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研报掘金丨国海证券:首予红日药业“增持”评级,长期看好配方颗粒国标实施后成长空间
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-09-10 06:12
Core Viewpoint - The report from Guohai Securities indicates that Hongri Pharmaceutical's traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) formula granules are under short-term financial pressure due to centralized procurement, while the sales of Xuebijing injection maintain steady growth [1] Group 1: Impact of Centralized Procurement - The TCM formula granules are affected by the expansion of centralized procurement following the Shandong Alliance procurement in 2023, with further procurements scheduled in March and April 2024 in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region and Gansu Province, respectively [1] - The company reported a revenue of 1.232 billion yuan for TCM formula granules in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 5.75% [1] Group 2: Performance of Other Products - Xuebijing injection achieved a revenue of 467 million yuan in the same period, showing a year-on-year increase of 2.88% [1] - The intelligent supply chain for medical devices generated an income of 433 million yuan, down 3.92% year-on-year [1] Group 3: Long-term Outlook - The increase in the number of national standard varieties for TCM formula granules is expected to enhance the prescription practices in hospitals post-centralized procurement [1] - The price advantage of formula granules over traditional TCM decoction pieces is anticipated to improve, leading to a long-term increase in market penetration for formula granules [1] - Despite short-term pressures from centralized procurement and incomplete national standard varieties, the long-term growth potential of formula granules is viewed positively, with an initial coverage rating of "Accumulate" [1]