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FT中文网精选:东南亚的投资机会初探(上)
日经中文网· 2025-11-27 02:53
Core Insights - The article discusses the evolving trade dynamics between China and the United States, highlighting a shift towards a "divergent restructuring" of bilateral trade relations, while emphasizing the growing trade volume between China and ASEAN countries, particularly Vietnam and Thailand [6][5]. Group 1: Trade Dynamics - The trade relationship between China and the U.S. is entering a phase of "competitive cooperation," with a noticeable trend of restructuring in trade patterns [6]. - The proportion of bilateral trade between China and the U.S. is decreasing, while trade with ASEAN countries has increased by 54% over the past five years [6]. - In 2024, China's trade surplus with Vietnam is projected to be approximately 450 billion RMB, while the surplus with Thailand is expected to be around 270 billion RMB [6]. Group 2: Economic Conditions in Thailand and Vietnam - Thailand's economic development remains stable, characterized by a steady growth trajectory [6]. - Historically, Thailand was recognized as a rising economic star in Southeast Asia, particularly during its economic boom from the 1980s to the 1990s, with an average growth rate of 6%-8% [7]. - The success of Thailand's export-oriented industrialization has been driven by the transfer of industries from Japan and the "Asian Tigers," focusing on textiles, apparel, automotive parts, and electronics assembly [7].