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汽车行业系列深度九:大模型重塑战局,智能驾驶商业化奇点已至
Minsheng Securities· 2025-08-19 09:59
Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment recommendation for companies with full-stack self-research capabilities, such as Li Auto, Xpeng Motors, and Xiaomi Group, as well as those with a combination of self-research and third-party collaboration like BYD, Geely, and Great Wall Motors [4][6]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes that intelligent driving has evolved from a technical highlight to a critical factor for product differentiation among automakers and a core support for the commercialization of mobility services [1][11]. - The competition in the intelligent driving sector is intensifying, driven by advancements in AI models and the need for enhanced computational power in both vehicle and cloud environments [2][3][57]. - The commercialization process of intelligent driving is accelerating, with increased regional pilot programs and favorable policies driving the adoption of L3 intelligent driving technologies [4][15]. Summary by Sections 1. Introduction - The report provides a comprehensive analysis of the evolution of intelligent driving technology architecture, focusing on algorithm development trends and the current state of computational power and data layout [11]. 2. AI Model Restructuring Competition - The VLA (Vision-Language-Action) technology is highlighted as a core focus in current intelligent driving solutions, integrating perception, cognition, and action [12]. - The demand for computational power is surging, with the need for real-time decision-making capabilities in dynamic environments [57][58]. - Major automakers are racing to enhance their computational capabilities, with Tesla leading through its integrated technology stack and data feedback loops [3][13]. 3. Core Self-Research Automakers - Tesla's end-to-end architecture and high-efficiency data loops have established its leading position in the intelligent driving industry [3][14]. - Domestic automakers are accelerating their technological advancements but still face generational gaps in data feedback capabilities and algorithm integration [3][14]. 4. Acceleration of Commercialization - The report notes that the "intelligent driving equity" trend is expected to drive the adoption of advanced driving features in lower price segments, enhancing consumer sensitivity to intelligent driving technologies [4][15]. - The Robotaxi market is projected to reach several hundred billion by 2030, with significant potential for growth [4][15]. 5. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the establishment of a clear responsibility system under top-level policies will facilitate the maturation of intelligent driving technologies, with L3 standards becoming increasingly reliable [4]. - Companies with differentiated advantages in algorithms, computational power, and data are expected to reshape brand value and gain competitive advantages in the intelligent driving market [4].