Core Viewpoint - The commencement of the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower construction project, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, is expected to significantly impact the engineering machinery industry, creating substantial demand for various types of equipment [1]. Group 1: Equipment Demand - The Yarlung hydropower project, with a total investment of about 1.2 trillion yuan and a construction volume close to 500 million cubic meters, will create a market space of over 200 billion yuan for equipment, as equipment costs may account for nearly 20% of the total investment [2]. - Different stages of the project will require various types of machinery: large excavators, loaders, and bulldozers will be essential during the initial earthwork phase, while concrete machinery like mixers and pumps will be crucial during the main construction phase. Additionally, tunnel boring machines will be needed for water diversion [3]. Group 2: Industry Impact - The engineering machinery industry is currently on an upward cycle, with excavator sales showing positive year-on-year growth since March of last year. The opening of the Yarlung project is seen as a "bonus" that will further enhance domestic demand for engineering machinery [4]. - The core driver of the industry's upward cycle is the replacement of old equipment, which has been ongoing since the sales of excavators turned positive. The Yarlung project will reinforce this upward trend, but the primary factor remains the demand for equipment replacement [4]. Group 3: Export and Domestic Demand - The engineering machinery industry's revenue is significantly supported by exports, which contributed approximately 52% of total revenue last year. The export momentum is improving, with a year-on-year increase of about 11% in June for excavator exports [5][6]. - Emerging markets, particularly in Latin America, Africa, and Southeast Asia, are showing strong demand and growth. The European market is also recovering, with a notable year-on-year increase of about 29% in excavator exports to Western Europe [5][6]. Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The combination of a domestic upward cycle, favorable export conditions, and the additional demand from the Yarlung project positions the engineering machinery sector as a high-value investment opportunity. Following a valuation correction in May, the sector is currently at the lower end of its historical valuation range, making it an attractive time for investment [6].