volume of CNY 77.14 billion, down 45.79% from the previous year, with an average transaction amount of CNY 0.68 billion[30][32] - The cumulative default rates for ABS products initiated by commercial banks are generally lower than those initiated by consumer finance companies, reflecting stronger risk management practices[51][38] Asset Quality and Characteristics - The average loan amount in the asset pool for 2024 was CNY 6.93 million, with a high degree of asset pool dispersion[32][33] - The average weighted contract interest rate for the underlying assets was 16.35%, indicating a relatively high cost of borrowing[33] Future Outlook - The outlook for 2025 suggests that under the dual pressures of declining LPR rates and rising non-performing loan ratios, financial institutions will need to optimize their pricing strategies and risk management capabilities[51] - Continued monitoring of macroeconomic trends is essential, as they may impact the credit quality of personal consumption loan ABS products in the long term[51]