Group 1 - The core financial events anticipated are the appreciation of the RMB breaking 7 by the end of 2025 and the Shanghai Composite Index returning to 4000 points in early 2026, marking a ten-year high [1] - The appreciation of the RMB is expected to have positive impacts, particularly in the re-evaluation of China's GDP in USD, which will narrow the GDP gap between China and the US [1] Group 2 - The goal of the Chinese nation is to surpass the US in GDP and become the world's largest economy, supported by a population of 1.4 billion, which is four times that of the US [3] - Historical data shows that the GDP gap between China and the US has significantly narrowed over the past 30 years, with China's GDP increasing from 0.27 trillion USD in 1987 to 18.2 trillion USD in 2021, reaching 78% of the US GDP [5] - 2021 was a pivotal year as China's GDP reached 78% of the US GDP, but subsequent years saw a decline in this ratio due to slower growth in China compared to the US [7] Group 3 - In 2022, China's GDP growth was only 0.7%, while the US GDP grew by 9.8%, leading to a significant drop in the GDP ratio to 71.6% [7] - By 2023, China's GDP further declined to 18.27 trillion USD, while the US GDP increased to 27.29 trillion USD, resulting in a GDP ratio of 67% [7] - The depreciation of the RMB since 2022 has contributed to the slow growth of China's USD GDP, with a maximum depreciation of 17.8% impacting the nominal GDP growth [9] Group 4 - By the end of 2025, if the RMB appreciates to 7, China's USD GDP could reach approximately 20 trillion USD, with a GDP ratio of 65.4% compared to the US [11][13] - Projections for 2026 suggest that China's GDP could grow to 21.3 trillion USD, achieving 66.4% of the US GDP, with a potential return to the 70% threshold by 2028 depending on the RMB's appreciation [13]