中枢结构分析

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9.15:冲高回落,成交萎缩,周二A股走势基本明朗
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 08:42
Market Overview - The major A-share indices showed mixed performance, with the ChiNext index performing relatively strong, while most stocks declined, indicating low market sentiment [1] - The market is expected to continue its adjustment phase, with the Shanghai Composite Index and the Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index both indicating a need for further corrections [3][6] Shanghai Composite Index Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index experienced a slight adjustment, forming a small bearish candle, signaling a need for correction [3] - The previous week's strong upward movement was accompanied by shrinking trading volume, suggesting insufficient upward momentum [3] - The index is currently in a mid-term adjustment phase, with two potential adjustment methods: either consolidating above recent lows or actively seeking to test the ten-week moving average [3] Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index Analysis - The Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index also showed signs of needing adjustment, with the previous week's strong performance not supported by increased trading volume [6] - The index is at a critical turning point on the weekly chart, indicating a need to test the ten-week moving average [6] - Similar to the Shanghai Composite Index, the Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index is expected to continue its adjustment phase [6] Investment Strategy Insights - The current A-share market environment allows for structural opportunities as long as there are no significant declines in the major indices [7] - Successful trading requires adherence to trend trading principles to achieve stable wave profits, with a focus on analyzing candlestick patterns and structural breaks for entry points [7]
7.15:A股,如期调整,下午能否企稳?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-15 04:41
Market Index Analysis - The major A-share indices are undergoing a correction as expected, with individual stock enthusiasm significantly declining [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index and the ChiNext Index are highlighted for analysis, with a focus on the Shanghai 50 Index and the ChiNext Index in the afternoon [1] Shanghai 50 Index - The Shanghai 50 Index has shown long upper shadows in the past two trading days, indicating a clear signal for adjustment [3] - The recent upward cycle has reached a point of change, suggesting that the adjustment will last for several trading days [3] - A potential small rebound is anticipated in the afternoon, although the daily adjustment has just begun [3] ChiNext Index - The ChiNext Index has also released continuous adjustment signals in recent trading days, with an abnormal high opening and significant intraday gains [5] - A normal trend of retreat after a high is expected, with adjustments likely to continue for several trading days [5] Overall Market Sentiment - The current A-share market is characterized by structural trends in individual stocks as long as there is no significant market decline [5] - Emphasis is placed on the importance of trend trading to achieve stable wave profits, with a focus on K-line analysis and structural breakthroughs for entry points [5]