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中国经济结构向优、动力趋稳,下半年政策如何发力?
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-07-21 08:47
Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that China's economic growth remains resilient and within a reasonable range, with structural improvements in the economy, despite global uncertainties. It is expected that policies will accelerate in the second half of the year to enhance public sentiment and stabilize expectations, leading to qualitative and quantitative economic growth [1] Group 2 - Expanding consumption subsidies and tapping into endogenous potential is a key task for policies in the second half of the year. The consumption market contributed over half to economic growth in the first half, with service consumption showing strong performance, evidenced by a 5.3% year-on-year increase in service retail sales, outpacing goods retail growth [2] - The rise of "new consumption" trends, particularly among younger demographics, is noteworthy. Preferences for cultural and tourism products are increasing, indicating a shift in consumption structure and habits, which should be supported by consumption policies [2] Group 3 - Coordinated fiscal and monetary policies are essential for stabilizing growth. Increased fiscal spending is anticipated in the second half to enhance public perception of government efforts to expand domestic demand. Suggestions include executing budgets effectively for consumption subsidies and accelerating infrastructure investments [3] - Monetary policy is expected to strengthen further, with improvements in liquidity and a focus on optimizing benchmark interest rates and liquidity provisions to better support the real economy and new consumption demands [3] - The year 2025 is critical for transitioning between the 14th and 15th Five-Year Plans, necessitating policy designs that address both short-term fluctuations and long-term structural reforms [3]