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国信证券(002736):经纪增速领先行业、ROE突出 投资收益延续高增
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-01 08:39
Core Insights - Guosen Securities reported strong financial performance for the first nine months of 2025, with operating income reaching 19.2 billion, a year-on-year increase of 69.4%, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 9.14 billion, up 87.3% year-on-year [1] - The company's weighted average ROE (unannualized) for 9M25 was 9.05%, an increase of 4.31 percentage points year-on-year [1] Financial Performance - For 9M25, the main revenue sources were brokerage, investment banking, asset management, net interest, and net investment income, contributing 6.36 billion, 610 million, 490 million, 1.17 billion, and 9.91 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of +109.3%, -6.0%, -22.7%, +45.4%, and +74.6% [1] - In Q3 2025, net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.77 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 116.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 24.1% [1] Asset Management and Investment - As of the end of Q3 2025, total assets were 561.1 billion, up 11.9% from the beginning of the year, while net assets were 127.2 billion, an increase of 7.1% [2] - The investment asset scale was 293.7 billion, stable compared to the previous quarter, with a net investment income of 4.09 billion in Q3 2025, showing a year-on-year increase of 89.3% [2] Brokerage and Market Position - The brokerage business saw significant growth, with revenue of 2.84 billion in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 213.0%, leading among listed brokers [3] - The company maintained a stable margin in the margin financing and securities lending market, with a market share of 3.7% as of the end of Q3 2025 [3] Investment Banking and Project Pipeline - The company’s IPO underwriting scale for 9M25 was 600 million, down 45.4% year-on-year, while refinancing underwriting increased to 11.62 billion from 800 million last year, with a market share of 1.6% [3] - As of October 31, the company had a robust project pipeline with 6 IPOs and 9 refinancing projects under review, ranking 7th and 9th in the industry respectively [3] Strategic Outlook - Guosen Securities is positioned as a leading internet-based brokerage benefiting from increased retail investment, with a strong recommendation for future growth [4] - The projected net profit for 2025-2027 is expected to be 12.03 billion, 13.25 billion, and 13.77 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of +46.4%, +10.2%, and +3.9% [4]