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金属价格持续走高 机构预计3年来铜将再次转为供应短缺(附概念股)
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-28 00:37
Industry Overview - Recent data shows that Shanghai copper futures have surpassed 88,300 yuan/ton, while London LME copper prices have exceeded 11,000 USD/ton, both nearing historical highs, indicating a strong bullish sentiment in the market [1] - International forecasts predict a return to copper supply shortages for the first time in three years, contributing to the ongoing rise in the global copper market and continued capital inflow [1] - As of October 27, the net inflow of funds into copper futures reached 48.58 billion yuan, making it the second-largest commodity futures after gold [1] Company Insights - Codelco plans to raise the copper premium for the European market to 345 USD/ton by 2026, marking a historical high and reflecting market concerns over tight copper supply next year [2] - Luoyang Molybdenum (603993) has had its copper production forecast for 2028-2030 increased by 30% to 1 million tons, with expected annual compound profit growth of 38% from 2025 to 2026 due to rising copper and cobalt prices [3] - Zijin Mining (601899) reported a copper production of 830,000 tons in the first three quarters, a 5.1% year-on-year increase, despite a slight decline due to flooding at its Congo mine [3] - Minmetals Resources (01208) reported significant increases in copper production from its three major mines, with Las Bambas, Khoemacau, and Kinsevere showing year-on-year increases of 67%, 120%, and 19% respectively [4] - Jiangxi Copper (600362) is the largest shareholder of First Quantum, which has proven copper resources of 35.5 million tons and is expected to resume production at its Panama mine in the second half of 2026, significantly boosting profits [4]