www.ccxi.com.cn 其他联络人 结构融资一部 评级总监 杨 威 010-66428877-361 wyang@ccxi.com.cn 中诚信国际 个人消费类贷款证券化 个人消费类贷款 ABS 发行及二级交易有所回升， 但四季度以来消费金融公司发行暂缓；发行利率 持续处于低位；不同机构产品累计违约率有所分 化 ——个人消费类贷款证券化 2025 年度运营报告与 2026 年度展望 要点： 特别评论 2026 年 2 月 | 目录 | | | --- | --- | | 要点 | 1 | | 正文 | 2 | | 结论 | 11 | | 附表 | 12 | 联络人 作者 结构融资一部 刘 昊 010-66428877-681 hliu.terry@ccxi.com.cn 马家瑶 010-66428877-596 jyma@ccxi.com.cn 闫晨溦 010-66428877-475 chwyan@ccxi.com.cn 政策方面，2025 年，居民人均可支配收入保持增长，但个人消费意 愿仍偏弱。国家出台了多项政策降低居民融资成本，提升居民消费 意愿与消费能力，并持续规范消费信贷市场发展； 发行方面 ...

Economic Overview - In 2024, China's economy is expected to show a steady but slowing trend, with final consumption's contribution to economic growth weakening marginally[4] - By the end of 2024, the narrow personal consumption loan balance is projected to reach CNY 21.01 trillion, reflecting a growth of 6.23% compared to the end of 2023[5] Policy Initiatives - The government has introduced multiple policies aimed at stimulating consumption and regulating the consumer finance market, focusing on consumer rights protection and risk management[12][14] - Key policies include promoting large-scale equipment updates and encouraging the recycling of consumer goods, which are expected to enhance consumption potential[15][17] ABS Issuance Trends - In 2024, the issuance of personal consumption loan ABS products totaled 17 transactions, with a cumulative issuance scale of CNY 243.23 billion, marking a significant decrease of 48.22% year-on-year[5][18] - The issuance rates for priority (AAAsf) securities ranged from 1.90% to 2.50%, indicating a narrowing compared to 2023[28] Market Performance - The secondary market for personal consumption loan ABS products saw a transaction volume of CNY 77.14 billion, down 45.79% from the previous year, with an average transaction amount of CNY 0.68 billion[30][32] - The cumulative default rates for ABS products initiated by commercial banks are generally lower than those initiated by consumer finance companies, reflecting stronger risk management practices[51][38] Asset Quality and Characteristics - The average loan amount in the asset pool for 2024 was CNY 6.93 million, with a high degree of asset pool dispersion[32][33] - The average weighted contract interest rate for the underlying assets was 16.35%, indicating a relatively high cost of borrowing[33] Future Outlook - The outlook for 2025 suggests that under the dual pressures of declining LPR rates and rising non-performing loan ratios, financial institutions will need to optimize their pricing strategies and risk management capabilities[51] - Continued monitoring of macroeconomic trends is essential, as they may impact the credit quality of personal consumption loan ABS products in the long term[51]