亚洲货币走势
Search documents
美联储12月降息成“救生索”!亚洲货币迎来喘息之机
智通财经网· 2025-12-04 06:25
Group 1 - The Federal Reserve's anticipated interest rate cut in December is expected to benefit emerging market currencies in Asia, particularly the Indian rupee, Indonesian rupiah, South Korean won, and Philippine peso [1] - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve this month is close to 90%, with expectations of a total easing of 85 to 100 basis points by the end of next year [1] - The Asian currency index has rebounded from its November lows as expectations for the Fed's rate cut increase [1] Group 2 - Currencies from regions with strong economic growth and sound fiscal policies, such as the Chinese yuan and South Korean won, are likely to perform the best [4] - The Indian rupee may continue to face pressure due to high tariffs from the U.S. and risks of economic slowdown, while the Philippine peso is expected to be dragged down by the central bank's easing stance [4] - Optimism regarding improved U.S.-China relations has contributed to a 0.9% increase in the offshore yuan this quarter, with analysts viewing the potential for a yuan bull market as a reason to be bullish on Asian currencies [4]