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重磅经济数据即将发布
第一财经· 2025-12-09 13:35
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the fluctuations in China's macroeconomic indicators due to weak domestic demand and increased external uncertainties, while suggesting that major economic indicators such as industrial production and consumption may stabilize in November due to coordinated policy efforts and resilient external demand [3][4]. Economic Indicators - The predicted year-on-year growth rate for industrial added value in November is 5.0%, slightly higher than the previous month's 4.9% [4][6]. - The forecast for the year-on-year growth rate of retail sales of consumer goods in November is 3.09%, up from 2.9% in the previous month [4][9]. - The predicted year-on-year growth rate for fixed asset investment from January to November is -2.1%, lower than the previous month's -1.7% [4][13]. Industrial Growth - Industrial added value is expected to see a slight increase, with predictions ranging from 5.0% to 5.3% year-on-year growth for November [6][7]. - The manufacturing PMI improved to 49.2%, indicating a slight recovery in market confidence, although it remains below the threshold [6][8]. Consumer Spending - The "old-for-new" consumption policy has significantly supported consumer spending, with related sales exceeding 2.5 trillion yuan and benefiting over 360 million people [9]. - The "Double 11" shopping festival contributed to a 17.6% year-on-year increase in total online sales, although the average daily sales showed a decline of 6.0% compared to the previous year [10]. Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment is under pressure, with predictions indicating a further decline in November due to reduced infrastructure spending and weak manufacturing investment [13][14]. - The introduction of new policy financial tools aims to support investment in high-tech manufacturing and digital economy sectors [14][15]. Infrastructure Investment - The expansion of infrastructure REITs is seen as a key measure for stabilizing investment, with a significant number of projects already launched [16][17]. - The government has allocated substantial funds for long-term special bonds to support major investment projects, reflecting a strategic approach to infrastructure development [15][16].
重磅经济数据即将发布,11月工业生产消费有望企稳
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-09 13:13
【#重磅经济数据即将发布#,#11月工业生产消费有望企稳#】三季度以来,受内需疲弱、外部不确定性 加大等因素影响,中国多项宏观经济指标增速出现波动。而随着存量政策与增量政策协同发力、外需维 持韧性等因素影响,11月工业生产、消费等主要经济指标或迎来企稳。 【#重磅经济数据即将发布#,#11月工业生产消费有望企稳#】三季度以来,受内需疲弱、外部不确定性 加大等因素影响,中国多项宏观经济指标增速出现波动。而随着存量政策与增量政策协同发力、外需维 持韧性等因素影响,11月工业生产、消费等主要经济指标或迎来企稳。 国务院总理李强12月9日同主要国际经济组织负责人举行"1+10"对话会。李强表示,今年中国经济顶压 前行,取得新的发展成绩,我们有信心有能力完成全年经济社会发展目标任务。中国经济将保持稳健向 好势头,经济总量将再上新台阶,产业升级将创造新的发展空间,超大规模市场需求将加快释放。 国务院总理李强12月9日同主要国际经济组织负责人举行"1+10"对话会。李强表示,今年中国经济顶压 前行,取得新的发展成绩,我们有信心有能力完成全年经济社会发展目标任务。中国经济将保持稳健向 好势头,经济总量将再上新台阶,产业升级将 ...