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长江有色:印尼配额落地收紧供应新能源需求爆发 12日镍价或上涨
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-12 03:34
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the nickel market is experiencing upward momentum due to a combination of macroeconomic expectations, geopolitical risks, and strong demand from the new energy sector [2][3] - Nickel prices have shown significant increases, with LME nickel closing at $17,700, up $635 per ton, a rise of 3.72%, while domestic SHFE nickel futures also saw a substantial increase [1] - The supply side constraints are a fundamental support for prices, with major nickel-producing countries implementing tighter annual quota policies, leading to a slowdown in supply growth [3] Group 2 - The geopolitical situation in key resource areas, particularly in the Democratic Republic of Congo, has heightened concerns about the stability of the global nickel supply chain, contributing to price increases despite no direct impact on production [2][3] - Demand for nickel is being driven by the rapid growth in new energy applications, particularly high-nickel ternary batteries, which are benefiting from increased electric vehicle penetration and technological advancements [3] - The industry structure is becoming more concentrated, with leading companies enhancing their advantages through resource control and integrated layouts, while smaller capacities are being phased out, optimizing supply structure and enhancing pricing power [3]