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国家大基金八个月三次减持,什么信号?
是说芯语· 2025-05-18 13:30
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent share reduction by the National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund ("Big Fund") in Tongfu Microelectronics, highlighting the implications for the semiconductor industry and the company's future prospects [2][4][6]. Group 1: Share Reduction Details - On May 18, Tongfu Microelectronics announced that the Big Fund plans to reduce its stake by up to 37.94 million shares, representing 2.5% of the total share capital, potentially raising over 950 million yuan [2]. - This marks the third reduction by the Big Fund since Q4 2024, decreasing its holding from 8.77% to around 6% [2][4]. - The reason for the reduction is stated as "operational management needs" [2]. Group 2: Market Reactions - Investor sentiment is divided into two camps: optimistic investors view the reduction as a normal exit strategy, while cautious investors express concerns over the broader "reduction wave" in the semiconductor sector, with 26 companies announcing similar actions [3]. - Tongfu Microelectronics' Q1 net profit only increased by 2.94%, and its inventory surged by 68.88% year-on-year, raising concerns about short-term stock price pressure [3][5]. Group 3: Strategic Implications - The reduction reflects a strategic shift by the Big Fund, which is focusing on critical areas such as equipment and materials, with a new fund established to target these sectors [4]. - The Big Fund's investment in Tongfu Microelectronics began in 2018, and the current stock price has doubled since then, indicating a successful investment cycle [4]. - The company is maintaining aggressive investments in technology, with R&D expenses projected to reach 999 million yuan in 2024, a 58.53% increase year-on-year [5]. Group 4: Long-term Outlook - The article suggests that the reduction should not be seen as a negative indicator for the company's value but rather as a reallocation of capital to more urgent needs within the industry [5][6]. - Key factors for Tongfu Microelectronics' long-term value will include inventory turnover efficiency, new customer acquisition, and the progress of advanced packaging technologies [6]. - The market should focus on the company's technological barriers and performance elasticity rather than simply interpreting the reduction as a negative signal [6].