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华为老兵向国华:出海8大坑,一坑学费1000万!
混沌学园· 2025-10-18 04:08
Core Viewpoint - The success rate of Chinese companies going overseas is less than 20%, and the average cost of learning from common pitfalls is around 10 million RMB per pitfall [1][4][28]. Group 1: Challenges in Overseas Expansion - Many companies lack market determination, which includes the commitment of both the owner and senior management to treat overseas expansion as a second startup [4]. - There is often a lack of clear market planning, with companies not knowing their immediate goals after entering a new market [4]. - Talent shortage is a common issue, with over 95% of companies facing difficulties in finding qualified personnel for overseas expansion [4][8]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The traditional model of foreign trade and OEM/ODM is becoming increasingly challenging, with profit margins declining from 10-15% five years ago to around 5% today [7][8]. - The global cross-border e-commerce market is projected to reach approximately 1.2 trillion USD (about 8 trillion RMB) in 2024, with China's cross-border e-commerce market around 2.5 trillion RMB [8]. - The operational difficulties in cross-border e-commerce are increasing due to international economic tensions and a push for localized manufacturing in various countries [8]. Group 3: Strategic Framework for Overseas Success - A proposed "5 Ones" model includes: 1. One target country for focused efforts [14]. 2. One comprehensive report to understand the target market and industry [15]. 3. One key customer or channel to establish market presence [32]. 4. One capable leader (referred to as "head wolf") to drive execution [41]. 5. One set of management mechanisms to ensure smooth operations [48]. Group 4: Market Selection and Analysis - Companies should focus on a specific country or a category of countries, considering factors like political, economic, and business environments [20][24]. - The analysis should include both national and industry-level insights to identify profitable opportunities and avoid common pitfalls [25][27]. Group 5: Execution and Management - The success of overseas ventures heavily relies on the execution capabilities of the team, particularly the leader who must possess resilience and adaptability [41][43]. - Effective sales management and incentive mechanisms are crucial for maintaining motivation and performance in overseas markets [48].