Core Viewpoint - Hai Feng International reported strong growth in total revenue for the first three quarters, driven by increased container volume and average freight rates, despite a seasonal decline in Q3 [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Total revenue for the first three quarters increased by 16.6% year-on-year to $2.46 billion [1]. - In Q3 2025, average freight rate per container decreased by 12.0% year-on-year to $712, while total revenue fell by 1.8% quarter-on-quarter to $790 million [2]. - Container volume in Q3 2025 reached 920,000 TEUs, reflecting an 8.9% year-on-year increase, but a decline of 11.0% quarter-on-quarter [1][2]. Group 2: Market Outlook - The company anticipates a significant rebound in freight rates and container volume in Q4 due to the seasonal peak and demand driven by industry restructuring, projecting a 3.8% year-on-year increase in container volume to 1.06 million TEUs [1]. - The Southeast Asia export container freight index (SEAFI) showed a decline of 28.2% year-on-year, indicating a challenging pricing environment, but the company expects a 6.7% quarter-on-quarter increase in average freight rates to $760 in Q4 [2]. - The supply-demand structure in the Asian container shipping market is improving, with a tightening supply of small to medium-sized vessels, which is expected to benefit the company in the long term [2]. Group 3: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its profit forecast for 2025, 2026, and 2027 at $1.17 billion, $910 million, and $1.10 billion, respectively, with a dividend payout ratio assumption of 70% [3]. - The target price is set at HKD 31.0, based on a PE ratio of 9.2x for 2025, reflecting a premium over the historical average [3].