Core Insights - The article highlights a significant shift in the U.S. stance towards China, indicating that unilateral tariffs are no longer effective in the current interdependent global economy [1][3] - The dynamics of U.S.-China relations are evolving from a "pressure-response" model to a long-term balance based on power principles [3][5] Group 1: U.S. Policy Changes - U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent has expressed a more optimistic view regarding U.S.-China relations, stating that "100% tariffs do not necessarily have to happen" [3] - This change in tone follows China's firm stance in response to U.S. actions, indicating a strategic recalibration in the bilateral relationship [3][5] Group 2: Economic Interdependence - The article emphasizes the deep economic ties between the U.S. and China, illustrated by the significant market reactions such as the sharp decline in U.S. stock prices and the loss of trillions in market value [5][7] - The interdependence creates invisible boundaries for both parties in their negotiations and strategies [5] Group 3: Trade War Dynamics - The trade conflict is characterized as a process of "promoting peace through struggle," with China's countermeasures targeting critical sectors like rare earths and lithium batteries, which are vital to U.S. high-tech and military industries [5][7] - The U.S. is realizing the high costs of a complete decoupling from China, leading to a tactical retreat in its aggressive trade policies [5][7] Group 4: Future Scenarios - Several potential future scenarios for U.S.-China relations are outlined, including: 1. A fragile balance with temporary compromises [8][9] 2. A "new normal" of competitive coexistence in key technology sectors [11] 3. Long-term competition over trade and technology standards [11] 4. Strategic stability through effective crisis management mechanisms [11][13] Group 5: China's Strategic Position - China is portrayed as exhibiting impressive resolve and wisdom in its approach to the U.S., choosing to respond strategically rather than emotionally [13] - The confidence of China in this geopolitical struggle is bolstered by its large domestic market, complete industrial system, and growing technological capabilities [13]