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国盛证券:增量信息不少 中央经济工作会议6大看点
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-11 23:45
Core Viewpoint - The Central Economic Work Conference continues the overall tone from the December 8 Politburo meeting, emphasizing "strengthening confidence, utilizing advantages, and responding to challenges," while introducing the "five musts" and "five key focus points" for economic work in 2026, which should help various parties better understand and implement central policies [2][23]. Group 1 - The conference emphasizes the need to actively respond to internal and external pressures while showcasing the central government's determination to stabilize the economy and expectations [5][6]. - The introduction of the "five musts" directly addresses pain points and bottlenecks, such as the necessity to balance flexibility and regulation, and the "five key focus points" highlight the importance of expanding domestic demand, strengthening industries, promoting reforms, stabilizing livelihoods, and preventing risks [3][24]. - The overall goal is to achieve a good start for the "14th Five-Year Plan," with a focus on managing expectations and boosting confidence, while placing the goal of "promoting stable economic growth and reasonable price recovery" under monetary policy objectives [4][29]. Group 2 - The conference maintains a tone of "seeking progress while ensuring stability and improving quality and efficiency," with a new emphasis on "pragmatic goal orientation" and a focus on solving existing difficulties [4][30]. - The eight key tasks from the December 8 Politburo meeting are reiterated, with domestic demand returning to the top priority, and the order of tasks adjusted to prioritize expanding domestic demand, strengthening industries, and promoting reforms [5][31]. - Specific deployments include new proposals such as the flexible and efficient use of various monetary policy tools, a shift in fiscal spending language from "increasing" to "maintaining necessary strength," and a renewed focus on stabilizing the real estate market with city-specific measures [4][25].