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“高分红+高增长”,安能物流从“周期股”向“价值股”的蝶变
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-27 05:00
Core Viewpoint - Aneng Logistics has successfully transformed from a "cyclical stock" to a "value stock," demonstrating strong performance in the logistics sector despite industry challenges [1][7]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Aneng Logistics reported revenue of 5.625 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.4%, and an adjusted net profit of 476 million yuan, up 10.7% [1]. - The total volume of less-than-truckload (LTL) freight reached 6.82 million tons, reflecting a 6.2% year-on-year growth [1]. - The company announced a mid-term dividend payout ratio of 50%, marking its first dividend since going public [5]. Profitability and Cost Control - Aneng Logistics achieved a net profit margin of 8.4% and a stable gross profit margin of 15.6%, indicating strong cost control and profitability [2][3]. - The gross profit reached 880 million yuan, showcasing the company's ability to maintain high margins [2]. Growth Drivers - The introduction of the "3300" product led to an 18.2% increase in freight volume for goods under 300 kg, enhancing the average unit profit by 7 yuan per ton [3]. - The company expanded its network to over 38,000 outlets, achieving a 99.6% coverage in rural areas, which supports sustained growth in freight volume [3]. Cost Structure - The unit cost for trunk transportation was 295 yuan per ton, down 3.6%, while the overall cost decreased by 9 yuan per ton to 696 yuan [4]. - Investments in digital upgrades and smart vehicles are expected to further enhance operational efficiency and reduce costs [4]. Market Valuation and Future Outlook - Aneng Logistics' stock price rose to 8.09 HKD, reflecting a 20% increase year-to-date, with a dynamic P/E ratio of 11.14, significantly lower than competitors [5][6]. - The company is expected to benefit from three growth engines: deepening e-commerce collaboration, penetration of small-ticket strategies, and strong operating cash flow [5]. - Analysts are optimistic about the company's long-term growth prospects, with target prices set at 11 HKD and 12 HKD, indicating potential upside of 36%-48% [6]. Brand Development - Aneng Logistics is enhancing its brand value through initiatives like the "Aneng Logistics Carnival," which reached 450 million online views, aiming to strengthen its market position [6].