中国+1供应链新格局
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渣打集团(2888.HK):聚焦跨境大客户 交易银行+金融市场双轮驱动
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-31 01:44
Core Viewpoints - Standard Chartered's Corporate and Institutional Banking (CIB) has a positive long-term target with a revenue growth CAGR of 5%-7% and continued improvement in RoRWA [1][2] - The bank is focusing on cross-border large clients and financial institutions, with the potential for revenue to double as clients operate in more markets and use more products [1][3] - The current uncertainty caused by tariffs may lead to a more complex and fragmented world, but not a complete decoupling of all countries, with a long-term trend towards international supply chain restructuring benefiting Standard Chartered [2][13] Event Overview - On May 15, Standard Chartered held an investor day for its CIB, outlining its goals and competitive advantages [1] Business Growth and Strategy - The CIB aims for a revenue growth CAGR of 5%-7% (excluding currency fluctuations) and a continued decrease in the cost-to-income ratio [1][2] - The bank's global cross-border business revenue is expected to rise to 70% from the current 61%, with financial institution client revenue increasing to 60% from 51% [1][2] Performance Metrics - In the short term, Standard Chartered achieved a 5% year-on-year growth in CIB for 2024 and Q1 2025, with global banking and markets seeing over 10% growth [2] - RoRWA has improved from 4.9% in 2019 to 7.8% in 2024, supported by stable profit growth and RWA optimization [2] Client Segmentation - Standard Chartered's CIB client base is primarily composed of multinational corporations and financial institutions, with cross-border clients contributing significantly to revenue [3][4] - The bank's focus on large multinational clients and financial institutions is driven by the higher average revenue per client, with clients using more products and operating in more markets leading to exponential revenue growth [6][8] Regional Performance - The fastest-growing regions for financial institution clients include Hong Kong, Europe, and the U.S., with transaction banking revenue growth rates exceeding 15% from 2019 to 2024 [4][5] - Trade and operational funding, payment and liquidity, and securities and brokerage services are the main revenue contributors within transaction services [8][9] Competitive Advantages - Standard Chartered has a significant first-mover advantage and a comprehensive product and service offering, creating a strong competitive moat [7][11] - The bank's extensive global network and deep market knowledge enable it to provide tailored services to clients, enhancing its competitive position [9][10] Future Outlook - The long-term trend of international supply chain restructuring and the "China+1" strategy is expected to accelerate, benefiting Standard Chartered as a key player in this environment [2][13] - The bank anticipates stable growth in global trade and financial market activities, supporting its CIB business to maintain a growth trend above 5% [2][12]