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9.15:冲高回落,成交萎缩,周二A股走势基本明朗
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 08:42
Market Overview - The major A-share indices showed mixed performance, with the ChiNext index performing relatively strong, while most stocks declined, indicating low market sentiment [1] - The market is expected to continue its adjustment phase, with the Shanghai Composite Index and the Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index both indicating a need for further corrections [3][6] Shanghai Composite Index Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index experienced a slight adjustment, forming a small bearish candle, signaling a need for correction [3] - The previous week's strong upward movement was accompanied by shrinking trading volume, suggesting insufficient upward momentum [3] - The index is currently in a mid-term adjustment phase, with two potential adjustment methods: either consolidating above recent lows or actively seeking to test the ten-week moving average [3] Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index Analysis - The Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index also showed signs of needing adjustment, with the previous week's strong performance not supported by increased trading volume [6] - The index is at a critical turning point on the weekly chart, indicating a need to test the ten-week moving average [6] - Similar to the Shanghai Composite Index, the Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index is expected to continue its adjustment phase [6] Investment Strategy Insights - The current A-share market environment allows for structural opportunities as long as there are no significant declines in the major indices [7] - Successful trading requires adherence to trend trading principles to achieve stable wave profits, with a focus on analyzing candlestick patterns and structural breaks for entry points [7]
7.15:A股,如期调整,下午能否企稳?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-15 04:41
Market Index Analysis - The major A-share indices are undergoing a correction as expected, with individual stock enthusiasm significantly declining [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index and the ChiNext Index are highlighted for analysis, with a focus on the Shanghai 50 Index and the ChiNext Index in the afternoon [1] Shanghai 50 Index - The Shanghai 50 Index has shown long upper shadows in the past two trading days, indicating a clear signal for adjustment [3] - The recent upward cycle has reached a point of change, suggesting that the adjustment will last for several trading days [3] - A potential small rebound is anticipated in the afternoon, although the daily adjustment has just begun [3] ChiNext Index - The ChiNext Index has also released continuous adjustment signals in recent trading days, with an abnormal high opening and significant intraday gains [5] - A normal trend of retreat after a high is expected, with adjustments likely to continue for several trading days [5] Overall Market Sentiment - The current A-share market is characterized by structural trends in individual stocks as long as there is no significant market decline [5] - Emphasis is placed on the importance of trend trading to achieve stable wave profits, with a focus on K-line analysis and structural breakthroughs for entry points [5]
5.7:A股,高开低走
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-07 05:24
Market Overview - A-shares opened significantly higher on Wednesday morning due to positive news, with most stocks rising and high market sentiment observed [1] - The A-share market experienced a high open but subsequently declined [1] Index Analysis Shanghai Composite Index - The Shanghai 50 Index showed a clear high opening trend influenced by favorable news, but faced significant pressure due to a dense area of trapped capital, making a direct breakthrough unlikely without substantial volume [4] - The early morning trading indicated insufficient volume, and the index had already shown signs of adjustment the previous day, suggesting a high probability of further adjustments in the near term [4] - The first hour of the morning session saw five effective upward cycles, indicating a potential turning point, leading to expectations of a volatile adjustment in the afternoon [4] ChiNext Index - The ChiNext Index also opened significantly higher, reaching the upper limit of a previous gap, indicating substantial pressure for adjustment [8] - The daily moving averages showed a downward trend, with a significant divergence from the 60-day and half-year moving averages, complicating the adjustment process [8] - The first hour of the morning session recorded nine effective upward cycles, with the second hour marking a potential turning point, suggesting a likely volatile adjustment in the afternoon [8] Conclusion - The current A-share market is characterized by structural opportunities for individual stocks as long as the overall market does not experience a significant decline, emphasizing the importance of correct trend trading to avoid prolonged losses [9] - A systematic approach to trading, focusing on K-line analysis, patterns, and central structures, can help accurately capture price fluctuations and identify entry points during structural pullbacks [9]
5.6:周二午后,A股还有冲高
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-06 07:27
Market Overview - The major indices of the A-share market opened positively on Tuesday morning, with most stocks rising and high market sentiment observed [1] - The afternoon session saw further upward movement in the A-share market [1] Index Analysis Shanghai Composite Index - The Shanghai 50 Index opened high but then dipped, reaching a low point before rebounding. The K-line pattern indicates a less favorable outlook at closing, but it is considered normal for the index to rise today as it marks the fifth effective cycle of recent adjustments, indicating a potential turning point [5] - The first hour of trading showed a long lower shadow with a small body, suggesting apparent strength but underlying weakness in the index's performance. The second hour also saw a rebound after a dip, with two hours remaining until the turning point, suggesting further upward movement in the afternoon [5] ChiNext Index - The ChiNext Index opened high and continued to rise, leaving a significant gap in the daily K-line. However, there are technical flaws, and a previous large gap remains unfilled, indicating a likelihood of adjustment after the rise [7] - The 20-day moving average is still declining and has not yet flattened, which restricts the ChiNext Index's ability to sustain continuous upward movement [7] - The first hour of trading was the fifth effective cycle of upward movement, indicating a turning point is approaching, and caution is advised for potential pullbacks in the afternoon session [7] Conclusion - The current A-share market is expected to see ongoing structural trends as long as there are no significant declines in the major indices. Correct trend trading is essential to avoid prolonged losses and achieve stable segment profits [8] - Analyzing K-lines, patterns, and central structures can help accurately grasp price fluctuations. Breakouts followed by pullbacks serve as entry points for gradual investments [8]
4.28:探底回升,A股短线是否企稳?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 12:10
Market Index Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index has experienced ten effective upward cycles, indicating a potential turning point, leading to a normal adjustment phase [3] - The index is currently near the 60-day moving average and the half-year line, facing significant pressure, suggesting a continued adjustment period in the coming days [3] - The daily K-line shows a notable lower shadow, indicating a potential stabilization signal, but the index is not yet at a definitive adjustment point [3] Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index Analysis - The Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index formed a doji star, suggesting a potential short-term stabilization after two consecutive trading days of similar K-lines [5] - The index is in its fourth effective adjustment cycle, with a small turning point expected soon, but the rebound space is limited due to a low five-day moving average [5] - The weekly level indicates it is in the sixth effective adjustment cycle, with several weeks remaining before a new turning point, implying a continued adjustment phase [5] Overall Market Sentiment - The current A-share market is characterized by structural trends in individual stocks as long as the main index does not experience a significant decline [5] - Successful trend trading is essential for achieving stable segment profits, emphasizing the importance of analyzing K-lines, patterns, and central structures [5]